Result
2:1
11/04/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- OTP Bank Liga - Round 27
- Referee: Derdak M. (Hun)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Hungary | M4 Sport |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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0.89 | 1.70 |
Ball Possession |
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59% | 41% |
Total shots |
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15 | 14 |
Shots on target |
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7 | 3 |
Big Chances |
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1 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
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9 | 3 |
Passes |
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79% (346/438) | 72% (224/312) |
Yellow Cards |
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3 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
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0.89 | 1.70 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
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0.99 | 1.21 |
Total shots |
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15 | 14 |
Shots on target |
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7 | 3 |
Shots off target |
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4 | 6 |
Blocked Shots |
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4 | 5 |
Shots inside the Box |
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11 | 9 |
Shots outside the Box |
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4 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
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1 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
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9 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
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27 | 19 |
Offsides |
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1 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
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14 | 15 |
Passes |
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79% (346/438) | 72% (224/312) |
Long passes |
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52% (29/56) | 43% (30/70) |
Passes in final third |
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65% (78/120) | 65% (70/107) |
Crosses |
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24% (8/33) | 36% (8/22) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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0.53 | 0.53 |
Fouls |
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15 | 14 |
Tackles |
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62% (13/21) | 67% (10/15) |
Duels won |
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68 | 56 |
Clearances Total |
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26 | 39 |
Interceptions |
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14 | 9 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
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0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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2 | 5 |
xGOT faced |
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1.21 | 0.99 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.05 | -1.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 30', 0 - 1, Camaj D. (Pen),
- 36', Lund M. 🟨,
- 44', Gera D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 60', Tiehi C. 🟨,
- 66', Skribek A. ↓, Rakonjac M. ↑,
- 71', Botka E. 🟨,
- 74', Berki M. ↓, Szabo A. ↑,
- 74', Botka E. ↓, Nagy K. ↑,
- 80', Katona B. ↓, Kovacs B. ↑,
- 80', Zsoter D. ↓, Meskhi M. ↑,
- 82', Camaj D. ↓, Montiel T. ↑,
- 83', Bocskay B. 🟨,
- 85', Tiehi C. ↓, Klimovich V. ↑,
- 87', 1 - 1, Acolatse E. ⚽, Rakonjac M. (A),
- 90', 2 - 1, Edomwonyi B. ⚽, Acolatse E. (A),
- 90+2', Edomwonyi B. ↓, Chorbadzhiyski B. ↑,
- 90+2', Pozeg R. ↓, Benyei A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Diósgyőri 40.3% | Draw 28% | Kecskemeti 31.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Diósgyőri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)Kecskemeti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diósgyőri than the current prediction. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kecskemeti than the current prediction. (-2%)
Diósgyőri - Kecskemeti Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.3 ↑ (2.12) |
3.31 ↑ (3.29) |
2.89 ↓ (3.29) |
8.3% (8.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Diósgyőri - Kecskemeti?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Diósgyőri (votes: 1 - 50%). Kecskemeti (votes: 1 - 50%).
Users Predictions:
Diósgyőri will win
(8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Diósgyőri won 2.
- Recent matches Diósgyőri is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Kecskemeti is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recently Kecskemeti have a series of home games.
- In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
- Last 13 head-to-head matches Diósgyőri won 5 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 17:13 (average 1.3:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Diósgyőri won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10:5 (average 1.4:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Diósgyőri won against Kecskemeti?
Diósgyőri has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kecskemeti won against Diósgyőri?
Kecskemeti has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Diósgyőri - Kecskemeti were as follows:
07.12.2024
Kecskemeti
-
Diósgyőri
0:0
24.08.2024
Diósgyőri
-
Kecskemeti
1:0
27.04.2024
Diósgyőri
-
Kecskemeti
0:0
08.02.2024
Kecskemeti
-
Diósgyőri
2:1
01.10.2023
Diósgyőri
-
Kecskemeti
3:1
Latest results of Diósgyőri
Latest results of Kecskemeti
Hungarian NB I Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Debrecen | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 4 |
2 | Ujpest | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
3 | Puskas Academy | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
4 | Gyor | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 1 |
5 | Paks | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 1 |
6 | Zalaegerszegi | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 1 |
7 | Ferencvaros | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
8 | Kisvarda | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
9 | Nyiregyhaza | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
10 | MTK Budapest | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
11 | Kazincbarcikai | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
12 | DVTK | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ NB II.