Result
1:1
12/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 3
- Referee: Rahmonov D. (Uzb)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Uzbekistan | MTRK Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 13', Amanov A. 🟨,
- 15', Abdusalomov J. 🟨,
- 33', Rustamov O. 🟨,
- 44', 1 - 0, Hojimirzayev A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Kodirkulov S. ↓, Mustafoev S. ↑,
- 46', Sarfo K. ↓, Salou D. ↑,
- 46', Davronov A. ↓, Abdunazarov D. ↑,
- 61', Gaybullaev G. ↓, Xushvaqtov Q. ↑,
- 75', Dembele M. ↓, Brasil M. ↑,
- 78', Yuldashev R. ↓, Mavretic T. ↑,
- 79', Abdikholikov B. ↓, Usmonov D. ↑,
- 79', Bakhromov S. ↓, Berdirahmonov Y. ↑,
- 82', Hojimirzayev A. ↓, Khoshimov U. ↑,
- 89', Abdirakhmatov Z. ↓, Khalilov B. ↑,
- 90', Nemanov E. 🟨,
- 90+2', 1 - 1, Mukhitdinov S. ⚽, Rustamov O. (A),
Chances of winning
Dinamo Samarqand
30% | Draw
31.6% | Nasaf Qarshi
38.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dinamo Samarqand has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dinamo Samarqand's form might have worsened.Nasaf Qarshi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nasaf Qarshi's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dinamo Samarqand than the current prediction. (+7.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dinamo Samarqand, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nasaf Qarshi than the current prediction. (-6.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nasaf Qarshi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Dinamo Samarqand - Nasaf Qarshi Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.05 ↑
(2.49) |
2.9 ↓
(3.02) |
2.39 ↓
(2.82) |
9.1%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Dinamo Samarqand - Nasaf Qarshi?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Nasaf will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH 0 - Dinamo Samarqand (2.18) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- AH +0.5 - Nasaf (2.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Dinamo Samarqand (votes: 1 - 20%). Nasaf (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dinamo Samarqand won 0.
- In recent matches, Dinamo Samarqand has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Nasaf is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Recently, Dinamo Samarqand has had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Dinamo Samarqand won 0 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 8:26. (average 0.6:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Dinamo Samarqand won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:15. (average 0.8:2.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Dinamo Samarqand won against Nasaf Qarshi?
Dinamo Samarqand has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nasaf Qarshi won against Dinamo Samarqand?
Nasaf Qarshi has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Dinamo Samarqand - Nasaf Qarshi were as follows:
29.11.2025
Nasaf Qarshi
-
Dinamo Samarqand
0:0
06.07.2025
Dinamo Samarqand
-
Nasaf Qarshi
2:2
28.10.2024
Dinamo Samarqand
-
Nasaf Qarshi
1:2
25.05.2024
Nasaf Qarshi
-
Dinamo Samarqand
1:1
03.11.2022
Nasaf Qarshi
-
Dinamo Samarqand
1:0
Latest results of Dinamo Samarqand
Latest results of Nasaf Qarshi
Uzbek League Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Neftchi Fargona | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 25:3 | 22 | 27 |
| 2 | Pakhtakor | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 21:11 | 10 | 25 |
| 3 | Buxoro | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15:11 | 4 | 20 |
| 4 | Navbahor Namangan | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 14:8 | 6 | 19 |
| 5 | Bunyodkor | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 13:10 | 3 | 19 |
| 6 | OKMK | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14:14 | 0 | 15 |
| 7 | Lok. Tashkent | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13:14 | -1 | 14 |
| 8 | Andijan | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 13:11 | 2 | 13 |
| 9 | Nasaf Qarshi | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 13 |
| 10 | Xorazm Urganch | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 13 |
| 11 | Qizilqum | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 8:14 | -6 | 13 |
| 12 | Din. Samarkand | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 17:21 | -4 | 11 |
| 13 | Termez Surkhon | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10:17 | -7 | 11 |
| 14 | Sogdiana | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 19:25 | -6 | 9 |
| 15 | Kokand 1912 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 9:15 | -6 | 8 |
| 16 | Mashal Muborak | 11 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4:21 | -17 | 0 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Super League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Pro Liga
