Result
1:0
05/10/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- NB I. - Round 9
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Hungary | M4 Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 0.38 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (204/277) | 81% (354/439) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 0.38 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 0.04 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (204/277) | 81% (354/439) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 34% (20/58) | 45% (20/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (69/100) | 73% (102/140) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (7/29) | 9% (3/34) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 0.83 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 71% (5/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 28 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 39 | 37 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.04 | 1.21 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.04 | 0.21 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 14', Soltesz I. ↓, Szabo S. ↑,
- 19', Mesanovic J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 54', 1 - 0, Mesanovic J. ⚽,
- 58', Sajban M. ↓, Saponjic I. ↑,
- 58', Holdampf G. ↓, Keita A. ↑,
- 58', Roguljic A. ↓, Benyei A. ↑,
- 68', Babos B. ↓, Croizet Y. ↑,
- 71', Matanovic M. ↓, Molnar G. ↑,
- 71', Novothny S. ↓, Pinter F. ↑,
- 79', Vallejo A. ↓, Jurek G. ↑,
- 80', Mesanovic J. ↓, Yordanov T. ↑,
- 90+4', Pinter F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Kisvárda
45.5% | Draw
26.1% | Diósgyőri
28.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kisvárda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)Diósgyőri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kisvárda than the current prediction. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Diósgyőri than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
Kisvárda - Diósgyőri Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.03 ↑
(1.9) |
3.57 ↓
(3.64) |
3.29 ↓
(3.56) |
7.6%
(8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Kisvárda - Diósgyőri?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Kisvárda will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Diósgyőri will win (votes: 2 - 40%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Kisvárda (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kisvárda won 0.
- Recent performances by Kisvárda have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Diósgyőri is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Kisvárda may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Kisvárda has had a series of away games.
- Kisvárda is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Kisvárda won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 17:24. (average 1.1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kisvárda won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 1:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Kisvárda won against Diósgyőri?
Kisvárda has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Diósgyőri won against Kisvárda?
Diósgyőri has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kisvárda - Diósgyőri were as follows:
06.04.2024
Diósgyőri
-
Kisvárda
1:1
10.12.2023
Kisvárda
-
Diósgyőri
1:2
26.08.2023
Diósgyőri
-
Kisvárda
2:0
Latest results of Kisvárda
Latest results of Diósgyőri
Hungarian NB I Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Paks | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 26:17 | 9 | 20 |
| 2 | MTK Budapest | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 24:18 | 6 | 17 |
| 3 | Kisvarda | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 9:13 | -4 | 16 |
| 4 | Ferencvaros | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 19:9 | 10 | 16 |
| 5 | Gyor | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 19:11 | 8 | 16 |
| 6 | Debrecen | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 13:12 | 1 | 16 |
| 7 | Puskas Academy | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14:16 | -2 | 15 |
| 8 | DVTK | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 15:21 | -6 | 11 |
| 9 | Kazincbarcikai | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 10:19 | -9 | 10 |
| 10 | Ujpest | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 10 |
| 11 | Nyiregyhaza | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 14:24 | -10 | 9 |
| 12 | Zalaegerszegi | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 16:19 | -3 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ NB II.
