Result
1:1
27/02/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Capixaba - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 14 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 25', 0 - 1, Gabriel Dembele (Own goal),
- 29', Borjao 🟨,
- 33', Gabriel Dembele 🟨,
- 38', Guilherme 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 55', 1 - 1, Diogo Bolt ⚽,
- 73', Guilherme ↓, Joao Rozario ↑,
- 73', Kelvin ↓, Alberto ↑,
- 78', Jorge Mendes 🟨,
- 80', Ruan ↓, Rodriguinho ↑,
- 80', Mariano ↓, Yan de Jesus ↑,
- 80', Kieza ↓, Kevin ↑,
- 84', Diogo Bolt ↓, Shaider ↑,
- 84', Bahia ↓, Lekinho ↑,
- 85', Joao Gomes 🟨,
- 90+6', Gabriel Amorim ↓, Joao Firmino ↑,
Chances of winning
Vilavelhense 21.9% | Draw 29.1% | Desportiva Ferroviaria 49% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vilavelhense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)Desportiva Ferroviaria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilavelhense than the current prediction. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Desportiva Ferroviaria than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Vilavelhense - Desportiva Ferroviaria Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.17 ↑ (3.82) |
3.13 ↓ (3.28) |
1.86 ↓ (1.88) |
9.6% (9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Vilavelhense - Desportiva Ferroviaria?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Vilavelhense (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Vilavelhense (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- First leg result: 1-1. Second leg.
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Capixaba (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Capixaba (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vilavelhense won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Vilavelhense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Ferroviaria could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Vilavelhense won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:19. (average 1:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vilavelhense won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:12. (average 0.5:3).
How many head-to-head matches has Vilavelhense won against Desportiva Ferroviaria?
Vilavelhense has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Desportiva Ferroviaria won against Vilavelhense?
Desportiva Ferroviaria has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vilavelhense - Desportiva Ferroviaria were as follows:
22.02.2026
Desportiva Ferroviaria
-
Vilavelhense
1:1
20.01.2026
Desportiva Ferroviaria
-
Vilavelhense
1:2
08.03.2025
Desportiva Ferroviaria
-
Vilavelhense
2:1
05.03.2025
Vilavelhense
-
Desportiva Ferroviaria
1:4
09.02.2025
Vilavelhense
-
Desportiva Ferroviaria
0:4
Latest results of Vilavelhense
Latest results of Desportiva Ferroviaria
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Rio Branco ES (4) | Porto Vitoria (5) | 0 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 2 | Vitoria ES (1) | Forte (8) | 4 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 3 | Vilavelhense (3) | Desportiva Ferroviaria (6) | 1 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 4 | Serra (2) | Real Noroeste (7) | 1 : 0, 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Porto Vitoria | Vitoria ES | |
| 2 | Vilavelhense | Serra | |
Final