Desportiva Aracaju vs Sergipe – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
04/02/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Sergipano - Round 6

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 55', 0 - 1, De Andrey ,
  • 60', 0 - 2, Henrique D. ,

Chances of winning


Desportiva Aracaju
14.6%
Draw
25.3%
Sergipe
60.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
19.2% 26.4% 54.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.9% 25.9% 55.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Desportiva Aracaju has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
  • Sergipe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sergipe's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Desportiva Aracaju than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sergipe than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
  • Desportiva Aracaju - Sergipe Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.2
    (4.7)
    3.59
    (3.42)
    1.51
    (1.66)
    10.2%
    (10.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Sergipano (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • Desportiva Aracaju is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Sergipe is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Sergipe is the undeniable favorite.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Desportiva Aracaju
    Latest results of Sergipe
    31.01.2026 Sergipe - Confiança 1:0
    24.01.2026 Falcon - Sergipe 0:2
    21.01.2026 Itabaiana - Sergipe 0:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Sergipe (1)Bye
    2Lagarto (3)America SE (6)0 : 3
    3Itabaiana (2)Falcon (7)1 : 0
    4Confianca (4)Guarany SE (5)1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Sergipe (1)America SE (6)2 : 1, 1 : 1
    2Itabaiana (2)Confianca (4)0 : 2, 2 : 1

    Final
    1Sergipe (1)Confianca (4)

    3rd place
    2Itabaiana (2)America SE (6)