Result
3:3
17/05/2025 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Jia League - Round 9
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
Match Stats
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| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 1.94 |
| Ball Possession |
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| 29% | 71% |
| Total shots |
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| 17 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
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| 10 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
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| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
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| 2 | 6 |
| Passes |
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| 79% (183/232) | 90% (489/543) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
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| 1.33 | 1.94 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
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| 1.40 | 3.03 |
| Total shots |
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| 17 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
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| 10 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
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| 5 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
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| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
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| 8 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
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| 9 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
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| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
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| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
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| 2 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 14 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
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| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
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| 13 | 10 |
| Passes |
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| 79% (183/232) | 90% (489/543) |
| Long passes |
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| 36% (15/42) | 79% (62/78) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 60% (33/55) | 78% (128/164) |
| Crosses |
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| 25% (1/4) | 14% (5/35) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
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| 0.29 | 0.73 |
| Throw-ins |
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| 8 | 22 |
| Fouls |
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| 10 | 13 |
| Tackles |
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| 86% (12/14) | 78% (7/9) |
| Duels won |
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| 38 | 30 |
| Clearances |
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| 39 | 8 |
| Interceptions |
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| 5 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
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| 2 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 3.03 | 1.40 |
| Goals prevented |
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| -0.85 | -1.60 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 7', 1 - 0, Tang Shi ⚽, Tiago Fernandes (A),
- 21', 1 - 1, Mbenza G. ⚽, Kunimoto T. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 54', 2 - 1, Zhu Jiaxuan ⚽,
- 56', Tian Yinong ↓, Gui Zihan ↑,
- 63', Zhang Jiansheng ↓, Mateos D. ↑,
- 63', Tang Shi ↓, Zhou Pinxi ↑,
- 63', Li Suda ↓, Ma Chenghao ↑,
- 72', 3 - 1, Erikys ⚽,
- 73', 3 - 2, Mbenza G. ⚽, Samuel A. (A),
- 75', Ependi Nizamdin ↓, Li Boyang ↑,
- 76', Kunimoto T. 🟨,
- 81', Gao Jiarun ↓, Zheng Zhiyun ↑,
- 82', He Shaolin 🟥,
- 88', Mateos D. 🟨,
- 90', 🟨,
- 90+2', Tiago Fernandes ↓, Zhang Zimin ↑,
- 90+7', 3 - 3, Mbenza G. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Dingnan United
14.4% | Draw
21.2% | Liaoning Tieren
64.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dingnan United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dingnan United's form might have worsened.Liaoning Tieren has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Liaoning Tieren's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dingnan United than the current prediction. (+6.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dingnan United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liaoning Tieren than the current prediction. (-10.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Liaoning Tieren, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Dingnan United - Liaoning Tieren Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.39 ↑
(4.37) |
4.34 ↑
(3.7) |
1.43 ↓
(1.69) |
8.6%
(9.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League).
- Dingnan United has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Liaoning Tieren is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- In this match, Liaoning Tieren is seen as the favorite.
- Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Dingnan United won against Liaoning Tieren?
Dingnan United has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Liaoning Tieren won against Dingnan United?
Liaoning Tieren has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Dingnan United - Liaoning Tieren were as follows:
Latest results of Dingnan United
Latest results of Liaoning Tieren
Chinese Jia League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Liaoning Tieren | 21 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 48:21 | 27 | 50 |
| 2 | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 21 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 43:23 | 20 | 46 |
| 3 | Guangdong GZ-Power | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 35:27 | 8 | 37 |
| 4 | Yanbian Longding | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 23:20 | 3 | 33 |
| 5 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 30:24 | 6 | 32 |
| 6 | Dalian K'un City | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 27:24 | 3 | 30 |
| 7 | Dingnan Ganlian | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 28:25 | 3 | 29 |
| 8 | Nantong Zhiyun | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 26:23 | 3 | 29 |
| 9 | Shanghai Jiading Huilong | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 19:26 | -7 | 26 |
| 10 | Nanjing City | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 27:30 | -3 | 25 |
| 11 | Suzhou Dongwu | 21 | 5 | 9 | 7 | 19:22 | -3 | 24 |
| 12 | Shaanxi Union | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 29:34 | -5 | 24 |
| 13 | Shenzhen Juniors | 21 | 7 | 2 | 12 | 31:42 | -11 | 23 |
| 14 | Foshan Nanshi | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 19:34 | -15 | 18 |
| 15 | Guangxi Pingguo Haliao | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 16:30 | -14 | 17 |
| 16 | Qingdao Red Lions | 21 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 13:28 | -15 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Super League
Relegation ~ Yi League
