Result
1:1
18/12/2025 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 2', 1 - 0, Musazada M. ⚽,
- 8', 1 - 1, Abdullayev S. ⚽,
- 31', Musazada M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Difai Ağsu
16.2% | Draw
22.7% | Mingachevir
61.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Difai Ağsu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)Mingachevir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Difai Ağsu than the current prediction. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mingachevir than the current prediction. (-7.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mingachevir, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Difai Ağsu - Mingachevir Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.58 ↑
(4.8) |
3.98 ↑
(3.8) |
1.48 ↓
(1.6) |
10.8%
(9.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Difai Ağsu - Mingachevir?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Difai (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Mingachevir (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Mingachevir (1.29) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Mingachevir will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Difai (votes: 1 - 25%). Mingachevir (votes: 3 - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 9 in the zone I Liqa (Relegation) and 4).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Difai won 1.
- Difai is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Mingachevir has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Difai may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Mingachevir is the team to beat.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Difai won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 1.3:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Difai won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 2:2.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Difai Ağsu won against Mingachevir?
Difai Ağsu has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mingachevir won against Difai Ağsu?
Mingachevir has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Difai Ağsu - Mingachevir were as follows:
24.09.2025
Mingachevir
-
Difai Ağsu
2:0
01.05.2025
Difai Ağsu
-
Mingachevir
1:4
28.02.2025
Mingachevir
-
Difai Ağsu
1:0
28.11.2024
Difai Ağsu
-
Mingachevir
3:3
01.05.2024
Difai Ağsu
-
Mingachevir
4:1
Latest results of Difai Ağsu
Latest results of Mingachevir
Azerbaijan First Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Safa Baku | 16 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 38:12 | 26 | 36 |
| 2 | Baku Sporting | 16 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 25:13 | 12 | 33 |
| 3 | Mingachevir | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 28:15 | 13 | 29 |
| 4 | Sabail | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 27 |
| 5 | Sahdag Qusar | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 25:22 | 3 | 24 |
| 6 | Zaqatala | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17:19 | -2 | 21 |
| 7 | MOIK Baku | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 17:23 | -6 | 18 |
| 8 | Cebrayil | 16 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 27:33 | -6 | 13 |
| 9 | Difai Agsu | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 22:39 | -17 | 12 |
| 10 | Shimal | 16 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 14:44 | -30 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
I Liqa (Relegation)
Relegation
