Difai Ağsu vs Mingachevir – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
18/12/2025 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • I Liqa - Round 11

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
10
Red Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Musazada M. ,
  • 8', 1 - 1, Abdullayev S. ,
  • 31', Musazada M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Difai Ağsu
16.2%
Draw
22.7%
Mingachevir
61.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
19% 24% 57%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.1% 22.7% 53.9%

Difai Ağsu - Mingachevir Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
5.58
(4.8)
3.98
(3.8)
1.48
(1.6)
10.8%
(9.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Difai Ağsu - Mingachevir?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Difai (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Mingachevir will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 9 in the zone I Liqa (Relegation) and 4).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Difai won 1.
    • Difai is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Mingachevir has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Difai may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Mingachevir is the team to beat.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Difai won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 1.3:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Difai won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 2:2.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Difai Ağsu - Mingachevir were as follows:
    24.09.2025 Mingachevir - Difai Ağsu 2:0
    01.05.2025 Difai Ağsu - Mingachevir 1:4
    28.02.2025 Mingachevir - Difai Ağsu 1:0
    28.11.2024 Difai Ağsu - Mingachevir 3:3
    01.05.2024 Difai Ağsu - Mingachevir 4:1
    Latest results of Difai Ağsu
    11.12.2025 Səbail - Difai Ağsu 3:0
    04.12.2025 Difai Ağsu - Sumgayit 1:3
    27.11.2025 Difai Ağsu - MOIK Baku 1:2
    22.11.2025 Şəfa - Difai Ağsu 1:1
    06.11.2025 Difai Ağsu - Zagatala 1:2
    Latest results of Mingachevir
    10.12.2025 Mingachevir - Cəbrayıl 2:0
    20.11.2025 MOIK Baku - Mingachevir 0:3
    05.11.2025 Mingachevir - Şəfa 2:3
    29.10.2025 Gabala - Mingachevir 5:1
    Azerbaijan First Division Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Safa Baku1293027:81930
    2Baku Sporting1274120:11925
    3Sabail1264218:11722
    4Mingachevir1263321:13821
    5Zaqatala1252515:16-117
    6MOIK Baku1242614:17-314
    7Cebrayil1240820:22-212
    8Sahdag Qusar1233615:20-512
    9Difai Agsu1223717:24-79
    10Shimal1212910:35-255

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