Result
5:4 penalties
06/12/2025 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 0)
- 09:03, 1 - 0, Kireyev R. (G), Zhuk A. (A), Shermakov A. (A2)
- 2nd Period (1 - 3)
- 01:24, 1 - 1, Salygo N. (G), Khodorovich N. (A),
- 15:25, 2 - 1, Akhsyanov B. (G), Kireyev R. (A),
- 16:54, 2 - 2, Belkin B. (G), Salygo N. (A), Yatsenko A. (A2)
- 19:51, 2 - 3, Khodorovich N. (G), Lakhnov I. (A), Nevera D. (A2)
- 3rd Period (2 - 1)
- 01:22, 2 - 4, Rusakov A. (G), Salygo N. (A), Khodorovich N. (A2)
- 18:23, 3 - 4, Zagrebin M. (G), Shcherbakov N. (A),
- 19:02, 4 - 4, Khabibullin A. (G), Shcherbakov N. (A), Pykhtin D. (A2)
- Overtime (0 - 0)
- Penalties (1 - 0)
- 1, Shcherbakov N. (Penalty Shot),
- 1, Salygo N. (Penalty Shot),
- 2, Shebyakin M. (Penalty Shot),
- 2, Khobyan D. (Penalty Shot),
- 3, Adamyan A. (Penalty Shot),
- 3, Belkin B. (Penalty Shot),
Chances of winning
Tolpar
31.5% | Draw
22.5% | Dinamo-Shinnik
46% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tolpar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tolpar's form might have worsened.Dinamo-Shinnik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dinamo-Shinnik's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tolpar than the current prediction. (+11.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tolpar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dinamo-Shinnik than the current prediction. (-10.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dinamo-Shinnik, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Tolpar - Dinamo-Shinnik Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.92 ↑
(2.24) |
4.09 ↓
(4.13) |
2 ↓
(2.43) |
8.7%
(10.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
Preview Facts
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Dinamo-Shinnik may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Dinamo-Shinnik has had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- We predict that Tolpar will win today's game, with odds of 2.38.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Tolpar won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).
- Including home match between the teams, Tolpar won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Tolpar won against Dinamo-Shinnik?
Tolpar has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dinamo-Shinnik won against Tolpar?
Dinamo-Shinnik has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tolpar - Dinamo-Shinnik were as follows:
18.09.2025
Dinamo-Shinnik
-
Tolpar
2:3
Latest results of Dinamo-Shinnik
MHL Table
2025/26Western Conference - Gold Division | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Loko ✔ | 57 | 41 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 258:99 | 99 |
| 2 | Dyn. Moscow ✔ | 56 | 32 | 9 | 3 | 12 | 205:127 | 85 |
| 3 | SKA-1946 ✔ | 57 | 35 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 217:124 | 83 |
| 4 | Krasnaya Armiya | 57 | 31 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 194:126 | 83 |
| 5 | MHC Spartak | 56 | 34 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 220:141 | 81 |
| 6 | Mikhaylov Academy U20 | 57 | 30 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 184:135 | 76 |
| 7 | Dinamo-Shinnik | 56 | 24 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 161:127 | 71 |
| 8 | Din. St. Petersburg | 57 | 30 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 184:158 | 69 |
| 9 | Almaz | 57 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 23 | 179:168 | 67 |
Western Conference - Silver Division | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tayfun | 59 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 22 | 152:152 | 66 |
| 2 | Krylya Sovetov | 58 | 21 | 5 | 12 | 20 | 150:167 | 64 |
| 3 | SKA-Akademiya | 59 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 25 | 164:201 | 60 |
| 4 | MHC Spartak MAX | 58 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 26 | 182:190 | 59 |
| 5 | AKM-Junior | 57 | 20 | 6 | 4 | 27 | 150:167 | 56 |
| 6 | Sakhalinskie Akuly | 57 | 18 | 8 | 1 | 30 | 139:161 | 53 |
| 7 | Atlant | 58 | 22 | 2 | 4 | 30 | 157:183 | 52 |
| 8 | Amurskie Tigry | 59 | 20 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 135:190 | 52 |
| 9 | Kapitan | 58 | 21 | 3 | 3 | 31 | 150:178 | 51 |
| 10 | Dinamo Karelia | 59 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 45 | 147:291 | 25 |
| 11 | Red Mashine | 59 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 53 | 98:299 | 10 |
Eastern Conference - Gold Division | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Omskie Yastreby ✔ | 55 | 33 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 208:109 | 80 |
| 2 | Irbis | 54 | 31 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 173:109 | 77 |
| 3 | Stalnye Lisy | 54 | 30 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 198:131 | 77 |
| 4 | Tolpar | 55 | 25 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 203:146 | 73 |
| 5 | Mamonty Yugry | 54 | 23 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 156:126 | 70 |
| 6 | Chaika | 54 | 27 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 160:144 | 69 |
| 7 | Avto | 54 | 31 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 179:160 | 68 |
| 8 | Belye Medvedi | 54 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 20 | 169:150 | 66 |
| 9 | Kuznetskie Medvedi | 55 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 26 | 137:178 | 51 |
Eastern Conference - Silver Division | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Ladya | 55 | 27 | 9 | 1 | 18 | 153:118 | 73 |
| 2 | Loko-76 | 53 | 23 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 154:118 | 70 |
| 3 | Sibirskie Snaipery | 54 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 180:128 | 69 |
| 4 | Reaktor | 54 | 21 | 5 | 6 | 22 | 171:166 | 58 |
| 5 | Sputnik Almetievsk | 57 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 30 | 177:228 | 50 |
| 6 | Krasnoyarskie Rysi | 55 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 29 | 129:168 | 46 |
| 7 | Molot Perm | 54 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 30 | 140:204 | 41 |
| 8 | AKM-Novomoskovsk | 55 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 34 | 122:224 | 34 |
| 9 | Tyumensky Legion | 52 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 39 | 102:220 | 24 |
| 10 | Snezhnye Barsy | 53 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 40 | 107:233 | 23 |
Promotion ~ MHL (Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Loko is Qualified for MHL (Play Offs )
Dyn. Moscow is Qualified for MHL (Play Offs )
SKA-1946 is Qualified for MHL (Play Offs )
Omskie Yastreby is Qualified for MHL (Play Offs )
