Result
1:1
14/02/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', 1 - 0, Sfaxi A. ⚽,
- 70', Raheem A. 🟥,
- 72', 1 - 1, Maknzi A. ⚽,
- 81', Al Taay M. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Diyala 24.2% | Draw 32% | Al-Karma 43.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Diyala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Diyala's form might have worsened.Al-Karma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Karma's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diyala than the current prediction. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Karma than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
Diyala - Al-Karma Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.76 ↑ (3.1) |
2.84 ↓ (2.85) |
2.07 ↓ (2.38) |
10.1% (9.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Diyala - Al-Karma?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.5 - Diyala (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Diyala (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 4).
- In recent matches, Diyala has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Al-Karma is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Diyala won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0. (average 0:0).
- Including home match between the teams, Diyala won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Diyala won against Al-Karma?
Diyala has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Karma won against Diyala?
Al-Karma has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Diyala - Al-Karma were as follows:
29.03.2025
Al-Karma
-
Diyala
0:0
19.01.2025
Diyala
-
Al-Karma
0:0
Latest results of Al-Karma
Iraqi Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 20 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 27:10 | 17 | 46 |
| 2 | Al Shorta | 19 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 35:13 | 22 | 44 |
| 3 | Al-Karma | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 26:12 | 14 | 38 |
| 4 | Erbil | 19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 25:14 | 11 | 38 |
| 5 | Al Talaba | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 26:16 | 10 | 37 |
| 6 | Zakho | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 28:15 | 13 | 36 |
| 7 | Al Karkh | 20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 30:21 | 9 | 34 |
| 8 | Al Zawraa | 19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 24:16 | 8 | 32 |
| 9 | Al Gharraf | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 22:19 | 3 | 29 |
| 10 | Diyala | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 24:18 | 6 | 28 |
| 11 | Duhok | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 23:20 | 3 | 27 |
| 12 | Newroz | 20 | 8 | 1 | 11 | 23:27 | -4 | 25 |
| 13 | Al Naft | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 20:19 | 1 | 24 |
| 14 | Al Mosul | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 19:28 | -9 | 23 |
| 15 | Al Minaa | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 19:23 | -4 | 21 |
| 16 | Baghdad | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 19:31 | -12 | 19 |
| 17 | Al Kahraba | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 20:29 | -9 | 18 |
| 18 | Naft Missan | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 22:36 | -14 | 16 |
| 19 | Al Najaf | 20 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 13:37 | -24 | 8 |
| 20 | Al-Qassim | 20 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 6:47 | -41 | 2 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Stars League (Relegation)
Relegation