Result
0:2
02/04/2026 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 29
Chances of winning
Deusto
40.7% | Draw
28.3% | Aretxabaleta
31% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deusto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)Aretxabaleta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deusto than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deusto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aretxabaleta than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
Deusto - Aretxabaleta Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.33 ↑
(2.07) |
3.34 ↑
(3.2) |
3.05 ↓
(3.21) |
5.7%
(10.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Deusto - Aretxabaleta?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 9).
- Deusto is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Aretxabaleta has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Deusto might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Deusto won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Deusto won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Deusto won against Aretxabaleta?
Deusto has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Aretxabaleta won against Deusto?
Aretxabaleta has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deusto - Aretxabaleta were as follows:
23.11.2025
Aretxabaleta
-
Deusto
0:2
16.04.2025
Aretxabaleta
-
Deusto
2:0
07.12.2024
Deusto
-
Aretxabaleta
1:0
Latest results of Aretxabaleta
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Portugalete | 30 | 22 | 5 | 3 | 62:23 | 39 | 71 |
| 2 | Touring KE | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 42:27 | 15 | 56 |
| 3 | Leioa | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 42:28 | 14 | 54 |
| 4 | Lagun Onak | 30 | 16 | 4 | 10 | 48:28 | 20 | 52 |
| 5 | San Ignacio | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 33:23 | 10 | 49 |
| 6 | Derio | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 47:36 | 11 | 48 |
| 7 | Alaves C | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 51:34 | 17 | 47 |
| 8 | Aurrera de Vitoria | 30 | 14 | 5 | 11 | 37:37 | 0 | 47 |
| 9 | Real Sociedad C | 30 | 13 | 4 | 13 | 34:35 | -1 | 43 |
| 10 | UD Aretxabaleta | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 48:50 | -2 | 42 |
| 11 | Durango | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 30:31 | -1 | 37 |
| 12 | Anorga | 30 | 10 | 3 | 17 | 33:52 | -19 | 33 |
| 13 | Zamudio | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 39:50 | -11 | 32 |
| 14 | Santurtzi | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 27:39 | -12 | 32 |
| 15 | Pasaia | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 23:40 | -17 | 32 |
| 16 | Eibar C | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 33:48 | -15 | 29 |
| 17 | Zarautz KE | 30 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 26:56 | -30 | 26 |
| 18 | SD Deusto | 30 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 21:39 | -18 | 22 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
