Result
1:1
30/03/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- OTP Bank Liga - Round 25
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Hungary | M4 Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 1.35 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (386/462) | 75% (243/322) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 1.35 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 0.95 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 18 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (386/462) | 75% (243/322) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (20/42) | 34% (20/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (143/189) | 66% (55/83) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (7/34) | 27% (4/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 0.38 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (6/11) | 64% (9/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 49 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 31 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.95 | 0.88 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.05 | -0.12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 15', Civic E. 🟨,
- 17', Bardos B. 🟨,
- 23', Civic E. 🟨,
- 30', Vallejo A. 🟨,
- 32', 0 - 1, Varga B. (Pen),
- 33', Pesic A. ↓, Traore A. ↑,
- 40', 1 - 1, Pozeg R. ⚽,
- 42', Traore A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 54', Raul Gustavo ↓, Szalai G. ↑,
- 61', Makreckis C. 🟨,
- 72', Rakonjac M. ↓, Edomwonyi B. ↑,
- 72', Keita N. ↓, Romao J. ↑,
- 72', Varga B. ↓, Saldanha ↑,
- 80', Holdampf G. ↓, Tiehi C. ↑,
- 80', Szakos B. ↓, Gera D. ↑,
- 80', Acolatse E. ↓, Jurek G. ↑,
- 88', Pozeg R. ↓, Benko P. ↑,
Chances of winning
Diósgyőri
11.8% | Draw
18.8% | Ferencvárosi
69.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Diósgyőri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)Ferencvárosi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ferencvárosi's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diósgyőri than the current prediction. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferencvárosi than the current prediction. (-6.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ferencvárosi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Diósgyőri - Ferencvárosi Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
7.85 ↑
(5.57) |
4.91 ↑
(4.21) |
1.37 ↓
(1.51) |
6.1%
(8.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Diósgyőri - Ferencvárosi?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Diósgyőri will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Ferencvárosi will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ferencvárosi: 45% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Diósgyőri won 1.
- Diósgyőri is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Ferencvárosi is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- In this match Ferencvárosi is a favorite.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Diósgyőri won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 14 matches and goals 14:43 (average 0.7:2.2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Diósgyőri won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 7:15 (average 0.8:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Diósgyőri won against Ferencvárosi?
Diósgyőri has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ferencvárosi won against Diósgyőri?
Ferencvárosi has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Diósgyőri - Ferencvárosi were as follows:
24.11.2024
Ferencvárosi
-
Diósgyőri
3:3
10.08.2024
Diósgyőri
-
Ferencvárosi
0:2
11.05.2024
Diósgyőri
-
Ferencvárosi
2:0
10.04.2024
Ferencvárosi
-
Diósgyőri
2:1
03.04.2024
Diósgyőri
-
Ferencvárosi
0:2
Latest results of Diósgyőri
Latest results of Ferencvárosi
Hungarian NB I Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Debrecen | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10:7 | 3 | 10 |
| 2 | Puskas Academy | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 9 |
| 3 | Paks | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 12:7 | 5 | 8 |
| 4 | Ferencvaros | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 7 |
| 5 | Kisvarda | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:7 | -2 | 7 |
| 6 | Gyor | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 12:7 | 5 | 6 |
| 7 | Ujpest | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 | MTK Budapest | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 4 |
| 9 | Nyiregyhaza | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:9 | -3 | 4 |
| 10 | Zalaegerszegi | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 8:8 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | DVTK | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5:12 | -7 | 2 |
| 12 | Kazincbarcikai | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4:9 | -5 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ NB II.
