Result
1:0
07/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 25
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 61', 1 - 0, Baroja M. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Deusto 40.9% | Draw 29.7% | Pasaia 29.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deusto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)Pasaia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deusto than the current prediction. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pasaia than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Deusto - Pasaia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.24 ↓ (2.32) |
3.08 ↓ (3.11) |
3.1 ↑ (2.94) |
9.5% (9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deusto won 2.
- Deusto is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Pasaia's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Deusto might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Deusto won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:5. (average 1.4:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Deusto won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Deusto won against Pasaia?
Deusto has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pasaia won against Deusto?
Pasaia has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deusto - Pasaia were as follows:
25.10.2025
Pasaia
-
Deusto
0:1
18.01.2025
Pasaia
-
Deusto
1:2
07.09.2024
Deusto
-
Pasaia
1:1
17.02.2024
Deusto
-
Pasaia
0:1
30.09.2023
Pasaia
-
Deusto
1:0
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Portugalete | 27 | 21 | 4 | 2 | 58:17 | 41 | 67 |
| 2 | Leioa | 27 | 16 | 4 | 7 | 40:25 | 15 | 52 |
| 3 | Touring KE | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 36:26 | 10 | 47 |
| 4 | Lagun Onak | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 41:26 | 15 | 46 |
| 5 | Derio | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 45:31 | 14 | 46 |
| 6 | Aurrera de Vitoria | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 35:31 | 4 | 46 |
| 7 | Alaves C | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 44:31 | 13 | 42 |
| 8 | San Ignacio | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 27:20 | 7 | 42 |
| 9 | UD Aretxabaleta | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 44:44 | 0 | 38 |
| 10 | Durango | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 29:28 | 1 | 36 |
| 11 | Real Sociedad C | 27 | 11 | 3 | 13 | 29:35 | -6 | 36 |
| 12 | Santurtzi | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 27:35 | -8 | 31 |
| 13 | Pasaia | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 20:32 | -12 | 28 |
| 14 | Eibar C | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 30:43 | -13 | 27 |
| 15 | Anorga | 27 | 8 | 3 | 16 | 26:49 | -23 | 27 |
| 16 | Zamudio | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 28:43 | -15 | 26 |
| 17 | Zarautz KE | 27 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 22:50 | -28 | 22 |
| 18 | SD Deusto | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 18:33 | -15 | 21 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )
Relegation