Result
1:1
26/10/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- AFC Challenge League - Round 1
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 India | Vision+ |
 Indonesia | RCTI |
Match Stats
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|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 0.96 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
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| 5 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (432/508) | 76% (237/311) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
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| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 0.96 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 0.39 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
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| 9 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 36 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (432/508) | 76% (237/311) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (28/56) | 38% (25/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (99/141) | 56% (48/86) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (5/16) | 23% (5/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.15 | 0.55 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 76% (13/17) | 83% (10/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 34 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
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| 9 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.39 | 0.54 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.61 | -0.46 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Bong S. ↓, Long P. ↑,
- 60', Dyer M. 🟨,
- 63', Mbaga P. ↓, Bagaskara S. ↑,
- 66', Yem D. 🟥,
- 70', 1 - 0, Vikri E. ⚽, Lilipaly S. (A),
- 71', Ratana E. ↓, Tellez M. ↑,
- 75', 1 - 1, Dyer M. ⚽, Long P. (A),
- 76', Lilipaly S. ↓, Struick R. ↑,
- 76', Ballah A. ↓, Febriansyah E. ↑,
- 80', Orn C. 🟨,
- 80', Kuipers N. 🟨,
- 82', Prasetyo W. ↓, Nurviat R. ↑,
- 83', Feher R. 🟨,
- 86', Sa T. ↓, Kim Seo-In ↑,
- 90+3', Orn C. ↓, Koeut P. ↑,
Chances of winning
Dewa United
60.8% | Draw
21.9% | Phnom Penh Crown
17.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dewa United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dewa United's performance.Phnom Penh Crown has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Phnom Penh Crown might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dewa United than the current prediction. (-15.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dewa United that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Phnom Penh Crown than the current prediction. (+13.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Phnom Penh Crown could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Dewa United - Phnom Penh Crown Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.52 ↓
(2.14) |
4.22 ↑
(3.9) |
5.35 ↑
(2.86) |
8.2%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Dewa United - Phnom Penh Crown?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Dewa United (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Phnom Penh Crown (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Dewa United (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Dewa United will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Dewa United (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Phnom Penh Crown (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Recent performances by Dewa United have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Phnom Penh Crown is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Phnom Penh Crown may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Phnom Penh Crown has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Dewa United is a strong favorite.
- The teams have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Dewa United won against Phnom Penh Crown?
Dewa United has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Phnom Penh Crown won against Dewa United?
Phnom Penh Crown has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Dewa United - Phnom Penh Crown were as follows:
Latest results of Dewa United
Latest results of Phnom Penh Crown
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Al Ansar (B2) | Muras United (C1) | |
| 2 | Al-Shabab (A1) | Al Kuwait (B1) | |
| 3 | Svay Rieng (D1) | Phnom Penh Crown (E2) | 2 : 1, 4 : 1 |
| 4 | Dewa United (E1) | Manila Digger (D2) | 2 : 2, 0 : 1 |
Semi-finalsFinal
