Diósgyőri vs Kisvárda – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
01/02/2026 at 06:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NB I. - Round 20
  • Where to Watch on TV:
hungaryHungaryM4 Sport

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.421.55
Ball possession
39%61%
Total shots
711
Shots on target
24
Big chances
04
Corner kicks
23
Passes
65% (175/268)76% (330/432)
Yellow cards
02
Expected goals (xG)
0.421.55
xG on target (xGOT)
0.561.14
Total shots
711
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
44
Blocked shots
13
Shots inside the box
57
Shots outside the box
24
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
04
Corner kicks
23
Touches in opposition box
1624
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free kicks
1511
Passes
65% (175/268)76% (330/432)
Long passes
43% (32/74)41% (27/66)
Passes in final third
54% (46/85)59% (69/117)
Crosses
25% (5/20)21% (4/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.400.81
Throw ins
2721
Fouls
1115
Tackles
73% (16/22)58% (14/24)
Duels won
6263
Clearances
3926
Interceptions
315
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
32
xGOT faced
1.140.56
Goals prevented
0.14-0.44

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 22', Saponjic I. , Benyei A. ,
  • 39', 1 - 0, Benyei A. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 49', Radmanovac N. 🟨,
  • 57', Peto M. , Esiti A. ,
  • 61', Mbock H. , Yordanov T. ,
  • 61', Szor L. , Molnar G. ,
  • 69', 1 - 1, Yordanov T. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 70', Szakos B. , Demeter M. ,
  • 70', Holdampf G. , Vallejo A. ,
  • 70', Babos B. , Bardos B. ,
  • 78', Jovicic A. 🟨,
  • 87', Matanovic M. , Novothny S. ,
  • 87', Jovicic A. , Cipetic B. ,
  • 90+3', Chlumecky M. , Medgyes S. ,

Chances of winning


Diósgyőri
38.6%
Draw
28.8%
Kisvárda
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.9% 27.3% 32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4% 26.3% 34.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Diósgyőri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • Kisvárda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Diósgyőri than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kisvárda than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • Diósgyőri - Kisvárda Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.43
    (2.31)
    3.25
    (3.37)
    2.87
    (2.81)
    7%
    (8.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Diósgyőri - Kisvárda?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Diósgyőri will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Kisvárda will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH +0.25 - Diósgyőri (1.63) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Diósgyőri (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 10 and 6).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Diósgyőri won 3.
    • In recent matches, Diósgyőri has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Kisvárda has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Diósgyőri may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Diósgyőri has had a series of away games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Diósgyőri won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 24:18. (average 1.4:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Diósgyőri won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:9. (average 1.6:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Diósgyőri - Kisvárda were as follows:
    05.10.2025 Kisvárda - Diósgyőri 1:0
    06.04.2024 Diósgyőri - Kisvárda 1:1
    10.12.2023 Kisvárda - Diósgyőri 1:2
    26.08.2023 Diósgyőri - Kisvárda 2:0
    Latest results of Diósgyőri
    25.01.2026 Debreceni - Diósgyőri 3:2
    15.01.2026 Wolfsberger - Diósgyőri 0:2
    13.01.2026 Bodø Glimt - Diósgyőri 4:1
    09.01.2026 Genk - Diósgyőri 3:4
    Latest results of Kisvárda
    24.01.2026 Kisvárda - MTK Budapest 2:3
    21.12.2025 Debreceni - Kisvárda 0:1
    07.12.2025 Ferencvárosi - Kisvárda 3:0
    04.12.2025 Kisvárda - Ferencvárosi 0:1
    Hungarian NB I Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ferencvaros29185657:302759
    2Gyor29178458:292959
    3Debrecen291210741:34746
    4Zalaegerszegi29129843:35845
    5Paks29128954:411344
    6Kisvarda291171133:42-940
    7Puskas Academy291161236:39-339
    8Ujpest291071240:46-637
    9Nyiregyhaza29981240:46-635
    10MTK Budapest29881350:58-832
    11DVTK295101436:52-1625
    12Kazincbarcika ✔ 29522227:63-3617

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ NB II.

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Kazincbarcika is Relegated to NB II.