Result
1:0
03/05/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premiere Division - Round 19
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mali | ORTM |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Diarra
29.2% | Draw
32.2% | Binga
38.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Diarra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Diarra's form might have worsened.Binga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Binga's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diarra than the current prediction. (+7.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Diarra, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Binga than the current prediction. (-7.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Binga, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Diarra - Binga Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.14 ↑
(2.56) |
2.85 ↑
(2.81) |
2.38 ↓
(2.78) |
9.1%
(10.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 and 4).
- Diarra has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Binga is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, Binga has had a series of home games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Diarra won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 2.3:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Diarra won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Diarra won against Binga?
Diarra has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Binga won against Diarra?
Binga has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Diarra - Binga were as follows:
27.12.2025
Binga
-
Diarra
1:1
18.03.2025
Binga
-
Diarra
0:4
01.12.2024
Diarra
-
Binga
2:2
Malian Première Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Djoliba | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 26:6 | 20 | 43 |
| 2 | Diarra | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 22:12 | 10 | 37 |
| 3 | Real Bamako | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 24:11 | 13 | 36 |
| 4 | Binga | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 22:10 | 12 | 33 |
| 5 | Stade Malien | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 14:10 | 4 | 33 |
| 6 | USFAS Bamako | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 25:16 | 9 | 32 |
| 7 | Korofina | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 20:21 | -1 | 23 |
| 8 | Derby Academie | 19 | 3 | 12 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 21 |
| 9 | Bougouba | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 12:21 | -9 | 20 |
| 10 | Foot Elite | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 14:26 | -12 | 20 |
| 11 | Bakaridjan | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 12:19 | -7 | 19 |
| 12 | Onze Createurs | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 12:18 | -6 | 17 |
| 13 | Mali Coura | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 12:23 | -11 | 13 |
| 14 | US Bougouni | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 7:26 | -19 | 13 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Relegation
