Debreceni vs Diósgyőri – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Hungarian NB I Debreceni - Diósgyőri
Result
4:1
05/04/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • OTP Bank Liga - Round 26
  • Where to Watch on TV:
hungaryHungaryM4 Sport

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.851.35
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
228
Shots on target
93
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
81
Passes
75% (314/420)73% (293/401)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
2.851.35
xG on target (xGOT)
2.731.34
Total shots
228
Shots on target
93
Shots off target
93
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
135
Shots outside the Box
93
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
81
Touches in opposition box
3512
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1316
Passes
75% (314/420)73% (293/401)
Long passes
25% (15/60)30% (18/60)
Passes in final third
69% (104/151)62% (50/81)
Crosses
38% (15/39)14% (1/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.410.22
Fouls
1613
Tackles
69% (9/13)67% (12/18)
Duels won
5561
Clearances Total
736
Interceptions
913
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
25
xGOT faced
1.342.73
Goals prevented
0.34-1.27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 17', 0 - 1, Edomwonyi B. ,
  • 25', 1 - 1, Barany D. , Domingues B. (A),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 46', Benko P. , Rakonjac M. ,
  • 46', Skribek A. , Tiehi C. ,
  • 52', 2 - 1, Barany D. , Castegren H. (A),
  • 56', 3 - 1, Domingues B. , Youga A. (A),
  • 57', Holdampf G. 🟨,
  • 66', Szuhodovszki S. , Szucs T. ,
  • 69', 4 - 1, Barany D. (Pen),
  • 70', Domingues B. 🟨,
  • 73', Hofmann M. , Kocsis G. ,
  • 73', Barany D. , Maurides ,
  • 74', Szakos B. , Kallai K. ,
  • 82', Edomwonyi B. , Huszar M. ,
  • 82', Holdampf G. , Benyei A. ,
  • 85', Domingues B. , Dzsudzsak B. ,
  • 85', Malinov K. , Djurasek N. ,

Chances of winning


Debreceni
50.6%
Draw
25.4%
Diósgyőri
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.7% 24.7% 23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5% 23.9% 22.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Debreceni has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • Diósgyőri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Debreceni than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Diósgyőri than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • Debreceni - Diósgyőri Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.84
    (1.79)
    3.63
    (3.73)
    3.82
    (3.93)
    8%
    (8.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Debreceni - Diósgyőri?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Debreceni (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Debreceni will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 53.51%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Debreceni won 0.
    • Debreceni is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Diósgyőri is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Diósgyőri could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Debreceni will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Debreceni won 13 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 40:25 (average 2:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Debreceni won 10 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 25:7 (average 2.1:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Debreceni - Diósgyőri were as follows:
    30.11.2024 Diósgyőri - Debreceni 3:1
    17.08.2024 Debreceni - Diósgyőri 0:1
    20.04.2024 Diósgyőri - Debreceni 5:3
    03.02.2024 Debreceni - Diósgyőri 2:2
    23.09.2023 Diósgyőri - Debreceni 3:1
    Latest results of Debreceni
    28.03.2025 Kecskemeti - Debreceni 1:3
    14.03.2025 Győri ETO - Debreceni 0:0
    09.03.2025 Debreceni - Ferencvárosi 0:1
    02.03.2025 Debreceni - Videoton 1:2
    22.02.2025 Paksi SE - Debreceni 4:3
    Latest results of Diósgyőri
    16.03.2025 Videoton - Diósgyőri 0:0
    08.03.2025 Diósgyőri - Paksi SE 0:2
    21.02.2025 MTK Budapest - Diósgyőri 4:0
    Hungarian NB I Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Debrecen21104:314
    2Ujpest11003:123
    3Puskas Academy11002:113
    4Gyor10103:301
    5Paks10103:301
    6Zalaegerszegi10103:301
    7Ferencvaros10101:101
    8Kisvarda10101:101
    9Nyiregyhaza10101:101
    10MTK Budapest20111:2-11
    11Kazincbarcikai10011:2-10
    12DVTK10011:3-20

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ NB II.