Result
2:1
17/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- OTP Bank Liga - Round 32
- Referee: Karako F. (Hun)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Hungary | M4 Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.03 | 0.28 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (259/321) | 87% (443/511) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.03 | 0.28 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 0.51 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 41 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (259/321) | 87% (443/511) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (18/40) | 67% (40/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (98/131) | 70% (73/104) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (10/36) | 26% (5/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 61% (11/18) | 67% (14/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.51 | 1.31 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.49 | -0.69 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 2', Horvath A. 🟨,
- 17', 0 - 1, Gruber Z. ⚽, Horvath A. (A),
- 42', Lund M. ↓, Chorbadzhiyski B. ↑,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Edomwonyi B. ↓, Rakonjac M. ↑,
- 49', 1 - 1, Rakonjac M. ⚽, Acolatse E. (A),
- 54', Nagy Z. 🟨,
- 62', Jurina M. ↓, Nemeth K. ↑,
- 62', Gruber Z. ↓, Bognar I. ↑,
- 66', 2 - 1, Kallai K. ⚽,
- 72', Molnar R. ↓, Molnar A. ↑,
- 80', Szakos B. ↓, Benyei A. ↑,
- 80', Jurek G. ↓, Pozeg R. ↑,
- 81', Kallai K. ↓, Tiehi C. ↑,
- 83', Sanicanin S. 🟨,
- 88', Demeter M. 🟨,
- 89', Horvath A. ↓, Kenesei N. ↑,
- 90+2', Vallejo A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Diósgyőri
33.2% | Draw
24.7% | MTK Budapest
42.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Diósgyőri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)MTK Budapest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diósgyőri than the current prediction. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for MTK Budapest than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Diósgyőri - MTK Budapest Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.8 ↑
(2.65) |
3.75 ↑
(3.7) |
2.21 ↓
(2.32) |
7.7%
(7.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Diósgyőri - MTK Budapest?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Diósgyőri (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Diósgyőri won 0.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Diósgyőri won 2 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 18:30. (average 0.9:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Diósgyőri won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.6:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Diósgyőri won against MTK Budapest?
Diósgyőri has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has MTK Budapest won against Diósgyőri?
MTK Budapest has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Diósgyőri - MTK Budapest were as follows:
21.02.2025
MTK Budapest
-
Diósgyőri
4:0
19.10.2024
Diósgyőri
-
MTK Budapest
0:2
14.04.2024
MTK Budapest
-
Diósgyőri
1:1
16.12.2023
Diósgyőri
-
MTK Budapest
3:3
02.09.2023
MTK Budapest
-
Diósgyőri
2:1
Latest results of Diósgyőri
Latest results of MTK Budapest
Hungarian NB I Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Debrecen | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 4 |
| 2 | Ujpest | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Puskas Academy | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Gyor | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 1 |
| 5 | Paks | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 | Zalaegerszegi | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | Ferencvaros | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Kisvarda | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Nyiregyhaza | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | MTK Budapest | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 11 | Kazincbarcikai | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 12 | DVTK | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ NB II.
