Result
2:1
11/04/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- OTP Bank Liga - Round 27
- Referee: Derdak M. (Hun)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Hungary | M4 Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 1.70 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (346/438) | 72% (224/312) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 1.70 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 1.21 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 19 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (346/438) | 72% (224/312) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (29/56) | 43% (30/70) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (78/120) | 65% (70/107) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (8/33) | 36% (8/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 0.53 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (13/21) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 68 | 56 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 26 | 39 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.21 | 0.99 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.05 | -1.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 30', 0 - 1, Camaj D. (Pen),
- 36', Lund M. 🟨,
- 44', Gera D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 60', Tiehi C. 🟨,
- 66', Skribek A. ↓, Rakonjac M. ↑,
- 71', Botka E. 🟨,
- 74', Berki M. ↓, Szabo A. ↑,
- 74', Botka E. ↓, Nagy K. ↑,
- 80', Katona B. ↓, Kovacs B. ↑,
- 80', Zsoter D. ↓, Meskhi M. ↑,
- 82', Camaj D. ↓, Montiel T. ↑,
- 83', Bocskay B. 🟨,
- 85', Tiehi C. ↓, Klimovich V. ↑,
- 87', 1 - 1, Acolatse E. ⚽, Rakonjac M. (A),
- 90', 2 - 1, Edomwonyi B. ⚽, Acolatse E. (A),
- 90+2', Edomwonyi B. ↓, Chorbadzhiyski B. ↑,
- 90+2', Pozeg R. ↓, Benyei A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Diósgyőri
40.3% | Draw
28% | Kecskemeti
31.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Diósgyőri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)Kecskemeti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diósgyőri than the current prediction. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kecskemeti than the current prediction. (-2%)
Diósgyőri - Kecskemeti Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.3 ↑
(2.12) |
3.31 ↑
(3.29) |
2.89 ↓
(3.29) |
8.3%
(8.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Diósgyőri - Kecskemeti?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Diósgyőri (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Kecskemeti (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Diósgyőri will win
(8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Diósgyőri won 2.
- Recent matches Diósgyőri is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Kecskemeti is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recently Kecskemeti have a series of home games.
- In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
- Last 13 head-to-head matches Diósgyőri won 5 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 17:13 (average 1.3:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Diósgyőri won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10:5 (average 1.4:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Diósgyőri won against Kecskemeti?
Diósgyőri has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kecskemeti won against Diósgyőri?
Kecskemeti has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Diósgyőri - Kecskemeti were as follows:
07.12.2024
Kecskemeti
-
Diósgyőri
0:0
24.08.2024
Diósgyőri
-
Kecskemeti
1:0
27.04.2024
Diósgyőri
-
Kecskemeti
0:0
08.02.2024
Kecskemeti
-
Diósgyőri
2:1
01.10.2023
Diósgyőri
-
Kecskemeti
3:1
Latest results of Diósgyőri
Latest results of Kecskemeti
Hungarian NB I Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gyor | 24 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 49:25 | 24 | 49 |
| 2 | Ferencvaros | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 46:26 | 20 | 46 |
| 3 | Debrecen | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 36:30 | 6 | 40 |
| 4 | Paks | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 46:37 | 9 | 36 |
| 5 | Puskas Academy | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 31:30 | 1 | 35 |
| 6 | Kisvarda | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 30:37 | -7 | 35 |
| 7 | Zalaegerszegi | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 36:30 | 6 | 35 |
| 8 | Ujpest | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 33:41 | -8 | 29 |
| 9 | Nyiregyhaza | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 33:40 | -7 | 28 |
| 10 | MTK Budapest | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 44:53 | -9 | 26 |
| 11 | DVTK | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 32:39 | -7 | 24 |
| 12 | Kazincbarcika | 24 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 21:49 | -28 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ NB II.
