Pasaia vs Deusto – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4 Pasaia - Deusto
Result
0:1
25/10/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 8

Match Stats

Red Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 47', 0 - 1, ,
  • 90+7', 🟥,

Chances of winning


Pasaia
41.7%
Draw
31.5%
Deusto
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.2% 30.8% 20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50% 30.3% 19.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pasaia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pasaia's form might have worsened.
  • Deusto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deusto's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pasaia than the current prediction. (+8.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pasaia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deusto than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deusto, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Pasaia - Deusto Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.21
    (1.85)
    2.93
    (2.95)
    3.45
    (4.53)
    8.4%
    (10.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: ) and 16 in the zone Relegation).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pasaia won 2.
    • Pasaia is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Deusto is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Deusto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Pasaia is the team to beat.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Pasaia won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 0.7:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Pasaia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pasaia - Deusto were as follows:
    18.01.2025 Pasaia - Deusto 1:2
    07.09.2024 Deusto - Pasaia 1:1
    17.02.2024 Deusto - Pasaia 0:1
    30.09.2023 Pasaia - Deusto 1:0
    18.02.2023 Pasaia - Deusto 0:2
    Latest results of Pasaia
    18.10.2025 Portugalete - Pasaia 0:1
    11.10.2025 Pasaia - San Ignacio 1:1
    05.10.2025 Derio - Pasaia 0:1
    27.09.2025 Pasaia - Touring KE 0:0
    20.09.2025 Alavés C - Pasaia 0:1
    Latest results of Deusto
    18.10.2025 Deusto - Lagun Onak 3:0
    05.10.2025 Portugalete - Deusto 1:0
    27.09.2025 Deusto - San Ignacio 0:1
    21.09.2025 Derio - Deusto 1:1
    14.09.2025 Deusto - Touring KE 0:3
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Portugalete861117:71019
    2UD Aretxabaleta852118:9917
    3Pasaia84225:3214
    4Aurrera de Vitoria842211:10114
    5Leioa841312:7513
    6Derio841312:10213
    7Lagun Onak840416:11512
    8Touring KE83328:5312
    9San Ignacio83237:7011
    10Eibar C831411:14-310
    11Durango81615:509
    12Real Sociedad C83058:9-19
    13Santurtzi82336:8-29
    14Zamudio822412:13-18
    15SD Deusto82245:8-38
    16Alaves C82247:11-48
    17Zarautz KE82244:16-128
    18Anorga81255:16-115

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )
          Relegation