Result
5:4 penalties
06/12/2025 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 0)
- 09:03, 1 - 0, Kireyev R. (G), Zhuk A. (A), Shermakov A. (A2)
- 2nd Period (1 - 3)
- 01:24, 1 - 1, Salygo N. (G), Khodorovich N. (A),
- 15:25, 2 - 1, Akhsyanov B. (G), Kireyev R. (A),
- 16:54, 2 - 2, Belkin B. (G), Salygo N. (A), Yatsenko A. (A2)
- 19:51, 2 - 3, Khodorovich N. (G), Lakhnov I. (A), Nevera D. (A2)
- 3rd Period (2 - 1)
- 01:22, 2 - 4, Rusakov A. (G), Salygo N. (A), Khodorovich N. (A2)
- 18:23, 3 - 4, Zagrebin M. (G), Shcherbakov N. (A),
- 19:02, 4 - 4, Khabibullin A. (G), Shcherbakov N. (A), Pykhtin D. (A2)
- Overtime (0 - 0)
- Penalties (1 - 0)
- 1, Shcherbakov N. (Penalty Shot),
- 1, Salygo N. (Penalty Shot),
- 2, Shebyakin M. (Penalty Shot),
- 2, Khobyan D. (Penalty Shot),
- 3, Adamyan A. (Penalty Shot),
- 3, Belkin B. (Penalty Shot),
Chances of winning
Tolpar 31.5% | Draw 22.5% | Dinamo-Shinnik 46% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tolpar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tolpar's form might have worsened.Dinamo-Shinnik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dinamo-Shinnik's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tolpar than the current prediction. (+11.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tolpar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dinamo-Shinnik than the current prediction. (-10.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dinamo-Shinnik, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Tolpar - Dinamo-Shinnik Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.92 ↑ (2.24) |
4.09 ↓ (4.13) |
2 ↓ (2.43) |
8.7% (10.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
Preview Facts
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Dinamo-Shinnik may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Dinamo-Shinnik has had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- We predict that Tolpar will win today's game, with odds of 2.38.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Tolpar won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).
- Including home match between the teams, Tolpar won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Tolpar won against Dinamo-Shinnik?
Tolpar has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dinamo-Shinnik won against Tolpar?
Dinamo-Shinnik has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tolpar - Dinamo-Shinnik were as follows:
18.09.2025
Dinamo-Shinnik
-
Tolpar
2:3
Latest results of Dinamo-Shinnik
MHL Table
2025/26Western Conference - Gold Division | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Loko | 51 | 37 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 229:89 | 88 |
| 2 | Dyn. Moscow | 50 | 29 | 8 | 2 | 11 | 188:112 | 76 |
| 3 | SKA-1946 | 50 | 31 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 203:113 | 73 |
| 4 | Krasnaya Armiya | 49 | 27 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 168:110 | 73 |
| 5 | MHC Spartak | 48 | 29 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 186:120 | 71 |
| 6 | Mikhaylov Academy U20 | 48 | 27 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 158:108 | 65 |
| 7 | Dinamo-Shinnik | 49 | 22 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 144:113 | 63 |
| 8 | Almaz | 51 | 26 | 4 | 1 | 20 | 161:149 | 61 |
| 9 | Din. St. Petersburg | 49 | 26 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 160:140 | 58 |
Western Conference - Silver Division | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Krylya Sovetov | 52 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 132:149 | 57 |
| 2 | Tayfun | 51 | 20 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 132:134 | 56 |
| 3 | SKA-Akademiya | 51 | 20 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 144:170 | 54 |
| 4 | MHC Spartak MAX | 50 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 153:159 | 51 |
| 5 | AKM-Junior | 51 | 19 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 135:151 | 48 |
| 6 | Amurskie Tigry | 51 | 17 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 118:163 | 46 |
| 7 | Kapitan | 53 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 29 | 133:163 | 45 |
| 8 | Atlant | 50 | 18 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 136:161 | 43 |
| 9 | Sakhalinskie Akuly | 48 | 13 | 7 | 0 | 28 | 110:139 | 40 |
| 10 | Dinamo Karelia | 50 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 36 | 122:240 | 25 |
| 11 | Red Mashine | 50 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 46 | 81:262 | 7 |
Eastern Conference - Gold Division | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Omskie Yastreby | 52 | 30 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 194:106 | 74 |
| 2 | Irbis | 48 | 29 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 161:99 | 71 |
| 3 | Stalnye Lisy | 47 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 161:115 | 64 |
| 4 | Chaika | 49 | 24 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 143:139 | 61 |
| 5 | Mamonty Yugry | 48 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 128:115 | 61 |
| 6 | Tolpar | 48 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 170:133 | 60 |
| 7 | Avto | 48 | 27 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 154:147 | 59 |
| 8 | Belye Medvedi | 47 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 20 | 140:136 | 53 |
| 9 | Kuznetskie Medvedi | 51 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 126:167 | 46 |
Eastern Conference - Silver Division | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Ladya | 51 | 26 | 8 | 1 | 16 | 146:110 | 69 |
| 2 | Loko-76 | 48 | 22 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 139:102 | 64 |
| 3 | Sibirskie Snaipery | 49 | 28 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 166:106 | 63 |
| 4 | Reaktor | 49 | 21 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 158:143 | 57 |
| 5 | Sputnik Almetievsk | 52 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 168:201 | 49 |
| 6 | Krasnoyarskie Rysi | 50 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 26 | 117:154 | 42 |
| 7 | Molot Perm | 49 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 27 | 128:180 | 38 |
| 8 | AKM-Novomoskovsk | 50 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 30 | 103:197 | 32 |
| 9 | Tyumensky Legion | 48 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 35 | 99:196 | 24 |
| 10 | Snezhnye Barsy | 46 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 35 | 98:201 | 19 |
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