Dingnan United vs Suzhou Dongwu – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Chinese Jia League Dingnan United - Suzhou Dongwu
Result
3:1
05/07/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Jia League - Round 15
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaMigu, ZhiBo8

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.731.23
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
918
Shots on target
46
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
53
Passes
78% (266/339)85% (340/398)
Yellow Cards
24
Expected Goals (xG)
1.731.23
xG on target (xGOT)
2.260.87
Total shots
918
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
28
Blocked Shots
34
Shots inside the Box
611
Shots outside the Box
37
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
53
Touches in opposition box
1326
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1114
Passes
78% (266/339)85% (340/398)
Long passes
40% (29/72)68% (45/66)
Passes in final third
47% (28/59)73% (99/135)
Crosses
45% (5/11)28% (11/40)
Expected assists (xA)
0.591.07
Throw-ins
1230
Fouls
1411
Tackles
83% (10/12)78% (7/9)
Duels won
4343
Clearances
4210
Interceptions
65
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
51
xGOT faced
0.872.26
Goals prevented
-0.13-0.74

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 19', Chen Ao 🟨,
  • 27', Liu Yu 🟨,
  • 29', 1 - 0, Tang Shi ,
  • 38', Erikys 🟨,
  • 44', 1 - 1, Fortes C. , Arafat Ghenifa (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Wei Zixian , Ependi Nizamdin ,
  • 59', Zhang Lingfeng , Fan Xulin ,
  • 59', Arafat Ghenifa , Liang Weipeng ,
  • 59', Zhang Zimin , Fan Bojian ,
  • 59', Zhu Jiaxuan , Yang Fan ,
  • 61', 2 - 1, Erikys , Li Suda (A),
  • 65', Xu Jiajun , Zhang Jiansheng ,
  • 67', Wen Da , Wang Yifan ,
  • 67', Chen Ao , Wu Junjie ,
  • 72', Li Suda , Ma Chenghao ,
  • 74', Andrejevic A. 🟨,
  • 82', Tang Shi , Liu Jiahui ,
  • 83', Sihan W. 🟨,
  • 86', Bao Shimeng , Jin Shang ,
  • 86', Xu Wu 🟨,
  • 87', 3 - 1, Erikys (Pen),

Chances of winning


Dingnan United
28.9%
Draw
29.2%
Suzhou Dongwu
41.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
23.2% 24.8% 52%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.5% 24.1% 53.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Dingnan United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dingnan United's performance.
  • Suzhou Dongwu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Suzhou Dongwu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dingnan United than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dingnan United that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Suzhou Dongwu than the current prediction. (+11.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Suzhou Dongwu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Dingnan United - Suzhou Dongwu Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.14
    (3.9)
    3.1
    (3.65)
    2.17
    (1.74)
    10.3%
    (10.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 and 8).
    • Dingnan United has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Suzhou Dongwu is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Dingnan United may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Suzhou Dongwu is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Dingnan United
    Latest results of Suzhou Dongwu
    Chinese Jia League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Liaoning Tieren21155148:212750
    2Chongqing Tonglianglong21144343:232046
    3Guangdong GZ-Power21114635:27837
    4Yanbian Longding2196623:20333
    5Shijiazhuang Gongfu2188530:24632
    6Dalian K'un City2086627:24330
    7Dingnan Ganlian2078528:25329
    8Nantong Zhiyun2185826:23329
    9Shanghai Jiading Huilong2175919:26-726
    10Nanjing City2167827:30-325
    11Suzhou Dongwu2159719:22-324
    12Shaanxi Union2166929:34-524
    13Shenzhen Juniors21721231:42-1123
    14Foshan Nanshi21461119:34-1518
    15Guangxi Pingguo Haliao21451216:30-1417
    16Qingdao Red Lions21261313:28-1512

          Promotion ~ Super League
          Relegation ~ Yi League