Result
0:1
19/12/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- NB I. - Round 18
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Hungary | M4 Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.30 | 2.58 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (154/237) | 70% (201/286) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.30 | 2.58 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.02 | 1.12 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 15 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 39 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 22 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (154/237) | 70% (201/286) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (20/52) | 50% (24/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 53% (38/72) | 64% (72/112) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (4/16) | 32% (10/31) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.40 | 1.86 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 33 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 22 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (22/30) | 62% (16/26) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 71 | 78 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 48 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.12 | 0.02 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.12 | 0.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 45+1', O'Dowda C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 51', Toth A. 🟨,
- 58', 0 - 1, Szalai G. ⚽,
- 59', Saponjic I. ↓, Sajban M. ↑,
- 62', Raemaekers T. 🟨,
- 66', Vallejo A. ↓, Bardos B. ↑,
- 66', Babos B. ↓, Benyei A. ↑,
- 68', Szatmari C. 🟨,
- 68', Dele ↓, Joseph L. ↑,
- 72', Benyei A. 🟨,
- 82', Holdampf G. ↓, Mucsanyi M. ↑,
- 83', Mucsanyi M. 🟨,
- 90+1', Kanichowsky G. ↓, Romao J. ↑,
- 90+5', Varga B. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Diósgyőri
14.9% | Draw
19.8% | Ferencvárosi
65.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Diósgyőri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)Ferencvárosi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)The ML Model estimate for Diósgyőri aligns with the current prediction.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferencvárosi than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Diósgyőri - Ferencvárosi Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.2 ↑
(5.88) |
4.72 ↑
(4.34) |
1.42 ↓
(1.46) |
8%
(8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Diósgyőri - Ferencvárosi?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Diósgyőri will win (votes: 6 - 33.3%). Ferencvárosi will win (votes: 8 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ferencvárosi: 21.4% – 67.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Diósgyőri (votes: 1 - 25%). Ferencvárosi (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +1.5 - Diósgyőri (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Diósgyőri (votes: 2 - 40%). Ferencvárosi (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Diósgyőri won 1.
- Recent performances by Diósgyőri have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Ferencvárosi is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Ferencvárosi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Ferencvárosi is the clear favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Diósgyőri won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 16:45. (average 0.8:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Diósgyőri won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:16. (average 0.9:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Diósgyőri won against Ferencvárosi?
Diósgyőri has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ferencvárosi won against Diósgyőri?
Ferencvárosi has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Diósgyőri - Ferencvárosi were as follows:
19.09.2025
Ferencvárosi
-
Diósgyőri
2:2
30.03.2025
Diósgyőri
-
Ferencvárosi
1:1
24.11.2024
Ferencvárosi
-
Diósgyőri
3:3
10.08.2024
Diósgyőri
-
Ferencvárosi
0:2
11.05.2024
Diósgyőri
-
Ferencvárosi
2:0
Latest results of Diósgyőri
Latest results of Ferencvárosi
Hungarian NB I Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gyor | 24 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 49:25 | 24 | 49 |
| 2 | Ferencvaros | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 46:26 | 20 | 46 |
| 3 | Debrecen | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 36:30 | 6 | 40 |
| 4 | Paks | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 46:37 | 9 | 36 |
| 5 | Puskas Academy | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 31:30 | 1 | 35 |
| 6 | Kisvarda | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 30:37 | -7 | 35 |
| 7 | Zalaegerszegi | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 36:30 | 6 | 35 |
| 8 | Ujpest | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 33:41 | -8 | 29 |
| 9 | Nyiregyhaza | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 33:40 | -7 | 28 |
| 10 | MTK Budapest | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 44:53 | -9 | 26 |
| 11 | DVTK | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 32:39 | -7 | 24 |
| 12 | Kazincbarcika | 24 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 21:49 | -28 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ NB II.
