Result
1:1
14/02/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', 1 - 0, Sfaxi A. ⚽,
- 70', Raheem A. 🟥,
- 72', 1 - 1, Maknzi A. ⚽,
- 81', Al Taay M. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Diyala 24.2% | Draw 32% | Al-Karma 43.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Diyala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Diyala's form might have worsened.Al-Karma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Karma's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diyala than the current prediction. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Karma than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
Diyala - Al-Karma Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.76 ↑ (3.1) |
2.84 ↓ (2.85) |
2.07 ↓ (2.38) |
10.1% (9.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Diyala - Al-Karma?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +0.5 - Diyala (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Diyala (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 4).
- In recent matches, Diyala has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Al-Karma is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Diyala won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0. (average 0:0).
- Including home match between the teams, Diyala won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Diyala won against Al-Karma?
Diyala has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Karma won against Diyala?
Al-Karma has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Diyala - Al-Karma were as follows:
29.03.2025
Al-Karma
-
Diyala
0:0
19.01.2025
Diyala
-
Al-Karma
0:0
Latest results of Al-Karma
Iraqi Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 28 | 20 | 6 | 2 | 45:17 | 28 | 66 |
| 2 | Al Shorta | 28 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 54:26 | 28 | 59 |
| 3 | Al Talaba | 28 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 39:24 | 15 | 54 |
| 4 | Erbil | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 37:23 | 14 | 53 |
| 5 | Al Zawraa | 28 | 13 | 12 | 3 | 36:23 | 13 | 51 |
| 6 | Al-Karma | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 41:20 | 21 | 50 |
| 7 | Al Karkh | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 35:27 | 8 | 45 |
| 8 | Zakho | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 34:27 | 7 | 44 |
| 9 | Newroz | 28 | 13 | 3 | 12 | 37:33 | 4 | 42 |
| 10 | Diyala | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 34:27 | 7 | 39 |
| 11 | Al Naft | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 27:23 | 4 | 37 |
| 12 | Duhok | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 29:30 | -1 | 37 |
| 13 | Al Mosul | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 30:37 | -7 | 35 |
| 14 | Al Gharraf | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 25:28 | -3 | 33 |
| 15 | Baghdad | 28 | 9 | 3 | 16 | 34:48 | -14 | 30 |
| 16 | Al Kahraba | 28 | 8 | 3 | 17 | 32:39 | -7 | 27 |
| 17 | Al Minaa | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 25:36 | -11 | 26 |
| 18 | Naft Missan | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 28:43 | -15 | 26 |
| 19 | Al Najaf | 28 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 19:51 | -32 | 12 |
| 20 | Al-Qassim | 27 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 7:66 | -59 | 2 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Stars League (Relegation)
Relegation