Ilves vs Differdange 03 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

16/07/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Tammelan Stadion (Tampere).

Conference League - Qualification - 1/8-finals
Referee: Sundberg J. (Den)

Match Stats


Ball possession
60%	40%
Total shots
12	6
Shots on target
6	2
Corner kicks
0	2
Yellow cards
2	1
Red cards
1	2
Total shots
12	6
Shots on target
6	2
Shots off target
6	3
Blocked shots
0	1
Corner kicks
0	2
Offsides
1	3
Free kicks
9	11
Throw ins
14	14
Fouls
10	7

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
21', Bamba G. 🟨,
45', 0 - 1, Thill S. ⚽, Rivas E. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Bamba G. ↓, Pettersson O. ↑,
57', 1 - 1, Raap Y. ⚽, Kanga J. (A),
60', Veteli J. ↓, Kilo J. ↑,
60', Miettunen T. ↓, Riski Ro. ↑,
68', 2 - 1, Kanga J. (Penalty Awarded),
68', Raap Y. 🟥,
69', Gustavo Vintecinco 🟥,
69', Bedouret J. 🟥,
69', Bruninho 🟨,
75', 3 - 1, Riski Ro. ⚽, Kanga J. (A),
75', Bruninho ↓, Mfoumou B. ↑,
75', Rivas E. ↓, Melhor S. ↑,
78', Thill S. ↓, Pinto R. ↑,
78', Franzoni G. ↓, Mabuza M. ↑,
78', Hytonen T. ↓, Multala O. ↑,
81', Kumpu V. 🟨,
85', Kanga J. ↓, Vaisanen S. ↑,
86', Resende P. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Ilves
57%

Draw
24.5%

Differdange 03
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62%

23.9%

14.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.9%

23.1%

14.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ilves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Differdange 03 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Differdange 03 than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Ilves - Differdange 03 Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.49)	3.84 ↓ (3.86)	5.02 ↓ (6.52)	7.5% (8.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Ilves - Differdange 03?

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Ilves will win (votes: 15 - 75%). Differdange 03 will win (votes: 2 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ilves: 56% – 94%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ilves (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

1X2, 1st Half - draw (2.38) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

First leg result: 0-0.
Ilves is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Differdange 03 has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Ilves may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Ilves has had a series of away games.
Recently, Differdange 03 has had a series of home games.
In this match, Ilves is seen as the favorite.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ilves won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

How many head-to-head matches has Ilves won against Differdange 03?

Ilves has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Differdange 03 won against Ilves?

Differdange 03 has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Ilves - Differdange 03 were as follows:

