Difai Ağsu vs Mingachevir – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Azerbaijan First Division Difai Ağsu - Mingachevir
Result
1:4
01/05/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • I Liqa - Round 24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 8', 0 - 1, Aliyev N. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 59', 0 - 2, Farmanov T. ,
  • 70', 1 - 2, Kamta K. (Pen),
  • 75', 1 - 3, Farmanov T. ,
  • 90+3', 1 - 4, Aliyev N. ,

Chances of winning


Difai Ağsu
37%
Draw
28.2%
Mingachevir
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.1% 30.3% 29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2% 29.5% 28.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Difai Ağsu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • Mingachevir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mingachevir's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Difai Ağsu than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mingachevir than the current prediction. (-6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mingachevir, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Difai Ağsu - Mingachevir Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.45
    (2.27)
    3.22
    (3)
    2.61
    (3.07)
    10.2%
    (10%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Difai will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Difai won 1 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7 (average 1.6:1.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams, Difai won 1 matches, drew 1 matches, lost 1 matches, and goals 7:5 (average 2.3:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Difai Ağsu - Mingachevir were as follows:
    28.02.2025 Mingachevir - Difai Ağsu 1:0
    28.11.2024 Difai Ağsu - Mingachevir 3:3
    01.05.2024 Difai Ağsu - Mingachevir 4:1
    29.02.2024 Mingachevir - Difai Ağsu 1:1
    09.11.2023 Difai Ağsu - Mingachevir 0:1
    Latest results of Difai Ağsu
    17.04.2025 Difai Ağsu - Zagatala 1:0
    03.04.2025 Difai Ağsu - Karvan 3:5
    27.03.2025 MOIK Baku - Difai Ağsu 1:3
    13.03.2025 Cəbrayıl - Difai Ağsu 0:4
    Latest results of Mingachevir
    17.04.2025 Cəbrayıl - Mingachevir 2:0
    03.04.2025 Mingachevir - Zagatala 2:2
    28.03.2025 Gabala - Mingachevir 2:0
    Draw
    Relegation

    Final
    1Difai AgsuHypers Guba3 : 1