Result
2:1
15/06/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Jia League - Round 12
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | Migu |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.93 | 0.60 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 55% (124/224) | 63% (164/262) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.93 | 0.60 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.50 | 0.14 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 55% (124/224) | 63% (164/262) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 29% (20/68) | 35% (28/80) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 43% (39/90) | 52% (61/118) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 0% (0/14) | 25% (5/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 0.54 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 25% (1/4) | 46% (6/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.14 | 2.50 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.86 | 0.50 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 2', 0 - 1, Guo Yi ⚽,
- 11', 1 - 1, Erikys ⚽, Fan Bojian (A),
- 29', Zhang Jianzhi 🟨,
- 34', Ding Yunfeng 🟨,
- 45+2', 2 - 1, Xu Jiajun ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Yang Dejiang ↓, Lupeta J. ↑,
- 60', Tiago Fernandes ↓, Yang Fan ↑,
- 60', Fan Bojian ↓, Zhang Zimin ↑,
- 60', Ding Yunfeng ↓, An Bang ↑,
- 60', Dong Honglin ↓, Ling Jie ↑,
- 65', Xu Jiajun ↓, Zhang Jiansheng ↑,
- 78', Isic T. ↓, Dujardin A. ↑,
- 79', Yu Menghui ↓, Miao Jiawei ↑,
- 80', Zhu Jiaxuan 🟨,
- 81', Zhu Jiaxuan ↓, Yan Jiahao ↑,
- 81', Tang Shi ↓, Ependi Nizamdin ↑,
- 88', Erikys ↓, He Shaolin ↑,
- 90+2', Zhu Qiwen ↓, Li Mingfan ↑,
Chances of winning
Dingnan United
36.3% | Draw
28.7% | Nanjing City
35% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dingnan United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)Nanjing City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dingnan United than the current prediction. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nanjing City than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Dingnan United - Nanjing City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.46 ↑
(2.35) |
3.13 ↓
(3.4) |
2.58 ↑
(2.55) |
11.4%
(11.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 11).
- Dingnan United is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Nanjing City's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Dingnan United may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Dingnan United won against Nanjing City?
Dingnan United has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nanjing City won against Dingnan United?
Nanjing City has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Dingnan United - Nanjing City were as follows:
Latest results of Dingnan United
Latest results of Nanjing City
Chinese Jia League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Liaoning Tieren | 25 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 52:25 | 27 | 55 |
| 2 | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 46:31 | 15 | 49 |
| 3 | Guangdong GZ-Power | 25 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 41:29 | 12 | 47 |
| 4 | Yanbian Longding | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 29:22 | 7 | 42 |
| 5 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 35:27 | 8 | 41 |
| 6 | Nantong Zhiyun | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 39:25 | 14 | 39 |
| 7 | Dingnan Ganlian | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 36:29 | 7 | 39 |
| 8 | Dalian K'un City | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 34:30 | 4 | 38 |
| 9 | Shaanxi Union | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 36:38 | -2 | 31 |
| 10 | Suzhou Dongwu | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 21:26 | -5 | 30 |
| 11 | Nanjing City | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 32:35 | -3 | 29 |
| 12 | Shanghai Jiading Huilong | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 22:34 | -12 | 27 |
| 13 | Foshan Nanshi | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 24:37 | -13 | 25 |
| 14 | Shenzhen Juniors | 25 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 32:52 | -20 | 23 |
| 15 | Guangxi Pingguo Haliao | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 20:35 | -15 | 21 |
| 16 | Qingdao Red Lions | 25 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 14:38 | -24 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Super League
Relegation ~ Yi League
