Result
4:1
05/04/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- OTP Bank Liga - Round 26
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Hungary | M4 Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.85 | 1.35 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (314/420) | 73% (293/401) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.85 | 1.35 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.73 | 1.34 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 35 | 12 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (314/420) | 73% (293/401) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 25% (15/60) | 30% (18/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (104/151) | 62% (50/81) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (15/39) | 14% (1/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 0.22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (9/13) | 67% (12/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 61 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 7 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.34 | 2.73 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.34 | -1.27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 17', 0 - 1, Edomwonyi B. ⚽,
- 25', 1 - 1, Barany D. ⚽, Domingues B. (A),
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', Benko P. ↓, Rakonjac M. ↑,
- 46', Skribek A. ↓, Tiehi C. ↑,
- 52', 2 - 1, Barany D. ⚽, Castegren H. (A),
- 56', 3 - 1, Domingues B. ⚽, Youga A. (A),
- 57', Holdampf G. 🟨,
- 66', Szuhodovszki S. ↓, Szucs T. ↑,
- 69', 4 - 1, Barany D. (Pen),
- 70', Domingues B. 🟨,
- 73', Hofmann M. ↓, Kocsis G. ↑,
- 73', Barany D. ↓, Maurides ↑,
- 74', Szakos B. ↓, Kallai K. ↑,
- 82', Edomwonyi B. ↓, Huszar M. ↑,
- 82', Holdampf G. ↓, Benyei A. ↑,
- 85', Domingues B. ↓, Dzsudzsak B. ↑,
- 85', Malinov K. ↓, Djurasek N. ↑,
Chances of winning
Debreceni
50.6% | Draw
25.4% | Diósgyőri
24.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Debreceni has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)Diósgyőri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Debreceni than the current prediction. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Diósgyőri than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Debreceni - Diósgyőri Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.84 ↑
(1.79) |
3.63 ↓
(3.73) |
3.82 ↓
(3.93) |
8%
(8.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Debreceni - Diósgyőri?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Debreceni (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Debreceni will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Debreceni won 0.
- Debreceni is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Diósgyőri is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Diósgyőri could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Debreceni will have a mini benefit in this match.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Debreceni won 13 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 40:25 (average 2:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Debreceni won 10 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 25:7 (average 2.1:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Debreceni won against Diósgyőri?
Debreceni has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Diósgyőri won against Debreceni?
Diósgyőri has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Debreceni - Diósgyőri were as follows:
30.11.2024
Diósgyőri
-
Debreceni
3:1
17.08.2024
Debreceni
-
Diósgyőri
0:1
20.04.2024
Diósgyőri
-
Debreceni
5:3
03.02.2024
Debreceni
-
Diósgyőri
2:2
23.09.2023
Diósgyőri
-
Debreceni
3:1
Latest results of Debreceni
Latest results of Diósgyőri
Hungarian NB I Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Debrecen | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10:7 | 3 | 10 |
| 2 | Puskas Academy | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 9 |
| 3 | Paks | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 12:7 | 5 | 8 |
| 4 | Ferencvaros | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 7 |
| 5 | Ujpest | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:6 | 3 | 7 |
| 6 | Kisvarda | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:7 | -2 | 7 |
| 7 | Gyor | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 12:7 | 5 | 6 |
| 8 | DVTK | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9:13 | -4 | 5 |
| 9 | MTK Budapest | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 4 |
| 10 | Nyiregyhaza | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7:13 | -6 | 4 |
| 11 | Zalaegerszegi | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 9:12 | -3 | 4 |
| 12 | Kazincbarcikai | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4:9 | -5 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ NB II.
