Result
0:2
16/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 3
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
 Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAX Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.75 | 1.32 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (333/411) | 81% (295/362) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.75 | 1.32 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 1.06 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (333/411) | 81% (295/362) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (24/55) | 36% (18/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (65/105) | 73% (82/112) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (5/23) | 25% (2/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.52 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (9/17) | 27% (3/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 10 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.06 | 0.94 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.94 | 0.94 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 24', 0 - 1, Beljo D. ⚽, Ljubicic D. (A),
- 31', 0 - 2, Beljo D. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Juric A. ↓, Cop D. ↑,
- 46', Rukavina G. ↓, Lasickas J. ↑,
- 46', Ndockyt M. ↓, Ilinkovic S. ↑,
- 56', Vidovic G. 🟨,
- 62', Vidovic G. ↓, Hoxha A. ↑,
- 69', Hoxha A. 🟨,
- 70', Devetak M. 🟨,
- 71', Devetak M. ↓, Bogojevic B. ↑,
- 75', Beljo D. ↓, Kulenovic S. ↑,
- 75', Stojkovic L. ↓, Mudrazija R. ↑,
- 84', Orec A. ↓, Kreilach D. ↑,
- 90', Lisica M. ↓, Galesic N. ↑,
- 90', Ljubicic D. ↓, Soldo M. ↑,
- 90+4', Radeljic S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Rijeka
21.2% | Draw
29.6% | Dinamo Zagreb
49.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rijeka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rijeka's form might have worsened.Dinamo Zagreb has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dinamo Zagreb's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rijeka than the current prediction. (+6.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rijeka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dinamo Zagreb than the current prediction. (-9.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dinamo Zagreb, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Rijeka - Dinamo Zagreb Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.41 ↑
(3.39) |
3.18 ↑
(2.8) |
1.89 ↓
(2.37) |
7%
(7.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Rijeka - Dinamo Zagreb?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Rijeka will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). Dinamo Zagreb will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dinamo Zagreb: 42.8% – 90.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Rijeka (votes: 1 - 20%). Dinamo Zagreb (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rijeka won 1.
- In recent matches, Rijeka has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Dinamo Zagreb is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Dinamo Zagreb may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Dinamo Zagreb is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Rijeka: Petrovic D.
(Red Card)
Skoric M.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Dinamo Zagreb: Bakrar M.
(Inactive)
Torrente R.
(Knee Injury)
Zajc M.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rijeka won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 25:41. (average 1.3:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Rijeka won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 17:27. (average 1.7:2.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Rijeka won against Dinamo Zagreb?
Rijeka has won 1 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dinamo Zagreb won against Rijeka?
Dinamo Zagreb has won 9 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rijeka - Dinamo Zagreb were as follows:
27.04.2025
Dinamo Zagreb
-
Rijeka
1:0
22.02.2025
Rijeka
-
Dinamo Zagreb
4:0
23.11.2024
Dinamo Zagreb
-
Rijeka
0:0
01.09.2024
Rijeka
-
Dinamo Zagreb
1:1
22.05.2024
Rijeka
-
Dinamo Zagreb
1:3
Latest results of Dinamo Zagreb
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | D. Zagreb | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:0 | 7 | 9 |
| 2 | Hajduk Split | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:1 | 6 | 9 |
| 3 | Gorica | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 5 |
| 4 | Rijeka | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 5 | Lok. Zagreb | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 4 |
| 6 | Slaven Belupo | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 3 |
| 7 | Istra 1961 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 2 |
| 8 | Varazdin | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 2 |
| 9 | Osijek | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 2 |
| 10 | Vukovar 1991 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
