Result
1:1
08/03/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- NB I. - Round 25
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Hungary | M4 Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 1.57 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (407/497) | 75% (257/343) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 1.57 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 1.68 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (407/497) | 75% (257/343) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (29/55) | 47% (27/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (87/127) | 62% (44/71) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (5/30) | 37% (7/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 0.47 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 77% (10/13) | 62% (8/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 37 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.68 | 0.96 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.68 | -0.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 5', Colley L. (Penalty Awarded),
- 7', Kata M. 🟨,
- 10', Bardos B. 🟨,
- 36', 0 - 1, Colley L. ⚽, Bokros S. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Nemeth H. ↓, Kerezsi Z. ↑,
- 59', Benyei A. ↓, Sajban M. ↑,
- 69', Jurina M. ↓, Nemeth K. ↑,
- 69', Molnar A. ↓, Polievka R. ↑,
- 69', Bognar I. ↓, Atrok I. ↑,
- 69', 1 - 1, Atrok I. ⚽,
- 72', Vitalyos V. 🟨,
- 72', Kerezsi Z. 🟨,
- 73', Babos B. 🟨,
- 73', Colley L. ↓, Ambrose P. ↑,
- 73', Esiti A. ↓, Keita A. ↑,
- 73', Babos B. ↓, Holdampf G. ↑,
- 90+1', Peto M. ↓, Tamas M. ↑,
- 90+4', Holdampf G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
MTK Budapest
43.5% | Draw
26.6% | Diósgyőri
30% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
MTK Budapest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)Diósgyőri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for MTK Budapest than the current prediction. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Diósgyőri than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
MTK Budapest - Diósgyőri Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.1 ↑
(2.03) |
3.46 ↓
(3.59) |
3.05 ↓
(3.16) |
9.3%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for MTK Budapest - Diósgyőri?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. MTK will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Diósgyőri will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for MTK: 29% – 96%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, MTK won 3.
- MTK is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Diósgyőri's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Diósgyőri may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Diósgyőri has had a series of away games.
- MTK is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, MTK won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 34:23. (average 1.7:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, MTK won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 22:5. (average 2:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has MTK Budapest won against Diósgyőri?
MTK Budapest has won 5 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Diósgyőri won against MTK Budapest?
Diósgyőri has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between MTK Budapest - Diósgyőri were as follows:
23.11.2025
Diósgyőri
-
MTK Budapest
4:0
09.08.2025
MTK Budapest
-
Diósgyőri
5:0
17.05.2025
Diósgyőri
-
MTK Budapest
2:1
21.02.2025
MTK Budapest
-
Diósgyőri
4:0
19.10.2024
Diósgyőri
-
MTK Budapest
0:2
Latest results of MTK Budapest
Latest results of Diósgyőri
Hungarian NB I Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gyor | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 53:28 | 25 | 53 |
| 2 | Ferencvaros | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 50:28 | 22 | 50 |
| 3 | Debrecen | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 41:32 | 9 | 45 |
| 4 | Zalaegerszegi | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 41:32 | 9 | 42 |
| 5 | Paks | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 49:38 | 11 | 41 |
| 6 | Kisvarda | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 33:40 | -7 | 39 |
| 7 | Puskas Academy | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 32:32 | 0 | 36 |
| 8 | Ujpest | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 35:44 | -9 | 33 |
| 9 | Nyiregyhaza | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 38:45 | -7 | 32 |
| 10 | MTK Budapest | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 45:56 | -11 | 28 |
| 11 | DVTK | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 34:47 | -13 | 25 |
| 12 | Kazincbarcika | 27 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 26:55 | -29 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ NB II.
