Result
0:2
20/09/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Jia League - Round 23
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
China | Migu, ZhiBo8 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 0.45 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (287/343) | 91% (543/594) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 0.45 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 1.25 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (287/343) | 91% (543/594) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (24/49) | 59% (33/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (74/111) | 79% (104/131) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (7/25) | 25% (3/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 0.48 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (6/10) | 80% (4/5) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 29 | 22 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.25 | 0.66 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.75 | 0.66 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 41', Zhu Baojie 🟨,
- 41', Zhang Zimin 🟨,
- 45+1', 0 - 1, Ma Chenghao ⚽, Tang Shi (A),
- 45+2', 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Qu Yanheng ↓, Du Changjie ↑,
- 58', Ependi Nizamdin ↓, Wei Zixian ↑,
- 58', Li Suda ↓, Zhou Pinxi ↑,
- 58', Ma Chenghao ↓, Xu Jiajun ↑,
- 58', Zhu Jiaxuan ↓, Yang Fan ↑,
- 63', Bai Jiajun ↓, Wu Lei ↑,
- 63', Qi Xinlei ↓, Yu Haozhen ↑,
- 63', Liu Yang ↓, Su Shihao ↑,
- 76', Zhang Zimin ↓, Yan Jiahao ↑,
- 79', Tang Shi ↓, Zhang Jiansheng ↑,
- 87', Zhu Baojie 🟨,
- 90+5', 0 - 2, Erikys ⚽, Liu Jiahui (A),
Chances of winning
Shanghai Jiading Huilong 24.6% | Draw 32.2% | Dingnan United 43.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shanghai Jiading Huilong has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shanghai Jiading Huilong's form might have worsened.Dingnan United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dingnan United's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shanghai Jiading Huilong than the current prediction. (+11.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shanghai Jiading Huilong, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dingnan United than the current prediction. (-11%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dingnan United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Shanghai Jiading Huilong - Dingnan United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.21 ↑ (2.69) |
3.21 ↑ (2.89) |
2.39 ↓ (2.69) |
-3.2% (9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11 and 7).
- Shanghai Jiading is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Dingnan United has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Shanghai Jiading may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Shanghai Jiading won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Shanghai Jiading Huilong won against Dingnan United?
Shanghai Jiading Huilong has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dingnan United won against Shanghai Jiading Huilong?
Dingnan United has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Shanghai Jiading Huilong - Dingnan United were as follows:
10.05.2025
Dingnan United
-
Shanghai Jiading Huilong
0:1
Latest results of Shanghai Jiading Huilong
Latest results of Dingnan United
Chinese Jia League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Liaoning Tieren | 30 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 64:27 | 37 | 68 |
| 2 | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 30 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 52:32 | 20 | 60 |
| 3 | Guangdong GZ-Power | 30 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 55:35 | 20 | 60 |
| 4 | Yanbian Longding | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 43:25 | 18 | 55 |
| 5 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu | 30 | 12 | 11 | 7 | 39:31 | 8 | 47 |
| 6 | Dingnan Ganlian | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 40:35 | 5 | 44 |
| 7 | Nantong Zhiyun | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 44:31 | 13 | 43 |
| 8 | Dalian K'un City | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 42:38 | 4 | 42 |
| 9 | Shaanxi Union | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 48:47 | 1 | 39 |
| 10 | Suzhou Dongwu | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 25:28 | -3 | 38 |
| 11 | Nanjing City | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 40:48 | -8 | 36 |
| 12 | Shanghai Jiading Huilong | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 26:44 | -18 | 30 |
| 13 | Foshan Nanshi | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 27:49 | -22 | 29 |
| 14 | Shenzhen Juniors | 30 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 38:60 | -22 | 28 |
| 15 | Guangxi Pingguo | 30 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 24:47 | -23 | 25 |
| 16 | Qingdao Red Lions | 30 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 20:50 | -30 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Super League
Relegation ~ League Two