Result
0:2
02/04/2026 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 29
Chances of winning
Deusto
40.7% | Draw
28.3% | Aretxabaleta
31% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deusto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)Aretxabaleta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deusto than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deusto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aretxabaleta than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
Deusto - Aretxabaleta Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.33 ↑
(2.07) |
3.34 ↑
(3.2) |
3.05 ↓
(3.21) |
5.7%
(10.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Deusto - Aretxabaleta?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 9).
- Deusto is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Aretxabaleta has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Deusto might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Deusto won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Deusto won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Deusto won against Aretxabaleta?
Deusto has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Aretxabaleta won against Deusto?
Aretxabaleta has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deusto - Aretxabaleta were as follows:
23.11.2025
Aretxabaleta
-
Deusto
0:2
16.04.2025
Aretxabaleta
-
Deusto
2:0
07.12.2024
Deusto
-
Aretxabaleta
1:0
Latest results of Aretxabaleta
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Portugalete | 33 | 23 | 6 | 4 | 68:28 | 40 | 75 |
| 2 | Leioa | 33 | 18 | 7 | 8 | 48:31 | 17 | 61 |
| 3 | Touring KE | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 46:33 | 13 | 57 |
| 4 | Derio | 33 | 16 | 7 | 10 | 53:40 | 13 | 55 |
| 5 | Lagun Onak | 33 | 16 | 6 | 11 | 51:32 | 19 | 54 |
| 6 | Alaves C | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 56:38 | 18 | 53 |
| 7 | Real Sociedad C | 33 | 16 | 4 | 13 | 46:38 | 8 | 52 |
| 8 | San Ignacio | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 35:26 | 9 | 52 |
| 9 | Aurrera de Vitoria | 33 | 15 | 6 | 12 | 40:40 | 0 | 51 |
| 10 | UD Aretxabaleta | 33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 53:60 | -7 | 42 |
| 11 | Durango | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 31:35 | -4 | 41 |
| 12 | Santurtzi | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 31:41 | -10 | 39 |
| 13 | Pasaia | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 26:43 | -17 | 36 |
| 14 | Anorga | 33 | 11 | 4 | 18 | 36:57 | -21 | 34 |
| 15 | Eibar C | 33 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 41:53 | -12 | 33 |
| 16 | Zamudio | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 41:56 | -15 | 33 |
| 17 | Zarautz KE | 33 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 30:59 | -29 | 30 |
| 18 | SD Deusto | 33 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 25:47 | -22 | 25 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
