Diana Shnaider vs Anna Kalinskaya – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis WTA Tokyo Diana Shnaider - Anna Kalinskaya
Result
1:2
22/10/2025 at 01:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Tokyo, hard - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
31
Double Faults
51
1st Serve Percentage
72%71%
1st Serve Points Won
67% (52/78)62% (50/81)
2nd Serve Points Won
42% (13/31)42% (14/33)
Break Points Saved
43% (3/7)50% (6/12)
1st Return Points Won
37% (30/81)33% (26/78)
2nd Return Points Won
58% (19/33)58% (18/31)
Break Points Converted
50% (6/12)57% (4/7)
Service Points Won
60% (65/109)57% (64/113)
Return Points Won
43% (49/113)40% (44/109)
Total Points Won
51% (114/222)49% (108/222)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
20
Service Games Won
75% (12/16)63% (10/16)
Return Games Won
38% (6/16)25% (4/16)
Total Games Won
56% (18/32)44% (14/32)

Chances of winning


Diana Shnaider
56.2%
Anna Kalinskaya
43.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.3% 46.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5% 47.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Diana Shnaider has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • Anna Kalinskaya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Diana Shnaider than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Anna Kalinskaya than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • Diana Shnaider - Anna Kalinskaya Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.71
    (1.76)

    2.17
    (2.01)
    4.7%
    (6.6%)
    What is the prediction for Diana Shnaider - Anna Kalinskaya?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Shnaider will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). Kalinskaya will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Shnaider: 48.9%92.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Shnaider (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Shnaider is ranked WTA: 19. Kalinskaya is ranked WTA: 38.
    • Shnaider is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Kalinskaya has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Shnaider may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Diana Shnaider
    Latest results of Anna Kalinskaya
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Bencic B. (5)Bye
    2Wang Xin.Gracheva V. (Q)1 : 2
    3Golubic V. (LL)Joint M.1 : 2
    4Vondrousova M. (RET.)Muchova K. (8)0 : 1
    5Alexandrova E. (3)Bye
    6Charaeva A. (Q)Cristian J.0 : 2
    7Sonobe W. (WC)Bartunkova N. (WC)2 : 0
    8Uchijima M. (WC)Kenin S.0 : 2
    9Shnaider D. (7)Yastremska D.2 : 0
    10Lamens S. (LL)Kalinskaya A.0 : 2
    11Bucsa C. (Q)Kessler M.1 : 2
    12ByeNoskova L. (6)
    13Mboko V. (9)Andreescu B. (WC)2 : 0
    14Boulter K. (Q)Lys E. (Q)0 : 2
    15Fernandez L.Sakkari M. (Q)2 : 0
    16ByeRybakina E. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Bencic B. (5)Gracheva V.
    2Joint M.Muchova K. (8)0 : 2
    3Alexandrova E. (3)Cristian J.
    4Sonobe W.Kenin S.
    5Shnaider D. (7)Kalinskaya A.1 : 2
    6Kessler M.Noskova L. (6)1 : 2
    7Mboko V. (9)Lys E.2 : 0
    8Fernandez L.Rybakina E. (2)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1Muchova K. (8)
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3Kalinskaya A.Noskova L. (6)
    4Mboko V. (9)TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2