Result
2:0
19/10/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Jia League - Round 27
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | Migu, ZhiBo8 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.43 | 0.29 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 29% | 71% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (171/256) | 85% (550/648) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.43 | 0.29 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.63 | 0.08 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (171/256) | 85% (550/648) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (23/53) | 30% (14/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 42% (33/79) | 64% (94/146) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (5/10) | 29% (4/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 0.46 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 100% (12/12) | 80% (8/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 31 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 11 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.08 | 1.63 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.08 | -0.37 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 10', Zhang Zimin 🟨,
- 11', 1 - 0, Ogbu M. (Pen),
- 37', Qi Yuxi 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 57', Ding Yunfeng ↓, Meng Zhen ↑,
- 57', Zhu Qiwen ↓, Ma Fuyu ↑,
- 62', Zhang Zimin ↓, Yang Fan ↑,
- 62', Zhang Jiansheng ↓, Ependi Nizamdin ↑,
- 62', Xu Jiajun ↓, Ma Chenghao ↑,
- 64', Yang Fan 🟨,
- 66', Yuan H. ↓, Ji Xiang ↑,
- 76', Ependi Nizamdin 🟨,
- 76', Ling Jie ↓, Guo Yi ↑,
- 77', Li Suda ↓, Zhou Pinxi ↑,
- 86', Tang Shi ↓, Chen Liming ↑,
- 90+5', Lupeta J. 🟨,
- 90+5', Lupeta J. ↓, Du Junpeng ↑,
- 90+9', 2 - 0, Guo Yi ⚽, Ji Xiang (A),
Chances of winning
Nanjing City
62.2% | Draw
24.4% | Dingnan United
13.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nanjing City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nanjing City's performance.Dingnan United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dingnan United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nanjing City than the current prediction. (-17.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nanjing City that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dingnan United than the current prediction. (+15.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dingnan United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Nanjing City - Dingnan United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.6 ↓
(2.1) |
4.07 ↑
(3.3) |
7.42 ↑
(3) |
0.6%
(11.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Nanjing City - Dingnan United?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Nanjing City will win (votes: 9 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nanjing City: 50.5% – 99.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Nanjing City will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 7).
- Recent form of Nanjing City has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Dingnan United is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Dingnan United may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Nanjing City won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Nanjing City won against Dingnan United?
Nanjing City has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dingnan United won against Nanjing City?
Dingnan United has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nanjing City - Dingnan United were as follows:
15.06.2025
Dingnan United
-
Nanjing City
2:1
Latest results of Nanjing City
Latest results of Dingnan United
Chinese Jia League Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Yanbian Longding | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 2 | Wuxi Wugou | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Guangdong GZ-Power | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Dingnan Ganlian | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Nantong Zhiyun | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Nanjing City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Dalian K'un City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Shenzhen Juniors | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 10 | Guangxi Hengchen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 11 | Shaanxi Union | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 12 | Foshan Nanshi | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 13 | Suzhou Dongwu | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | -3 |
| 14 | Ningbo Professional | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | -3 |
| 15 | Meizhou Hakka | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | -3 |
| 16 | Changchun Yatai | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | -4 |
Promotion ~ Super League
Relegation ~ League Two
