Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Miguel Damas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
28/02/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Tigre 2, clay - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
12
Double Faults
02
1st serve percentage
84%59%
1st serve points won
56% (43/77)52% (28/54)
2nd serve points won
53% (8/15)55% (21/38)
Break Points Saved
13% (1/8)54% (7/13)
1st return points won
50% (27/54)44% (34/77)
2nd return points won
45% (17/38)47% (7/15)
Break Points Converted
46% (6/13)88% (7/8)
Winners
2138
Unforced errors
2864
Net points won
0% (0/1)90% (9/10)
Service Points Won
55% (51/92)53% (49/92)
Return Points Won
47% (43/92)45% (41/92)
Total Points Won
51% (94/184)49% (90/184)
Last 10 balls
37
Match points saved
10
Service games won
56% (9/16)63% (10/16)
Return games won
38% (6/16)44% (7/16)
Total games won
47% (15/32)53% (17/32)

Chances of winning


Diego Dedura-Palomero
59%
Miguel Damas
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.6% 46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5% 49.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Diego Dedura-Palomero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Diego Dedura-Palomero's performance.
  • Miguel Damas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Miguel Damas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Diego Dedura-Palomero than the current prediction. (-8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Diego Dedura-Palomero that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miguel Damas than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Miguel Damas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Diego Dedura-Palomero - Miguel Damas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.58
    (1.73)

    2.28
    (1.99)
    7%
    (8.1%)
    What is the prediction for Diego Dedura-Palomero - Miguel Damas?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Dedura-Palomero will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Damas will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Dedura-Palomero: 50.6%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Dedura-Palomero (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Damas (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1.5 Sets - Dedura-Palomero (2.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Dedura-Palomero (votes: 3 - 75%). Damas (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Dedura-Palomero is ranked ATP: 311. Damas is ranked ATP: 303.
    • Dedura-Palomero is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Damas has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Dedura-Palomero may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Miguel Damas
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Den Ouden G. (RET.) (1)Dedura D. (Q)0 : 1
    2La Serna J. M. (WC)Aboian V. (Q)2 : 0
    3Aguilar Cardozo J. (Q)Ribeiro E. (Q)2 : 1
    4Varillas J. P.Midon L. (5)2 : 0
    5Prado Angelo J. C. (3)Damas M.0 : 2
    6Estevez J. (WC)Sanchez Jover C.0 : 2
    7Zarate C. M. (WC)Cadenasso G.1 : 2
    8Dutra Da Silva D.Collarini A. (8)2 : 0
    9Rodriguez Taverna S. (7)Sanchez Izquierdo N.0 : 2
    10Diaz Acosta F.Schiessl J. E. (Alt)2 : 0
    11Marcondes I. (Alt)Agamenone F.2 : 0
    12Torres J. B.Bueno G. (4)2 : 0
    13Olivieri G. A. (6)Ambrogi L. E. (Q)2 : 0
    14Sakamoto P. (Alt)Palosi S. (Q)0 : 2
    15Villanueva G. (Alt)Justo G. I.0 : 2
    16Roncadelli F.Guillen Meza A. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Dedura D.La Serna J. M.2 : 0
    2Aguilar Cardozo J. (RET.)Varillas J. P.1 : 1
    3Damas M.Sanchez Jover C.2 : 0
    4Cadenasso G.Dutra Da Silva D.2 : 1
    5Sanchez Izquierdo N.Diaz Acosta F.0 : 2
    6Marcondes I.Torres J. B.0 : 2
    7Olivieri G. A. (6)Palosi S.1 : 2
    8Justo G. I.Guillen Meza A. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Dedura D.Varillas J. P.2 : 0
    2Damas M.Cadenasso G.2 : 0
    3Diaz Acosta F.Torres J. B.2 : 0
    4Palosi S.Guillen Meza A. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Dedura D.Damas M.1 : 2
    2Diaz Acosta F.Guillen Meza A. (2)2 : 1

    Final
    1Damas M.Diaz Acosta F.1 : 2