Result
0:4
31/03/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Stars League - Round 25
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Iraq | Al Iraqiya Sports |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 39', 0 - 1, Abd A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 53', 0 - 2, Opare C. ⚽,
- 60', 0 - 3, Opare C. ⚽,
- 90+2', 0 - 4, Sabarah A. M. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Al-Qasim
9.2% | Draw
20.2% | Diyala
70.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Qasim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)Diyala has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Diyala's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Qasim than the current prediction. (+10.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Qasim, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Diyala than the current prediction. (-27.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Diyala, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Al-Qasim - Diyala Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
9.82 ↑
(6.99) |
4.47 ↑
(4.08) |
1.28 ↓
(1.42) |
10.6%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Al-Qasim - Diyala?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Al-Qasim will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Diyala will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +1.5 - Al-Qasim (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Qasim (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 13).
- Each of the two teams has experienced multiple losses lately.
- Al-Qasim may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Diyala is the clear favorite.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Al-Qasim won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Al-Qasim won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Qasim won against Diyala?
Al-Qasim has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Diyala won against Al-Qasim?
Diyala has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Qasim - Diyala were as follows:
30.12.2025
Diyala
-
Al-Qasim
3:0
19.06.2025
Al-Qasim
-
Diyala
0:1
05.10.2024
Diyala
-
Al-Qasim
0:1
Latest results of Al-Qasim
Iraqi Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 27 | 19 | 6 | 2 | 42:15 | 27 | 63 |
| 2 | Al Shorta | 27 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 53:24 | 29 | 59 |
| 3 | Erbil | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 37:23 | 14 | 53 |
| 4 | Al Talaba | 27 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 37:23 | 14 | 51 |
| 5 | Al Zawraa | 27 | 12 | 12 | 3 | 34:22 | 12 | 48 |
| 6 | Al-Karma | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 38:20 | 18 | 47 |
| 7 | Al Karkh | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 35:25 | 10 | 45 |
| 8 | Zakho | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 33:25 | 8 | 44 |
| 9 | Newroz | 27 | 12 | 3 | 12 | 33:32 | 1 | 39 |
| 10 | Al Naft | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 27:23 | 4 | 37 |
| 11 | Duhok | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 28:28 | 0 | 37 |
| 12 | Diyala | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 32:27 | 5 | 36 |
| 13 | Al Mosul | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 29:36 | -7 | 34 |
| 14 | Al Gharraf | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 25:28 | -3 | 33 |
| 15 | Al Kahraba | 27 | 8 | 3 | 16 | 30:36 | -6 | 27 |
| 16 | Baghdad | 27 | 8 | 3 | 16 | 32:47 | -15 | 27 |
| 17 | Al Minaa | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 24:32 | -8 | 26 |
| 18 | Naft Missan | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 27:42 | -15 | 25 |
| 19 | Al Najaf | 27 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 19:48 | -29 | 12 |
| 20 | Al-Qassim | 27 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 7:66 | -59 | 2 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Stars League (Relegation)
Relegation
