Tolpar vs Dinamo-Shinnik – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:4 penalties
06/12/2025 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • MHL

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 0)
  • 09:03, 1 - 0, Kireyev R. (G), Zhuk A. (A), Shermakov A. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (1 - 3)
  • 01:24, 1 - 1, Salygo N. (G), Khodorovich N. (A),
  • 15:25, 2 - 1, Akhsyanov B. (G), Kireyev R. (A),
  • 16:54, 2 - 2, Belkin B. (G), Salygo N. (A), Yatsenko A. (A2)
  • 19:51, 2 - 3, Khodorovich N. (G), Lakhnov I. (A), Nevera D. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (2 - 1)
  • 01:22, 2 - 4, Rusakov A. (G), Salygo N. (A), Khodorovich N. (A2)
  • 18:23, 3 - 4, Zagrebin M. (G), Shcherbakov N. (A),
  • 19:02, 4 - 4, Khabibullin A. (G), Shcherbakov N. (A), Pykhtin D. (A2)
  • Overtime (0 - 0)
  • Penalties (1 - 0)
  • 1, Shcherbakov N. (Penalty Shot),
  • 1, Salygo N. (Penalty Shot),
  • 2, Shebyakin M. (Penalty Shot),
  • 2, Khobyan D. (Penalty Shot),
  • 3, Adamyan A. (Penalty Shot),
  • 3, Belkin B. (Penalty Shot),

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Tolpar
31.5%
Draw
22.5%
Dinamo-Shinnik
46%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.6% 22% 37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43% 20.8% 35.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tolpar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tolpar's form might have worsened.
  • Dinamo-Shinnik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dinamo-Shinnik's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tolpar than the current prediction. (+11.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tolpar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dinamo-Shinnik than the current prediction. (-10.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dinamo-Shinnik, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Tolpar - Dinamo-Shinnik Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.92
    (2.24)
    4.09
    (4.13)
    2
    (2.43)
    8.7%
    (10.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
    Preview Facts
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Dinamo-Shinnik may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Dinamo-Shinnik has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • We predict that Tolpar will win today's game, with odds of 2.38.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Tolpar won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).
    • Including home match between the teams, Tolpar won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tolpar - Dinamo-Shinnik were as follows:
    18.09.2025 Dinamo-Shinnik - Tolpar 2:3
    Latest results of Tolpar
    04.12.2025 Tolpar - Almaz 4:1
    02.12.2025 Tolpar - Krasnaya Armiya 1:2
    Latest results of Dinamo-Shinnik
    MHL Table
    2025/26

    Western Conference - Gold Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Loko5137545229:8988
    2Dyn. Moscow50298211188:11276
    3SKA-194650313511203:11373
    4Krasnaya Armiya49277510168:11073
    5MHC Spartak48295311186:12071
    6Mikhaylov Academy U2048274314158:10865
    7Dinamo-Shinnik49226714144:11363
    8Almaz51264120161:14961
    9Din. St. Petersburg49261418160:14058


    Western Conference - Silver Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Krylya Sovetov521851118132:14957
    2Tayfun51204819132:13456
    3SKA-Akademiya51204621144:17054
    4MHC Spartak MAX50176522153:15951
    5AKM-Junior51194226135:15148
    6Amurskie Tigry51173625118:16346
    7Kapitan53183329133:16345
    8Atlant50182327136:16143
    9Sakhalinskie Akuly48137028110:13940
    10Dinamo Karelia5074336122:24025
    11Red Mashine501214681:2627


    Eastern Conference - Gold Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Omskie Yastreby52304612194:10674
    2Irbis48294510161:9971
    3Stalnye Lisy47246413161:11564
    4Chaika49244516143:13961
    5Mamonty Yugry48207714128:11561
    6Tolpar48197814170:13360
    7Avto48271317154:14759
    8Belye Medvedi47206120140:13653
    9Kuznetskie Medvedi51137625126:16746


    Eastern Conference - Silver Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Ladya51268116146:11069
    2Loko-7648226812139:10264
    3Sibirskie Snaipery49281515166:10663
    4Reaktor49215518158:14357
    5Sputnik Almetievsk52176326168:20149
    6Krasnoyarskie Rysi50135626117:15442
    7Molot Perm49115627128:18038
    8AKM-Novomoskovsk50102830103:19732
    9Tyumensky Legion489223599:19624
    10Snezhnye Barsy467133598:20119

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