Result
2:2
19/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- NB I. - Round 7
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Hungary | M4 Sport |
Match Stats
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|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.98 | 1.48 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 75% | 25% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (509/577) | 63% (129/204) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.98 | 1.48 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.18 | 2.43 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 57 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (509/577) | 63% (129/204) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 70% (21/30) | 41% (25/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 85% (195/230) | 51% (38/74) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (12/60) | 40% (4/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.34 | 1.47 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 80% (8/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 60 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.43 | 2.18 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.43 | 0.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 32', 0 - 1, Babos B. ⚽, Acolatse E. (A),
- 45+3', 0 - 2, Acolatse E. ⚽, Sajban M. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Keita N. ↓, Makreckis C. ↑,
- 46', Szalai G. ↓, Otvos B. ↑,
- 46', Kanichowsky G. ↓, Abu Fani M. ↑,
- 46', Nagy B. ↓, Gruber Z. ↑,
- 65', Dele ↓, Pesic A. ↑,
- 65', Sajban M. 🟨,
- 68', 1 - 2, Gruber Z. ⚽, Gartenmann S. (A),
- 69', Sajban M. ↓, Saponjic I. ↑,
- 74', Babos B. ↓, Jurek G. ↑,
- 75', Saponjic I. 🟨,
- 78', Gruber Z. 🟨,
- 83', Acolatse E. ↓, Croizet Y. ↑,
- 84', Keita A. ↓, Holdampf G. ↑,
- 88', Otvos B. 🟨,
- 90+1', 2 - 2, Gruber Z. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Ferencvárosi
75.4% | Draw
14.9% | Diósgyőri
9.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ferencvárosi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ferencvárosi's performance.Diósgyőri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferencvárosi than the current prediction. (-8.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ferencvárosi that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diósgyőri than the current prediction. (+4%)
Ferencvárosi - Diósgyőri Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.25 ↓
(1.41) |
6.11 ↑
(4.33) |
9.53 ↑
(6.5) |
6.7%
(9.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Ferencvárosi - Diósgyőri?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Ferencvárosi will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Diósgyőri will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Ferencvárosi (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ferencvárosi won 2.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Diósgyőri may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Ferencvárosi is the clear favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ferencvárosi won 14 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 44:15. (average 2.2:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ferencvárosi won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 28:7. (average 2.5:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Ferencvárosi won against Diósgyőri?
Ferencvárosi has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Diósgyőri won against Ferencvárosi?
Diósgyőri has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ferencvárosi - Diósgyőri were as follows:
30.03.2025
Diósgyőri
-
Ferencvárosi
1:1
24.11.2024
Ferencvárosi
-
Diósgyőri
3:3
10.08.2024
Diósgyőri
-
Ferencvárosi
0:2
11.05.2024
Diósgyőri
-
Ferencvárosi
2:0
10.04.2024
Ferencvárosi
-
Diósgyőri
2:1
Latest results of Ferencvárosi
Latest results of Diósgyőri
Hungarian NB I Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Paks | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 22:12 | 10 | 18 |
| 2 | Ferencvaros | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 16:6 | 10 | 14 |
| 3 | Debrecen | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | 14 |
| 4 | MTK Budapest | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17:13 | 4 | 13 |
| 5 | Gyor | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 15:9 | 6 | 12 |
| 6 | Puskas Academy | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12:15 | -3 | 10 |
| 7 | Kisvarda | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7:13 | -6 | 10 |
| 8 | Ujpest | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12:12 | 0 | 8 |
| 9 | DVTK | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 12:16 | -4 | 8 |
| 10 | Zalaegerszegi | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 15:15 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 | Nyiregyhaza | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10:17 | -7 | 6 |
| 12 | Kazincbarcikai | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:17 | -11 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ NB II.
