Jessica Pegula vs Diana Shnaider – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
03/04/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Charleston, clay - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Aces
00
Double Faults
00
1st serve percentage
80%55%
1st serve points won
63% (5/8)83% (5/6)
2nd serve points won
50% (1/2)60% (3/5)
Break Points Saved
0/00/0
1st return points won
50% (3/6)38% (3/8)
2nd return points won
40% (2/5)50% (1/2)
Break Points Converted
0/00/0
Service Points Won
60% (6/10)73% (8/11)
Return Points Won
27% (3/11)40% (4/10)
Total Points Won
43% (9/21)57% (12/21)
Last 10 balls
55
Match points saved
00
Service games won
100% (1/1)100% (2/2)
Return games won
0% (0/2)0% (0/1)
Total games won
33% (1/3)67% (2/3)

Chances of winning


Jessica Pegula
69.6%
Diana Shnaider
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.7% 32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.2% 32.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jessica Pegula has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • Diana Shnaider has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jessica Pegula than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diana Shnaider than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • Jessica Pegula - Diana Shnaider Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.37
    (1.4)

    3.11
    (2.94)
    5.3%
    (5.4%)
    What is the prediction for Jessica Pegula - Diana Shnaider?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Shnaider (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -4.5 Games - Shnaider (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 Sets - Shnaider (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -5 Games - Shnaider (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Shnaider (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Pegula is ranked WTA: 5. Shnaider is ranked WTA: 19.
    • Pegula is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Shnaider's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Shnaider may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Pegula is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Pegula won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Jessica Pegula - Diana Shnaider were as follows:
    02.09.2024 Diana Shnaider - Jessica Pegula 0:2
    11.08.2024 Diana Shnaider - Jessica Pegula 0:2
    Latest results of Diana Shnaider
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/32-finals
    1Pegula J. (1)Bye
    2Putintseva Y.Sun L.2 : 0
    3Sherif M.Yuan Y. (LL)1 : 2
    4ByeCocciaretto E. (14)
    5Fernandez L. (9)Bye
    6Kudermetova P. (Q)Oliynykova O.2 : 1
    7Lys E.Volynets K.1 : 2
    8ByeShnaider D. (7)
    9Jovic I. (4)Bye
    10Parks A.Stoiana M. (Q)2 : 1
    11Andreescu B. (WC)Galfi D.2 : 1
    12ByeKenin S. (16)
    13Sakkari M. (10)Bye
    14Day K. (Q)Badosa P. (WC)0 : 2
    15Tomova V. (Q)Brady J. (WC)2 : 0
    16ByeKalinskaya A. (8)
    17Keys M. (5)Bye
    18Tomljanovic A.Vekic D. (Q)1 : 2
    19Vidmanova D. (LL)Bondar A.0 : 2
    20ByeFrech M. (11)
    21Bejlek S. (13)Bye
    22Sierra S. (RET.)Urhobo A. (Q)0 : 1
    23Zakharova A.Yastremska D.0 : 2
    24ByeBencic B. (3)
    25Stearns P. (17)Bye
    26Krueger A.McNally C.2 : 1
    27Kalieva E. (LL)Kessler M.1 : 2
    28ByeTjen J. (12)
    29Baptiste H. (15)Bye
    30Stephens S. (WC)Zarazua R.0 : 2
    31Zhang S.Starodubtseva Y.0 : 2
    32ByeGorgodze E. (LL)

    1/16-finals
    1Pegula J. (1)Putintseva Y.2 : 1
    2Yuan Y.Cocciaretto E. (14)0 : 2
    3Fernandez L. (9)Kudermetova P.2 : 0
    4Volynets K.Shnaider D. (7)0 : 2
    5Jovic I. (4)Parks A.2 : 0
    6Andreescu B.Kenin S. (16)0 : 2
    7Sakkari M. (10)Badosa P.0 : 2
    8Tomova V.Kalinskaya A. (8)0 : 2
    9Keys M. (5)Vekic D.2 : 0
    10Bondar A.Frech M. (11)2 : 0
    11Bejlek S. (13)Urhobo A.2 : 0
    12Yastremska D.Bencic B. (3)1 : 2
    13Stearns P. (17)Krueger A.2 : 0
    14Kessler M.Tjen J. (12)2 : 0
    15Baptiste H. (15)Zarazua R.1 : 2
    16Starodubtseva Y.Gorgodze E. (LL)2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Pegula J. (1)Cocciaretto E. (14)2 : 1
    2Fernandez L. (9)Shnaider D. (7)0 : 2
    3Jovic I. (4)Kenin S. (16)2 : 0
    4Badosa P.Kalinskaya A. (8)0 : 2
    5Keys M. (5)Bondar A.2 : 0
    6Bejlek S. (13)Bencic B. (3)0 : 2
    7Stearns P. (17)Kessler M.1 : 2
    8Zarazua R.Starodubtseva Y.0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Pegula J. (1)Shnaider D. (7)2 : 1
    2Jovic I. (4)Kalinskaya A. (8)2 : 0
    3Keys M. (5)Bencic B. (3)2 : 1
    4Kessler M.Starodubtseva Y.0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Pegula J. (1)Jovic I. (4)2 : 1
    2Keys M. (5)Starodubtseva Y.0 : 2

    Final
    1Pegula J. (1)Starodubtseva Y.2 : 0