Kisvárda vs Diósgyőri – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Hungarian NB I Kisvárda - Diósgyőri
Result
1:0
05/10/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NB I. - Round 9
  • Where to Watch on TV:
hungaryHungaryM4 Sport

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.820.38
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
125
Shots on target
51
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
38
Passes
74% (204/277)81% (354/439)
Yellow Cards
20
Expected Goals (xG)
0.820.38
xG on target (xGOT)
1.210.04
Total shots
125
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
51
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
72
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
38
Touches in opposition box
1912
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
25
Free Kicks
88
Passes
74% (204/277)81% (354/439)
Long passes
34% (20/58)45% (20/44)
Passes in final third
69% (69/100)73% (102/140)
Crosses
24% (7/29)9% (3/34)
Expected assists (xA)
0.610.83
Throw-ins
2227
Fouls
88
Tackles
67% (8/12)71% (5/7)
Duels won
4028
Clearances
3937
Interceptions
93
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
0.041.21
Goals prevented
0.040.21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 14', Soltesz I. , Szabo S. ,
  • 19', Mesanovic J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 54', 1 - 0, Mesanovic J. ,
  • 58', Sajban M. , Saponjic I. ,
  • 58', Holdampf G. , Keita A. ,
  • 58', Roguljic A. , Benyei A. ,
  • 68', Babos B. , Croizet Y. ,
  • 71', Matanovic M. , Molnar G. ,
  • 71', Novothny S. , Pinter F. ,
  • 79', Vallejo A. , Jurek G. ,
  • 80', Mesanovic J. , Yordanov T. ,
  • 90+4', Pinter F. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Kisvárda
45.5%
Draw
26.1%
Diósgyőri
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.6% 25.4% 26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2% 25.7% 25.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kisvárda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • Diósgyőri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kisvárda than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Diósgyőri than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • Kisvárda - Diósgyőri Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.03
    (1.9)
    3.57
    (3.64)
    3.29
    (3.56)
    7.6%
    (8.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Kisvárda - Diósgyőri?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Kisvárda will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Diósgyőri will win (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Kisvárda (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kisvárda won 0.
    • Recent performances by Kisvárda have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Diósgyőri is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Kisvárda may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Kisvárda has had a series of away games.
    • Kisvárda is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Kisvárda won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 17:24. (average 1.1:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Kisvárda won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 1:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kisvárda - Diósgyőri were as follows:
    06.04.2024 Diósgyőri - Kisvárda 1:1
    10.12.2023 Kisvárda - Diósgyőri 1:2
    26.08.2023 Diósgyőri - Kisvárda 2:0
    Latest results of Kisvárda
    28.09.2025 MTK Budapest - Kisvárda 4:0
    21.09.2025 Kisvárda - Debreceni 0:1
    13.09.2025 Ajka - Kisvárda 3:1
    15.08.2025 Ujpest - Kisvárda 0:1
    Latest results of Diósgyőri
    Hungarian NB I Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Paks1155126:17920
    2MTK Budapest1152424:18617
    3Kisvarda95139:13-416
    4Ferencvaros944119:91016
    5Gyor944119:11816
    6Debrecen1044213:12116
    7Puskas Academy1143414:16-215
    8DVTK1125415:21-611
    9Kazincbarcikai1031610:19-910
    10Ujpest1024413:13010
    11Nyiregyhaza1123614:24-109
    12Zalaegerszegi1014516:19-37

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ NB II.