Diyala vs Al-Karma – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
14/02/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Stars League - Round 18

Match Stats

Red cards
11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', 1 - 0, Sfaxi A. ,
  • 70', Raheem A. 🟥,
  • 72', 1 - 1, Maknzi A. ,
  • 81', Al Taay M. 🟥,

Official Live

Chances of winning


Diyala
24.2%
Draw
32%
Al-Karma
43.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.5% 32.1% 38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29% 31.6% 39%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Diyala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Diyala's form might have worsened.
  • Al-Karma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Karma's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diyala than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Karma than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
  • Diyala - Al-Karma Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.76
    (3.1)
    2.84
    (2.85)
    2.07
    (2.38)
    10.1%
    (9.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Diyala - Al-Karma?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH +0.5 - Diyala (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Diyala (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 4).
    • In recent matches, Diyala has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Al-Karma is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Diyala won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0. (average 0:0).
    • Including home match between the teams, Diyala won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Diyala - Al-Karma were as follows:
    29.03.2025 Al-Karma - Diyala 0:0
    19.01.2025 Diyala - Al-Karma 0:0
    Latest results of Diyala
    04.02.2026 Diyala - Al-Karkh 1:0
    31.01.2026 Newroz - Diyala 2:1
    27.01.2026 Al-Talaba - Diyala 1:1
    22.01.2026 Diyala - Al-Gharraf 1:1
    17.01.2026 Duhok - Diyala 1:0
    Latest results of Al-Karma
    05.02.2026 Al-Karma - Al-Talaba 1:1
    31.01.2026 Al-Karma - Al-Karkh 1:1
    27.01.2026 Newroz - Al-Karma 0:1
    22.01.2026 Al-Karma - Amanat Baghdad 2:1
    18.01.2026 Al Mosul - Al-Karma 1:3
    Iraqi Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al Quwa Al Jawiya32228251:203174
    2Al Shorta32207561:303167
    3Erbil32199446:262066
    4Al Talaba32187747:301761
    5Al Zawraa321514345:271859
    6Al-Karma321411744:242053
    7Zakho31149840:301051
    8Al Karkh321310938:32649
    9Newroz321451342:38447
    10Diyala321191236:34242
    11Duhok321191235:36-142
    12Al Mosul3210111136:40-441
    13Al Naft329121128:28039
    14Al Gharraf321081433:35-238
    15Baghdad32961739:57-1833
    16Al Minaa31881530:38-832
    17Naft Missan31791534:49-1530
    18Al Kahraba31832035:47-1227
    19Al Najaf30432322:54-3215
    20Al-Qassim32042813:80-674

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