Result
5:1
08/03/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 25
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 1)
- 11', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 26', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 39', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 45+2', 3 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 58', 4 - 1, ⚽,
- 72', 5 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Villanovense
59.2% | Draw
25.1% | Diocesano
15.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Villanovense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Villanovense's performance.Diocesano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Diocesano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villanovense than the current prediction. (-13.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Villanovense that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diocesano than the current prediction. (+8.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Diocesano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Villanovense - Diocesano Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.53 ↓
(1.84) |
3.62 ↑
(3.25) |
5.76 ↑
(4) |
10.2%
(10.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 and 15).
- Recent performances by Villanovense have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Diocesano has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Villanovense is considered a favorite.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Villanovense won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:5. (average 0.3:1.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Villanovense won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Villanovense won against Diocesano?
Villanovense has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Diocesano won against Villanovense?
Diocesano has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Villanovense - Diocesano were as follows:
26.10.2025
Diocesano
-
Villanovense
0:0
26.02.2023
Villanovense
-
Diocesano
0:0
08.10.2022
Diocesano
-
Villanovense
0:0
Latest results of Villanovense
Latest results of Diocesano
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Don Benito | 33 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 69:21 | 48 | 70 |
| 2 | CD Badajoz | 33 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 61:27 | 34 | 68 |
| 3 | Azuaga | 33 | 18 | 8 | 7 | 53:30 | 23 | 62 |
| 4 | Moralo | 33 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 53:31 | 22 | 61 |
| 5 | Jaraiz | 33 | 15 | 11 | 7 | 52:33 | 19 | 56 |
| 6 | Cabeza del Buey | 33 | 14 | 12 | 7 | 44:29 | 15 | 54 |
| 7 | Villafranca | 33 | 16 | 6 | 11 | 41:36 | 5 | 54 |
| 8 | Villanovense | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 45:35 | 10 | 53 |
| 9 | Montijo | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 41:41 | 0 | 43 |
| 10 | Jerez CF | 33 | 7 | 17 | 9 | 51:50 | 1 | 38 |
| 11 | Puebla | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 35:47 | -12 | 38 |
| 12 | Llerenense | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 32:43 | -11 | 38 |
| 13 | Santa Amalia | 33 | 9 | 7 | 17 | 29:50 | -21 | 34 |
| 14 | Gevora | 33 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 32:50 | -18 | 33 |
| 15 | Pueblonuevo | 33 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 28:55 | -27 | 30 |
| 16 | Diocesano | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 29:59 | -30 | 29 |
| 17 | Montehermoso | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 23:61 | -38 | 23 |
| 18 | CD Calamonte | 33 | 3 | 13 | 17 | 24:44 | -20 | 22 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
