Result
1:3
11/02/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 37', 0 - 1, Soares ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 82', 0 - 2, Soares ⚽,
- 86', 1 - 2, Marcolino N. ⚽,
- 90', 1 - 3, Rodriguinho ⚽,
Chances of winning
Desportiva Aracaju
15.7% | Draw
21.4% | Lagarto
62.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Desportiva Aracaju has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)Lagarto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lagarto's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Desportiva Aracaju than the current prediction. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lagarto than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lagarto, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Desportiva Aracaju - Lagarto Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.79 ↑
(4.73) |
4.23 ↑
(3.58) |
1.44 ↓
(1.64) |
10.2%
(10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Sergipano (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Desportiva Aracaju is Relegated to
- Desportiva Aracaju has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Lagarto has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Lagarto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Lagarto is the clear favorite.
- In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has Desportiva Aracaju won against Lagarto?
Desportiva Aracaju has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lagarto won against Desportiva Aracaju?
Lagarto has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Desportiva Aracaju - Lagarto were as follows:
Latest results of Desportiva Aracaju
Latest results of Lagarto
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Sergipe (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Lagarto (3) | America SE (6) | 0 : 3 |
| 3 | Itabaiana (2) | Falcon (7) | 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Confianca (4) | Guarany SE (5) | 1 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Sergipe (1) | America SE (6) | 2 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 2 | Itabaiana (2) | Confianca (4) | 0 : 2, 2 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Sergipe (1) | Confianca (4) | |
3rd place| 2 | Itabaiana (2) | America SE (6) | |
