Differdange 03 vs Progrès Niedercorn – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
30/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • BGL Ligue - Round 14

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
44
Red Cards
21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 35', Franzoni G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 47', Ahmetxjekaj A. 🟨,
  • 65', 1 - 0, Lempereur D. ,
  • 65', Chambon H. , Hoxha F. ,
  • 66', Pacheco E. , Abreu A. ,
  • 66', Hadji S. , Buch A. ,
  • 71', Hoxha F. 🟨,
  • 76', Bouche Y. 🟨,
  • 78', Bouche Y. , Schmid J. ,
  • 78', Ahmetxhekaj D. , Souchard T. ,
  • 79', 1 - 1, Souchard T. ,
  • 80', El Idrissi A. , Mfoumou B. ,
  • 90', Avdusinovic K. , Camara M. ,
  • 90+1', Bedouret J. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Bedouret J. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Lempereur D. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Guett A. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Duarte C. 🟥,
  • 90+5', Abreu A. 🟥,

Chances of winning


Differdange 03
56.8%
Draw
24.7%
Progrès Niedercorn
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.9% 25.5% 21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1% 24% 20.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Differdange 03 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • Progrès Niedercorn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Differdange 03 than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Progrès Niedercorn than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • Differdange 03 - Progrès Niedercorn Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.6
    (1.69)
    3.68
    (3.5)
    4.9
    (4.15)
    10.1%
    (11.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Differdange 03 - Progrès Niedercorn?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Differdange 03 (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 5).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Differdange 03 won 4.
    • Differdange 03 has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Progrès Niedercorn's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Differdange 03 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Differdange 03 has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Differdange 03 is the team to beat.
    • We predict that Differdange 03 will win today's game, with odds of 1.59.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Differdange 03 won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 26:24. (average 1.3:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Differdange 03 won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:12. (average 1.8:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Differdange 03 - Progrès Niedercorn were as follows:
    01.03.2025 Progrès Niedercorn - Differdange 03 0:2
    01.09.2024 Differdange 03 - Progrès Niedercorn 1:0
    13.05.2024 Progrès Niedercorn - Differdange 03 0:1
    24.04.2024 Progrès Niedercorn - Differdange 03 2:0
    03.12.2023 Differdange 03 - Progrès Niedercorn 3:1
    Latest results of Differdange 03
    Latest results of Progrès Niedercorn
    Luxembourg National Division Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Differdange19135144:133144
    2UNA Strassen19123443:192439
    3Bissen19123442:182439
    4Mondorf19130634:151939
    5Dudelange19114442:271537
    6Jeunesse Esch1976623:20327
    7Niedercorn1974828:27125
    8Jeunesse Canach1973925:27-224
    9Hostert1966719:29-1024
    10Hesperange1964921:29-822
    11Racing Luxembourg1955924:32-820
    12Victoria Rosport1955918:29-1120
    13Kaerjeng19541028:34-619
    14FC Mamer19511321:44-2316
    15Rodange19361015:43-2815
    16Union Titus Petange19351116:37-2114

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          BGL Ligue (Relegation)
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