Vilavelhense vs Desportiva Ferroviaria – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
27/02/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Capixaba - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Ball possession
38%62%
Total shots
917
Shots on target
43
Corner kicks
05
Yellow cards
41
Total shots
917
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
514
Corner kicks
05

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 25', 0 - 1, Gabriel Dembele (Own goal),
  • 29', Borjao 🟨,
  • 33', Gabriel Dembele 🟨,
  • 38', Guilherme 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 55', 1 - 1, Diogo Bolt ,
  • 73', Guilherme , Joao Rozario ,
  • 73', Kelvin , Alberto ,
  • 78', Jorge Mendes 🟨,
  • 80', Ruan , Rodriguinho ,
  • 80', Mariano , Yan de Jesus ,
  • 80', Kieza , Kevin ,
  • 84', Diogo Bolt , Shaider ,
  • 84', Bahia , Lekinho ,
  • 85', Joao Gomes 🟨,
  • 90+6', Gabriel Amorim , Joao Firmino ,

Chances of winning


Vilavelhense
21.9%
Draw
29.1%
Desportiva Ferroviaria
49%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
23.8% 27.8% 48.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.2% 27.3% 47.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vilavelhense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • Desportiva Ferroviaria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilavelhense than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Desportiva Ferroviaria than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • Vilavelhense - Desportiva Ferroviaria Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.17
    (3.82)
    3.13
    (3.28)
    1.86
    (1.88)
    9.6%
    (9.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Vilavelhense - Desportiva Ferroviaria?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Vilavelhense (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Vilavelhense (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • First leg result: 1-1. Second leg.
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Capixaba (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Capixaba (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vilavelhense won 1.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Vilavelhense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Ferroviaria could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Vilavelhense won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:19. (average 1:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Vilavelhense won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:12. (average 0.5:3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vilavelhense - Desportiva Ferroviaria were as follows:
    22.02.2026 Desportiva Ferroviaria - Vilavelhense 1:1
    20.01.2026 Desportiva Ferroviaria - Vilavelhense 1:2
    08.03.2025 Desportiva Ferroviaria - Vilavelhense 2:1
    05.03.2025 Vilavelhense - Desportiva Ferroviaria 1:4
    09.02.2025 Vilavelhense - Desportiva Ferroviaria 0:4
    Latest results of Vilavelhense
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Rio Branco ES (4)Porto Vitoria (5)0 : 1, 1 : 1
    2Vitoria ES (1)Forte (8)4 : 1, 1 : 1
    3Vilavelhense (3)Desportiva Ferroviaria (6)1 : 1, 1 : 1
    4Serra (2)Real Noroeste (7)1 : 0, 1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Porto VitoriaVitoria ES
    2VilavelhenseSerra

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2