Desportiva Ferroviaria vs Rio Branco AC ES – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
27/01/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Capixaba - Round 5

Match Stats

Ball possession
62%38%
Total shots
109
Shots on target
52
Corner kicks
72
Yellow cards
25
Total shots
109
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
57
Corner kicks
72

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 44', Yan de Jesus 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Ronaldo , Thainler ,
  • 46', Carlinhos , Gregorio P. ,
  • 52', 0 - 1, Breninho ,
  • 59', Yan de Jesus , Lekinho ,
  • 63', 1 - 1, Tiago Moura ,
  • 67', David Lopes , Gui Mendes ,
  • 72', Breninho 🟨,
  • 76', Gui Mendes 🟨,
  • 78', Ruan , Davi ,
  • 79', Rafael 🟨,
  • 80', Gregorio P. 🟨,
  • 84', Neto Oliveira , Joao Paulo ,
  • 90', Rafael , Brandao ,
  • 90+2', Tiago Moura , Kevin ,
  • 90+2', Bahia , Jhonatan Marino ,
  • 90+4', Joao Paulo 🟨,
  • 90+6', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Desportiva Ferroviaria
28.1%
Draw
31.7%
Rio Branco AC ES
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39% 28.1% 32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8% 28.7% 32.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Desportiva Ferroviaria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Desportiva Ferroviaria's form might have worsened.
  • Rio Branco AC ES has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rio Branco AC ES's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Desportiva Ferroviaria than the current prediction. (+11.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Desportiva Ferroviaria, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Branco AC ES than the current prediction. (-8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rio Branco AC ES, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Desportiva Ferroviaria - Rio Branco AC ES Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.22
    (2.35)
    2.85
    (3.26)
    2.25
    (2.78)
    10.5%
    (9.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Capixaba (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Capixaba (Play Offs: Quarter~finals))
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ferroviaria won 2.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Ferroviaria won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.5:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ferroviaria won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 11:4. (average 1.8:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Desportiva Ferroviaria - Rio Branco AC ES were as follows:
    13.05.2025 Desportiva Ferroviaria - Rio Branco AC ES 4:0
    22.03.2025 Desportiva Ferroviaria - Rio Branco AC ES 0:1
    15.03.2025 Rio Branco AC ES - Desportiva Ferroviaria 2:2
    25.01.2025 Rio Branco AC ES - Desportiva Ferroviaria 0:0
    30.07.2024 Desportiva Ferroviaria - Rio Branco AC ES 1:0
    Latest results of Desportiva Ferroviaria
    Latest results of Rio Branco AC ES
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Rio Branco ES (4)Porto Vitoria (5)0 : 1, 1 : 1
    2Vitoria ES (1)Forte (8)4 : 1, 1 : 1
    3Vilavelhense (3)Desportiva Ferroviaria (6)1 : 1, 1 : 1
    4Serra (2)Real Noroeste (7)1 : 0, 1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Porto VitoriaVitoria ES
    2VilavelhenseSerra

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2