Result
2:5
14/12/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 17
- Referee: Bel D. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
 Croatia | HRT 2, HRTi, MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Italy | Como TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 2.94 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (286/370) | 79% (326/411) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 2.94 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 3.64 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (286/370) | 79% (326/411) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (23/53) | 67% (38/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (35/63) | 73% (106/146) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (5/16) | 11% (2/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.22 | 1.11 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (9/17) | 69% (18/26) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 65 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.64 | 1.21 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.36 | -0.79 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 4)
- 2', 1 - 0, Mitrovic J. ⚽, Kruselj F. (A),
- 5', 1 - 1, Zajc M. ⚽, Bakrar M. (A),
- 14', Mikic N. 🟨,
- 14', Bakrar M. 🟨,
- 23', 1 - 2, Beljo D. ⚽,
- 25', Mikic N. ↓, Galesic N. ↑,
- 35', 1 - 3, Bennacer I. ⚽, McKenna S. (A),
- 45+1', 1 - 4, Zajc M. ⚽, Perez Vinlof M. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Mitrovic J. ↓, Sivalec G. ↑,
- 46', Filipovic A. ↓, Lepinjica I. ↑,
- 46', Caimacov M. ↓, Agbekpornu M. ↑,
- 49', Agbekpornu M. 🟨,
- 57', 1 - 5, Beljo D. ⚽, Hoxha A. (A),
- 64', Bakrar M. ↓, Vidovic G. ↑,
- 64', Hoxha A. ↓, Varela C. ↑,
- 65', Beljo D. ↓, Kulenovic S. ↑,
- 73', Zajc M. ↓, Villar G. ↑,
- 75', 2 - 5, Lepinjica I. ⚽,
- 86', Cubelic I. ↓, Bosnjak L. ↑,
- 86', Kruselj F. ↓, Isasegi K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Slaven Belupo
21% | Draw
25.3% | Dinamo Zagreb
53.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Slaven Belupo - Dinamo Zagreb Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.48 ↓
(5.04) |
3.69 ↓
(3.87) |
1.73 ↑
(1.63) |
7.2%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Slaven Belupo - Dinamo Zagreb?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Slaven Belupo will win (votes: 3 - 20%). Dinamo Zagreb will win (votes: 6 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dinamo Zagreb: 15.2% – 64.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Slaven Belupo won 1.
- Slaven Belupo is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- In recent matches, Dinamo Zagreb has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Slaven Belupo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Dinamo Zagreb is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Slaven Belupo: Bozic I.
(Injury)
Nestorovski I.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Dinamo Zagreb: Bennacer I.
(Inactive)
Lisica M.
(Illness)
Torrente R.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Dinamo Zagreb: Mudrazija R.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Slaven Belupo won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 16:54. (average 0.8:2.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Slaven Belupo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 9:20. (average 1:2.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Slaven Belupo won against Dinamo Zagreb?
Slaven Belupo has won 1 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dinamo Zagreb won against Slaven Belupo?
Dinamo Zagreb has won 9 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Slaven Belupo - Dinamo Zagreb were as follows:
28.09.2025
Dinamo Zagreb
-
Slaven Belupo
4:1
10.05.2025
Dinamo Zagreb
-
Slaven Belupo
5:0
09.03.2025
Slaven Belupo
-
Dinamo Zagreb
0:1
06.12.2024
Dinamo Zagreb
-
Slaven Belupo
1:1
21.09.2024
Slaven Belupo
-
Dinamo Zagreb
4:1
Latest results of Slaven Belupo
Latest results of Dinamo Zagreb
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Din. Zagreb | 17 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 36:16 | 20 | 35 |
| 2 | Hajduk Split | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 27:16 | 11 | 34 |
| 3 | Istra 1961 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 23:21 | 2 | 26 |
| 4 | Slaven Belupo | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 26:28 | -2 | 25 |
| 5 | Varazdin | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 22:25 | -3 | 23 |
| 6 | Rijeka | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 26:19 | 7 | 21 |
| 7 | Gorica | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 21:26 | -5 | 19 |
| 8 | Lok. Zagreb | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 20:28 | -8 | 19 |
| 9 | Vukovar 1991 | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 18:30 | -12 | 15 |
| 10 | Osijek | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 16:26 | -10 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
