Result
5:0
09/08/2025 at 11:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- NB I. - Round 3
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Hungary | M4 Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.48 | 0.48 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (297/334) | 90% (281/312) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.48 | 0.48 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.56 | 0.06 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (297/334) | 90% (281/312) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 63% (24/38) | 70% (28/40) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (41/63) | 76% (64/84) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 16% (3/19) | 22% (6/27) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.40 | 0.70 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (9/12) | 50% (3/6) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 34 | 28 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.06 | 3.56 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.06 | -1.44 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (4 - 0)
- 7', 1 - 0, Molnar R. (Pen),
- 28', 2 - 0, Kata M. ⚽, Bognar I. (A),
- 32', 3 - 0, Molnar R. ⚽, Molnar A. (A),
- 38', Saponjic I. 🟨,
- 41', 4 - 0, Molnar R. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Roguljic A. ↓, Holdampf G. ↑,
- 46', Pozeg R. ↓, Bardos B. ↑,
- 46', Saponjic I. ↓, Jurek G. ↑,
- 46', Mucsanyi M. ↓, Benyei A. ↑,
- 63', Bardos B. ↓, Babos L. ↑,
- 71', Bognar I. ↓, Atrok I. ↑,
- 71', Molnar R. ↓, Nemeth K. ↑,
- 71', Bevardi Z. ↓, Vitalyos V. ↑,
- 79', 5 - 0, Atrok I. ⚽, Molnar A. (A),
- 84', Nemeth H. ↓, Torocsik P. ↑,
- 84', Kata M. ↓, Horvath A. ↑,
Chances of winning
MTK Budapest
53.8% | Draw
23% | Diósgyőri
23.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
MTK Budapest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)Diósgyőri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for MTK Budapest than the current prediction. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diósgyőri than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
MTK Budapest - Diósgyőri Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.72 ↓
(1.85) |
4.01 ↑
(3.8) |
4.01 ↑
(3.75) |
8%
(7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, MTK won 2.
- In recent matches, MTK has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Diósgyőri is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Diósgyőri may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, MTK has had a series of home games.
- In this match, MTK is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, MTK won 11 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 30:19. (average 1.5:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, MTK won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 18:5. (average 1.5:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has MTK Budapest won against Diósgyőri?
MTK Budapest has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Diósgyőri won against MTK Budapest?
Diósgyőri has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between MTK Budapest - Diósgyőri were as follows:
17.05.2025
Diósgyőri
-
MTK Budapest
2:1
21.02.2025
MTK Budapest
-
Diósgyőri
4:0
19.10.2024
Diósgyőri
-
MTK Budapest
0:2
14.04.2024
MTK Budapest
-
Diósgyőri
1:1
16.12.2023
Diósgyőri
-
MTK Budapest
3:3
Latest results of MTK Budapest
Latest results of Diósgyőri
Hungarian NB I Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Debrecen | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10:7 | 3 | 10 |
| 2 | Puskas Academy | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 9 |
| 3 | Paks | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 12:7 | 5 | 8 |
| 4 | Ferencvaros | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 7 |
| 5 | Kisvarda | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:7 | -2 | 7 |
| 6 | Gyor | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 12:7 | 5 | 6 |
| 7 | Ujpest | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 | MTK Budapest | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 4 |
| 9 | Nyiregyhaza | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:9 | -3 | 4 |
| 10 | Zalaegerszegi | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 8:8 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | DVTK | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5:12 | -7 | 2 |
| 12 | Kazincbarcikai | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4:9 | -5 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ NB II.
