Result
2:1
01/04/2023 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 29
- Referee: Paradis G. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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France | Amazon Prime Video |
Chances of winning
Caen 50% | Draw 28.6% | Dijon 21.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Caen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Dijon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caen than the current prediction. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dijon than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Caen - Dijon Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.88 ↑ (1.84) |
3.26 ↓ (3.41) |
4.42 ↑ (4.31) |
6.4% (6.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Caen - Dijon?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Caen will win (votes: 13 - 72.2%). Dijon will win (votes: 1 - 5.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Caen: 51.5% – 92.9%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 6 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ National).
- Caen has the most likely position - 5 (22.34%), project points - 58, currently - 43, a very small chance of relegated (<1%), a very small chance of promoted (2%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- Dijon has the most likely position - 19 (22.87%), project points - 38, currently - 26, a good chance of relegated (77%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), not chance of win league.
- This event has quality 32, small importance 28, small match rating 30. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Caen won 1.
- Caen is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Recent matches Dijon is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- In this match Caen is a favorite.
- Last 16 head-to-head matches Caen won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 20-26.
- Including matches at home between the teams Caen won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13-11.
How many head-to-head matches has Caen won against Dijon?
Caen has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dijon won against Caen?
Dijon has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Caen - Dijon were as follows:
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | St Etienne | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8:3 | 5 | 7 |
2 | Pau FC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 7 |
3 | Nancy | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 7 |
4 | Troyes | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 7 |
5 | Clermont | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 5 |
6 | Red Star | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 4 |
7 | Amiens | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 4 |
8 | Montpellier | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
9 | Annecy | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
10 | Le Mans | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
11 | Reims | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
12 | Laval | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5:5 | 0 | 3 |
13 | Dunkerque | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5:7 | -2 | 2 |
14 | Rodez | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:5 | -4 | 2 |
15 | Bastia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
16 | Grenoble | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 1 |
17 | Guingamp | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:8 | -5 | 1 |
18 | Boulogne | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National