Diósgyőri vs Ferencvárosi – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Hungarian NB I Diósgyőri - Ferencvárosi
Result
1:1
30/03/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • OTP Bank Liga - Round 25
  • Where to Watch on TV:
hungaryHungaryM4 Sport

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.141.35
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
1410
Shots on target
52
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
92
Passes
84% (386/462)75% (243/322)
Yellow Cards
24
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.141.35
xG on target (xGOT)
0.880.95
Total shots
1410
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
55
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
810
Shots outside the Box
60
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
92
Touches in opposition box
2518
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1418
Passes
84% (386/462)75% (243/322)
Long passes
48% (20/42)34% (20/58)
Passes in final third
76% (143/189)66% (55/83)
Crosses
21% (7/34)27% (4/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.070.38
Fouls
1814
Tackles
55% (6/11)64% (9/14)
Duels won
4449
Clearances Total
3124
Interceptions
511
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
0.950.88
Goals prevented
-0.05-0.12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 15', Civic E. 🟨,
  • 17', Bardos B. 🟨,
  • 23', Civic E. 🟨,
  • 30', Vallejo A. 🟨,
  • 32', 0 - 1, Varga B. (Pen),
  • 33', Pesic A. , Traore A. ,
  • 40', 1 - 1, Pozeg R. ,
  • 42', Traore A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 54', Raul Gustavo , Szalai G. ,
  • 61', Makreckis C. 🟨,
  • 72', Rakonjac M. , Edomwonyi B. ,
  • 72', Keita N. , Romao J. ,
  • 72', Varga B. , Saldanha ,
  • 80', Holdampf G. , Tiehi C. ,
  • 80', Szakos B. , Gera D. ,
  • 80', Acolatse E. , Jurek G. ,
  • 88', Pozeg R. , Benko P. ,

Chances of winning


Diósgyőri
11.8%
Draw
18.8%
Ferencvárosi
69.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
16.6% 22% 61.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.3% 21.5% 62.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Diósgyőri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • Ferencvárosi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ferencvárosi's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diósgyőri than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferencvárosi than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ferencvárosi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Diósgyőri - Ferencvárosi Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    7.85
    (5.57)
    4.91
    (4.21)
    1.37
    (1.51)
    6.1%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Diósgyőri - Ferencvárosi?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Diósgyőri will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Ferencvárosi will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Ferencvárosi: 45%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Diósgyőri won 1.
    • Diósgyőri is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Ferencvárosi is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • In this match Ferencvárosi is a favorite.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Diósgyőri won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 14 matches and goals 14:43 (average 0.7:2.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Diósgyőri won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 7:15 (average 0.8:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Diósgyőri - Ferencvárosi were as follows:
    24.11.2024 Ferencvárosi - Diósgyőri 3:3
    10.08.2024 Diósgyőri - Ferencvárosi 0:2
    11.05.2024 Diósgyőri - Ferencvárosi 2:0
    10.04.2024 Ferencvárosi - Diósgyőri 2:1
    03.04.2024 Diósgyőri - Ferencvárosi 0:2
    Latest results of Diósgyőri
    Latest results of Ferencvárosi
    Hungarian NB I Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Debrecen21104:314
    2Ujpest11003:123
    3Puskas Academy11002:113
    4Gyor10103:301
    5Paks10103:301
    6Zalaegerszegi10103:301
    7Ferencvaros10101:101
    8Kisvarda10101:101
    9Nyiregyhaza10101:101
    10MTK Budapest20111:2-11
    11Kazincbarcikai10011:2-10
    12DVTK10011:3-20

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ NB II.