Diane Parry vs Marta Kostyuk – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis WTA US Open Diane Parry - Marta Kostyuk
Result
1:2
30/08/2025 at 12:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/16-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Aces
13
Double Faults
66
1st Serve Percentage
65%57%
1st Serve Points Won
62% (44/71)73% (38/52)
2nd Serve Points Won
36% (14/39)51% (20/39)
Break Points Saved
69% (11/16)57% (4/7)
Average 1st Serve Speed
151 km/h161 km/h
Average 2nd Serve Speed
134 km/h137 km/h
1st Return Points Won
27% (14/52)44% (31/71)
2nd Return Points Won
49% (19/39)64% (25/39)
Break Points Converted
43% (3/7)31% (5/16)
Winners
2230
Unforced Errors
3034
Net Points Won
65% (11/17)82% (23/28)
Service Points Won
54% (58/107)63% (55/87)
Return Points Won
37% (32/87)46% (49/107)
Total Points Won
46% (90/194)54% (104/194)
Last 10 Balls
28
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
64% (9/14)77% (10/13)
Return Games Won
23% (3/13)36% (5/14)
Total Games Won
44% (12/27)56% (15/27)
Distance Covered (metres)
20742287

Chances of winning


Diane Parry
25.6%
Marta Kostyuk
74.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.1% 72.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7% 68.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Diane Parry has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • Marta Kostyuk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diane Parry than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Diane Parry, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marta Kostyuk than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marta Kostyuk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Diane Parry - Marta Kostyuk Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.73
    (3.52)

    1.28
    (1.31)
    4.7%
    (4.7%)
    What is the prediction for Diane Parry - Marta Kostyuk?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Parry will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Kostyuk will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Kostyuk: 35.9%97.5%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Parry is ranked WTA: 107. Kostyuk is ranked WTA: 28.
    • Parry has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Kostyuk is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Parry may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Kostyuk is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Parry won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).
    Latest results of Diane Parry
    Latest results of Marta Kostyuk
    11.08.2025 Iga Swiatek - Marta Kostyuk Swiatek I. walkover
    04.08.2025 Marta Kostyuk - Elena Rybakina Kostyuk M. retired
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Masarova R.2 : 0
    2Parrizas-Diaz N. (RET.)Kudermetova P.0 : 0
    3Jacquemot E.Bouzkova M.2 : 0
    4Marino R. (Q)Fernandez L. (31)0 : 2
    5Mertens E. (19)Ahn A. (WC)2 : 0
    6Sun L.Osorio C.2 : 1
    7Bucsa C.Liu C. (Q)2 : 0
    8Eala A.Tauson C. (14)2 : 1
    9Rybakina E. (9)Pareja J. (WC)2 : 0
    10Bronzetti L.Valentova T. (Q)1 : 2
    11Raducanu E.Shibahara E. (Q)2 : 0
    12Tjen J. (Q)Kudermetova V. (24)2 : 1
    13Kessler M. (32)Linette M.2 : 0
    14Selekhmeteva O. (Q)Vondrousova M.0 : 2
    15Sasnovich A.Jovic I.0 : 2
    16Aiava D. (Q)Paolini J. (7)0 : 2
    17Pegula J. (4)Sherif M.2 : 0
    18Starodubtseva Y.Blinkova A.0 : 2
    19Azarenka V.Inoue H. (Q)2 : 0
    20Pavlyuchenkova A.Yastremska D. (30)2 : 1
    21Samsonova L. (17)Yuan Y.2 : 1
    22Jeanjean L.Hon P. (Q)0 : 2
    23Li A.Sramkova R.2 : 1
    24Zhang S. (Q)Bencic B. (16)0 : 2
    25Navarro E. (10)Wang Y.2 : 0
    26Teichmann J.McNally C. (WC)0 : 2
    27Uchijima M.Danilovic O.2 : 1
    28Krejcikova B.Mboko V. (22)2 : 0
    29Ostapenko J. (25)Wang Xiy. (Q)2 : 0
    30Townsend T.Ruzic A.2 : 0
    31Potapova A.Zhu L.2 : 1
    32Parks A.Andreeva M. (5)0 : 2
    33Keys M. (6)Zarazua R.1 : 2
    34Kvitova P.Parry D.0 : 2
    35Volynets K. (Q)Sonmez Z.0 : 2
    36Boulter K.Kostyuk M. (27)0 : 2
    37Noskova L. (21)Galfi D. (Q)2 : 0
    38Jones F. (Q)Lys E.0 : 2
    39Cirstea S.Sierra S.2 : 0
    40Williams V. (WC)Muchova K. (11)1 : 2
    41Kasatkina D. (15)Ruse G.2 : 0
    42Rakhimova K.Garcia C. (WC)2 : 1
    43Baptiste H.Siniakova K.2 : 0
    44Minnen G.Osaka N. (23)0 : 2
    45Frech M. (28)Gibson T. (WC)2 : 0
    46Semenistaja D. (Q)Stearns P.0 : 2
    47Vekic D.Bouzas Maneiro J.2 : 1
    48Tomljanovic A.Gauff C. (3)1 : 2
    49Anisimova A. (8)Birrell K.2 : 0
    50Jimenez Kasintseva V. (Q)Joint M.0 : 2
    51Collins D.Cristian J.0 : 2
    52Krueger A.Kenin S. (26)2 : 1
    53Haddad Maia B. (18)Kartal S.2 : 1
    54Boisson L.Golubic V.1 : 2
    55Sakkari M.Maria T.2 : 0
    56Bondar A.Svitolina E. (12)2 : 0
    57Alexandrova E. (13)Sevastova A.2 : 0
    58Dolehide C.Wang Xin.1 : 2
    59Zakharova A.Avanesyan E.2 : 0
    60Siegemund L.Shnaider D. (20)2 : 1
    61Kalinskaya A. (29)Ngounoue C. (WC)2 : 1
    62Putintseva Y.Cocciaretto E.2 : 0
    63Lamens S.Glozman V. (WC)2 : 0
    64Arango E.Swiatek I. (2)0 : 2