08.07.2026 Differdange 03 - Ilves 0:0

Latest results of Ilves

08.07.2026 Differdange 03 - Ilves 0:0 ✺

04.07.2026 FF Jaro - Ilves 2:1 ✺

01.07.2026 HJK - Ilves 2:1 ✺

27.06.2026 Ilves - SJK 2:2 ✺

23.06.2026 KuPS Kuopio - Ilves 4:3 ✺

Latest results of Differdange 03

08.07.2026 Differdange 03 - Ilves 0:0 ✺

01.07.2026 Differdange 03 - F91 Dudelange 2:0 ✺

19.06.2026 Differdange 03 - UNA Strassen 1:1 ✺

29.05.2026 Differdange 03 - Victoria Rosport 4:1 ✺

23.05.2026 Atert Bissen - Differdange 03 1:0 ✺

Draw

2026/27

1/8-finals

1	Rijeka	Bye
2	Bye	Derry City
3	Lugano	Bye
4	Bye	Dukagjini
5	FCSB	Bye
6	Bye	Auda
7	Rakow	Bye
8	Bye	Valletta
9	Debrecen	Bye
10	Marsaxlokk	Pyunik Yerevan	0 : 1, 0 : 3
11	Goteborg	Bye
12	Caernarfon	Levadia	0 : 5, 0 : 5
13	Varazdin	Bye
14	Bye	Jablonec
15	Bravo	Bye
16	Europa FC	Shkendija	0 : 1, 0 : 5
17	Shelbourne	Bye
18	Kalju	Linfield	2 : 2, 1 : 0
19	Zimbru Chisinau	Bye
20	Bye	Noah
21	Aluminij	Bye
22	Dinamo Tirana	FC Astana	4 : 1, 0 : 1
23	AF Elbasani	BATE	0 : 1, 1 : 1
24	Bye	Sion
25	Motherwell	Bye
26	Bye	HB Torshavn
27	Vllaznia	Malisheva	0 : 5, 2 : 1
28	Bye	Hibernian
29	Paks	Bye
30	Bye	Panathinaikos
31	Vojvodina	Bye
32	Bye	Ajax
33	LNZ Cherkasy	Bye
34	Bye	Gent
35	Hapoel Tel Aviv	Bye
36	Bye	Ludogorets
37	Bohemians	St Josephs	0 : 0, 2 : 0
38	Connahs Q.	FC Ballkani	2 : 3, 0 : 0
39	Vaduz	Bye
40	Mornar Bar	Atletic Escaldes	1 : 2, 1 : 2
41	NSI Runavik	Hamrun	2 : 1, 1 : 1
42	Bye	Koper
43	Partizan	Bye
44	UNA Strassen	La Fiorita	2 : 0, 1 : 0
45	Basaksehir	Bye
46	FK Sarajevo	Inter Turku	1 : 2, 1 : 1
47	HJK	Bye
48	Bye	Coleraine
49	Glentoran	RFS	0 : 2, 1 : 2
50	Bye	Vestri
51	Decic	FK Liepaja	1 : 2, 0 : 1
52	Bye	Austria Vienna
53	GAIS	Bye
54	Bye	Nordsjaelland
55	Zilina	Bye
56	Bye	GKS Katowice
57	Dila Gori	Virtus	0 : 1, 3 : 1
58	Bye	Apollon
59	U. Cluj	Bye
60	Bye	Brann
61	Valur	Bye
62	Bye	Zrinjski
63	Mondorf	Dinamo Tbilisi	1 : 1, 1 : 2
64	Petrovac	Zalgiris	1 : 2, 1 : 3
65	Dun. Streda	Bye
66	Velez Mostar	Milsami	1 : 0, 1 : 1
67	Vikingur	Stjarnan	2 : 2, 1 : 3
68	Differdange	Ilves	1 : 3, 0 : 0
69	FK Panevezys	Bye
70	Bye	Tobol
71	Neftci Baku	Bye
72	Din. Minsk	Sileks	2 : 0, 0 : 1
73	Zeleznicar Pancevo	Bye
74	Bye	Braga
75	Polissya Zhytomyr	Bye
76	Bye	FC Copenhagen
77	Penybont	FC Santa Coloma	0 : 3, 0 : 1
78	Bye	SK Rapid
79	Alashkert	Yelimay Semey	3 : 2, 1 : 1
80	Bye	CFR Cluj
81	Hegelmann	Paide	0 : 3, 1 : 1
82	Zira	Torpedo Kutaisi	3 : 0, 3 : 0
83	Trnava	Bye
84	Bye	CSKA 1948 Sofia
85	AEK Larnaca	Bye
86	Bye	Beitar Jerusalem
87	Borac Banja Luka	Bye
88	Bye	Petrocub
89	Bissen	Bye
90	Bye	Gyor
91	ML Vitebsk	Bye
92	Bye	Sutjeska
93	Flora	Bye
94	Bye	TNS
95	Floriana	Bye
96	Bye	Drita
97	Vardar	Bye
98	Bye	Riga FC

Quarter-finals

1	Rijeka	Derry City
2	Lugano	Dukagjini
3	FCSB	Auda
4	Rakow	Valletta
5	Debrecen	Pyunik Yerevan
6	Goteborg	Levadia
7	Varazdin	Jablonec
8	Bravo	Shkendija
9	Shelbourne	Kalju
10	Zimbru Chisinau	Noah
11	Aluminij	Dinamo Tirana
12	BATE	Sion
13	Motherwell	HB Torshavn
14	Malisheva	Hibernian
15	Paks	Panathinaikos
16	Vojvodina	Ajax
17	LNZ Cherkasy	Gent
18	Hapoel Tel Aviv	Ludogorets
19	Bohemians	FC Ballkani
20	Vaduz	Atletic Escaldes
21	NSI Runavik	Koper
22	Partizan	UNA Strassen
23	Basaksehir	Inter Turku
24	HJK	Coleraine
25	RFS	Vestri
26	FK Liepaja	Austria Vienna
27	GAIS	Nordsjaelland
28	Zilina	GKS Katowice
29	Dila Gori	Apollon
30	U. Cluj	Brann
31	Valur	Zrinjski
32	Dinamo Tbilisi	Zalgiris
33	Dun. Streda	Velez Mostar
34	Stjarnan	Ilves
35	FK Panevezys	Tobol
36	Neftci Baku	Din. Minsk
37	Zeleznicar Pancevo	Braga
38	Polissya Zhytomyr	FC Copenhagen
39	FC Santa Coloma	SK Rapid
40	Alashkert	CFR Cluj
41	Paide	Zira
42	Trnava	CSKA 1948 Sofia
43	AEK Larnaca	Beitar Jerusalem
44	Borac Banja Luka	Petrocub
45	Bissen	Gyor
46	ML Vitebsk	Sutjeska
47	Flora	TNS
48	Floriana	Drita
49	Vardar	Riga FC