Result
3:1
05/07/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Jia League - Round 15
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | Migu, ZhiBo8 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.73 | 1.23 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (266/339) | 85% (340/398) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.73 | 1.23 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.26 | 0.87 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (266/339) | 85% (340/398) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (29/72) | 68% (45/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 47% (28/59) | 73% (99/135) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 45% (5/11) | 28% (11/40) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 1.07 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 30 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (10/12) | 78% (7/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 42 | 10 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.87 | 2.26 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.13 | -0.74 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 19', Chen Ao 🟨,
- 27', Liu Yu 🟨,
- 29', 1 - 0, Tang Shi ⚽,
- 38', Erikys 🟨,
- 44', 1 - 1, Fortes C. ⚽, Arafat Ghenifa (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Wei Zixian ↓, Ependi Nizamdin ↑,
- 59', Zhang Lingfeng ↓, Fan Xulin ↑,
- 59', Arafat Ghenifa ↓, Liang Weipeng ↑,
- 59', Zhang Zimin ↓, Fan Bojian ↑,
- 59', Zhu Jiaxuan ↓, Yang Fan ↑,
- 61', 2 - 1, Erikys ⚽, Li Suda (A),
- 65', Xu Jiajun ↓, Zhang Jiansheng ↑,
- 67', Wen Da ↓, Wang Yifan ↑,
- 67', Chen Ao ↓, Wu Junjie ↑,
- 72', Li Suda ↓, Ma Chenghao ↑,
- 74', Andrejevic A. 🟨,
- 82', Tang Shi ↓, Liu Jiahui ↑,
- 83', Sihan W. 🟨,
- 86', Bao Shimeng ↓, Jin Shang ↑,
- 86', Xu Wu 🟨,
- 87', 3 - 1, Erikys (Pen),
Chances of winning
Dingnan United
28.9% | Draw
29.2% | Suzhou Dongwu
41.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dingnan United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dingnan United's performance.Suzhou Dongwu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Suzhou Dongwu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dingnan United than the current prediction. (-6.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dingnan United that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Suzhou Dongwu than the current prediction. (+11.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Suzhou Dongwu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Dingnan United - Suzhou Dongwu Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.14 ↓
(3.9) |
3.1 ↓
(3.65) |
2.17 ↑
(1.74) |
10.3%
(10.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 and 8).
- Dingnan United has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Suzhou Dongwu is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Dingnan United may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Suzhou Dongwu is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- The teams have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Dingnan United won against Suzhou Dongwu?
Dingnan United has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Suzhou Dongwu won against Dingnan United?
Suzhou Dongwu has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Dingnan United - Suzhou Dongwu were as follows:
Latest results of Dingnan United
Latest results of Suzhou Dongwu
Chinese Jia League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Liaoning Tieren | 19 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 43:18 | 25 | 44 |
| 2 | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 42:21 | 21 | 43 |
| 3 | Yanbian Longding | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 22:18 | 4 | 32 |
| 4 | Guangdong GZ-Power | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 30:23 | 7 | 31 |
| 5 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 28:22 | 6 | 30 |
| 6 | Dalian K'un City | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 27:22 | 5 | 29 |
| 7 | Dingnan Ganlian | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 24:22 | 2 | 26 |
| 8 | Shanghai Jiading Huilong | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 19:25 | -6 | 25 |
| 9 | Nanjing City | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 24:26 | -2 | 24 |
| 10 | Nantong Zhiyun | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 22:23 | -1 | 23 |
| 11 | Suzhou Dongwu | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 18:21 | -3 | 22 |
| 12 | Shaanxi Union | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 24:28 | -4 | 22 |
| 13 | Shenzhen Juniors | 19 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 27:38 | -11 | 20 |
| 14 | Foshan Nanshi | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 17:28 | -11 | 18 |
| 15 | Guangxi Pingguo Haliao | 19 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 12:29 | -17 | 11 |
| 16 | Qingdao Red Lions | 19 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 11:26 | -15 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Super League
Relegation ~ Yi League