    1/32-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Kudermetova P.2 : 0
    2Jacquemot E.Fernandez L. (31)1 : 2
    3Mertens E. (19)Sun L.2 : 0
    4Bucsa C.Eala A.2 : 0
    5Rybakina E. (9)Valentova T.2 : 0
    6Raducanu E.Tjen J.2 : 0
    7Kessler M. (32)Vondrousova M.0 : 2
    8Jovic I.Paolini J. (7)0 : 2
    9Pegula J. (4)Blinkova A.2 : 0
    10Azarenka V.Pavlyuchenkova A.2 : 0
    11Samsonova L. (17)Hon P.1 : 2
    12Li A.Bencic B. (16)2 : 0
    13Navarro E. (10)McNally C.2 : 0
    14Uchijima M.Krejcikova B.0 : 2
    15Ostapenko J. (25)Townsend T.0 : 2
    16Potapova A.Andreeva M. (5)0 : 2
    17Zarazua R.Parry D.1 : 2
    18Sonmez Z.Kostyuk M. (27)1 : 2
    19Noskova L. (21)Lys E. (RET.)1 : 0
    20Cirstea S.Muchova K. (11)1 : 2
    21Kasatkina D. (15)Rakhimova K.2 : 1
    22Baptiste H.Osaka N. (23)0 : 2
    23Frech M. (28)Stearns P.2 : 1
    24Vekic D.Gauff C. (3)0 : 2
    25Anisimova A. (8)Joint M.2 : 0
    26Cristian J.Krueger A.2 : 1
    27Haddad Maia B. (18)Golubic V.2 : 0
    28Sakkari M.Bondar A.2 : 0
    29Alexandrova E. (13)Wang Xin.2 : 0
    30Zakharova A.Siegemund L.0 : 2
    31Kalinskaya A. (29)Putintseva Y.2 : 0
    32Lamens S.Swiatek I. (2)1 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Fernandez L. (31)2 : 0
    2Mertens E. (19)Bucsa C.1 : 2
    3Rybakina E. (9)Raducanu E.2 : 0
    4Vondrousova M.Paolini J. (7)2 : 0
    5Pegula J. (4)Azarenka V.2 : 0
    6Hon P.Li A.0 : 2
    7Navarro E. (10)Krejcikova B.1 : 2
    8Townsend T.Andreeva M. (5)2 : 0
    9Parry D.Kostyuk M. (27)1 : 2
    10Noskova L. (21)Muchova K. (11)1 : 2
    11Kasatkina D. (15)Osaka N. (23)1 : 2
    12Frech M. (28)Gauff C. (3)0 : 2
    13Anisimova A. (8)Cristian J.
    14Haddad Maia B. (18)Sakkari M.
    15Alexandrova E. (13)Siegemund L.2 : 0
    16Kalinskaya A. (29)Swiatek I. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Bucsa C.
    2Rybakina E. (9)Vondrousova M.
    3Pegula J. (4)Li A.
    4Krejcikova B.Townsend T.
    5Kostyuk M. (27)Muchova K. (11)
    6Osaka N. (23)Gauff C. (3)
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8Alexandrova E. (13)TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2