Dinamo Samarqand vs Nasaf Qarshi – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
12/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Super League - Round 3
  • Referee: Rahmonov D. (Uzb)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
uzbekistanUzbekistanMTRK Sport

Match Stats

Ball possession
47%53%
Total shots
912
Shots on target
45
Corner kicks
34
Yellow cards
31
Total shots
912
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
57
Corner kicks
34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 13', Amanov A. 🟨,
  • 15', Abdusalomov J. 🟨,
  • 33', Rustamov O. 🟨,
  • 44', 1 - 0, Hojimirzayev A. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Kodirkulov S. , Mustafoev S. ,
  • 46', Sarfo K. , Salou D. ,
  • 46', Davronov A. , Abdunazarov D. ,
  • 61', Gaybullaev G. , Xushvaqtov Q. ,
  • 75', Dembele M. , Brasil M. ,
  • 78', Yuldashev R. , Mavretic T. ,
  • 79', Abdikholikov B. , Usmonov D. ,
  • 79', Bakhromov S. , Berdirahmonov Y. ,
  • 82', Hojimirzayev A. , Khoshimov U. ,
  • 89', Abdirakhmatov Z. , Khalilov B. ,
  • 90', Nemanov E. 🟨,
  • 90+2', 1 - 1, Mukhitdinov S. , Rustamov O. (A),

Official Live

Chances of winning


Dinamo Samarqand
30%
Draw
31.6%
Nasaf Qarshi
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.9% 30.5% 32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5% 31% 32.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Dinamo Samarqand has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dinamo Samarqand's form might have worsened.
  • Nasaf Qarshi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nasaf Qarshi's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dinamo Samarqand than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dinamo Samarqand, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nasaf Qarshi than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nasaf Qarshi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Dinamo Samarqand - Nasaf Qarshi Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.05
    (2.49)
    2.9
    (3.02)
    2.39
    (2.82)
    9.1%
    (8.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Dinamo Samarqand - Nasaf Qarshi?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Nasaf will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH 0 - Dinamo Samarqand (2.18) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Nasaf (2.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Dinamo Samarqand (votes: 1 - 20%). Nasaf (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dinamo Samarqand won 0.
    • In recent matches, Dinamo Samarqand has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Nasaf is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Recently, Dinamo Samarqand has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Dinamo Samarqand won 0 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 8:26. (average 0.6:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Dinamo Samarqand won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:15. (average 0.8:2.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Dinamo Samarqand - Nasaf Qarshi were as follows:
    29.11.2025 Nasaf Qarshi - Dinamo Samarqand 0:0
    06.07.2025 Dinamo Samarqand - Nasaf Qarshi 2:2
    28.10.2024 Dinamo Samarqand - Nasaf Qarshi 1:2
    25.05.2024 Nasaf Qarshi - Dinamo Samarqand 1:1
    03.11.2022 Nasaf Qarshi - Dinamo Samarqand 1:0
    Latest results of Dinamo Samarqand
    Latest results of Nasaf Qarshi
    Uzbek League Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Neftchi Fargona650116:21415
    2Pakhtakor650112:6615
    3Navbahor Namangan750210:5515
    4Buxoro64119:5413
    5Bunyodkor64117:3413
    6Nasaf Qarshi63216:3311
    7Lok. Tashkent73229:8111
    8Xorazm Urganch62226:608
    9OKMK72237:9-28
    10Termez Surkhon72236:10-48
    11Din. Samarkand72149:12-37
    12Andijan72058:9-16
    13Kokand 191261326:7-16
    14Qizilqum62044:10-66
    15Sogdiana60247:16-92
    16Mashal Muborak60061:12-110

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