Debreceni vs Diósgyőri – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
25/01/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NB I. - Round 19
  • Where to Watch on TV:
hungaryHungaryM4 Sport

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.931.78
Ball possession
59%41%
Total shots
1116
Shots on target
55
Big chances
23
Corner kicks
48
Passes
77% (312/403)66% (178/268)
Yellow cards
22
Expected goals (xG)
0.931.78
xG on target (xGOT)
0.992.62
Total shots
1116
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
48
Blocked shots
23
Shots inside the box
614
Shots outside the box
52
Hit the woodwork
10
Big chances
23
Corner kicks
48
Touches in opposition box
1734
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free kicks
2415
Passes
77% (312/403)66% (178/268)
Long passes
31% (15/49)33% (22/67)
Passes in final third
62% (75/121)45% (32/71)
Crosses
20% (5/25)45% (10/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.482.07
Throw ins
2223
Fouls
1524
Tackles
53% (9/17)73% (11/15)
Duels won
6263
Clearances
3441
Interceptions
84
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
33
xGOT faced
2.620.99
Goals prevented
0.62-2.01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 11', Kulbachuk V. 🟨,
  • 15', 0 - 1, Colley L. , Bokros S. (A),
  • 19', 0 - 2, Bokros S. , Colley L. (A),
  • 45+1', 1 - 2, Cibla F. , Youga A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 49', 2 - 2, Kusnyir E. , Gordic D. (A),
  • 55', 3 - 2, Szucs T. , Vajda B. (A),
  • 58', Peto M. , Varga Zeteny I. ,
  • 58', Benyei A. , Roguljic A. ,
  • 65', Colley L. 🟨,
  • 66', Gordic D. , Komaromi G. ,
  • 72', Colley L. , Saponjic I. ,
  • 72', Vallejo A. , Kastrati L. II. ,
  • 74', Kulbachuk V. , Hofmann M. ,
  • 74', Cibla F. , Szuhodovszki S. ,
  • 74', Vajda B. , Guerrero A. ,
  • 78', Bardos B. 🟨,
  • 79', Holdampf G. , Sajban M. ,
  • 86', Dzsudzsak B. , Manzanara F. ,
  • 90', Manzanara F. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Debreceni
53.2%
Draw
24.6%
Diósgyőri
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.6% 25.1% 24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7% 24.1% 23.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Debreceni has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • Diósgyőri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Debreceni than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diósgyőri than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • Debreceni - Diósgyőri Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.74
    (1.82)
    3.77
    (3.65)
    4.2
    (3.78)
    7.8%
    (8.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Debreceni - Diósgyőri?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Debreceni will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Diósgyőri will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Diósgyőri (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Debreceni won 1.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Debreceni may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Diósgyőri has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Debreceni is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Debreceni won 12 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 40:25. (average 2:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Debreceni won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 25:7. (average 2.3:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Debreceni - Diósgyőri were as follows:
    27.09.2025 Diósgyőri - Debreceni 0:0
    05.04.2025 Debreceni - Diósgyőri 4:1
    30.11.2024 Diósgyőri - Debreceni 3:1
    17.08.2024 Debreceni - Diósgyőri 0:1
    20.04.2024 Diósgyőri - Debreceni 5:3
    Latest results of Debreceni
    19.01.2026 Maribor - Debreceni 2:3
    15.01.2026 Debreceni - OFK Beograd 1:2
    21.12.2025 Debreceni - Kisvárda 0:1
    14.12.2025 Ferencvárosi - Debreceni 0:1
    Latest results of Diósgyőri
    15.01.2026 Wolfsberger - Diósgyőri 0:2
    13.01.2026 Bodø Glimt - Diósgyőri 4:1
    09.01.2026 Genk - Diósgyőri 3:4
    Hungarian NB I Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gyor24147349:252449
    2Ferencvaros24144646:262046
    3Debrecen24117636:30640
    4Paks24106846:37936
    5Puskas Academy24105931:30135
    6Kisvarda24105930:37-735
    7Zalaegerszegi2498736:30635
    8Ujpest24851133:41-829
    9Nyiregyhaza24771033:40-728
    10MTK Budapest24751244:53-926
    11DVTK24591032:39-724
    12Kazincbarcika24421821:49-2814

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ NB II.