Result
4:3
11/01/2026 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (2 - 2)
- 04:55, 1 - 0, Khrapov F. (G), Sheshin D. (A), Ovchinnikov D. (A2)
- 07:13, 2 - 0, Sheshin D. (G), Ovchinnikov D. (A), Khrapov F. (A2)
- 16:56, 2 - 1, Sidlyarov D. (G), Bobylyov V. (A), Rudakov G. (A2)
- 17:18, 2 - 2, Lukin V. (G), Popov D. (A),
- 2nd Period (1 - 1)
- 01:01, 2 - 3, Borisenkov A. (G), Karapetyan D. (A), Makhanovsky P. (A2)
- 08:08, 3 - 3, Perevalov A. (G), Mineyev M. (A), Sokolov D. (A2)
- 3rd Period (1 - 0)
- 15:50, 4 - 3, Apalkov D. (G), Sokolov D. (A),
Chances of winning
Metallurg Novokuznetsk 59.4% | Draw 20.3% | Dizel Penza 20.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Metallurg Novokuznetsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Metallurg Novokuznetsk's performance.Dizel Penza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dizel Penza might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metallurg Novokuznetsk than the current prediction. (-9.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Metallurg Novokuznetsk that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dizel Penza than the current prediction. (+6.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dizel Penza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Dizel Penza Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.55 ↓ (1.76) |
4.52 ↑ (4.13) |
4.52 ↑ (3.55) |
9% (9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 4.75
What is the prediction for Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Dizel Penza?
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Metallurg N will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Metallurg N won 3.
- Metallurg N has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- In recent matches, Dizel has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Dizel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Metallurg N is seen as the favorite.
- We predict that Metallurg N will win today's game, with odds of 1.57.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Metallurg N won 17 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 69:33. (average 3.5:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Metallurg N won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 30:15. (average 3.3:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Metallurg Novokuznetsk won against Dizel Penza?
Metallurg Novokuznetsk has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dizel Penza won against Metallurg Novokuznetsk?
Dizel Penza has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Dizel Penza were as follows:
11.11.2025
Dizel Penza
-
Metallurg Novokuznetsk
0:3
01.03.2025
Metallurg Novokuznetsk
-
Dizel Penza
4:2
23.09.2024
Dizel Penza
-
Metallurg Novokuznetsk
0:3
17.12.2023
Dizel Penza
-
Metallurg Novokuznetsk
3:1
30.10.2023
Metallurg Novokuznetsk
-
Dizel Penza
0:3
Latest results of Metallurg Novokuznetsk
Latest results of Dizel Penza
VHL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Metallurg Novokuznetsk ✔ | 60 | 38 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 215:128 | 102 |
| 2 | HC Yugra ✔ | 60 | 38 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 174:90 | 98 |
| 3 | Almetyevsk ✔ | 59 | 34 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 215:123 | 91 |
| 4 | Khimik ✔ | 60 | 33 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 176:120 | 83 |
| 5 | Ryazan ✔ | 60 | 28 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 157:136 | 77 |
| 6 | Magnitka Magnitogorsk ✔ | 59 | 25 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 171:132 | 76 |
| 7 | Chelmet Chelyabinsk | 59 | 29 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 172:156 | 75 |
| 8 | Gornyak | 59 | 25 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 176:142 | 75 |
| 9 | Izhevsk ✔ | 59 | 31 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 152:132 | 74 |
| 10 | Torpedo Gorky | 61 | 24 | 10 | 6 | 21 | 170:138 | 74 |
| 11 | Omskie Krylia | 59 | 28 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 156:125 | 74 |
| 12 | Dizel | 60 | 27 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 149:136 | 72 |
| 13 | Krasnoyarsk | 61 | 21 | 11 | 8 | 21 | 144:144 | 72 |
| 14 | Perm | 59 | 21 | 12 | 6 | 20 | 138:148 | 72 |
| 15 | CSK VVS | 59 | 24 | 8 | 7 | 20 | 160:139 | 71 |
| 16 | Rubin Tyumen | 59 | 19 | 13 | 7 | 20 | 145:133 | 71 |
| 17 | Bars | 60 | 23 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 125:136 | 69 |
| 18 | Toros Neftekamsk | 59 | 22 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 134:145 | 64 |
| 19 | Zvezda Moscow | 59 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 134:139 | 62 |
| 20 | Kurgan | 59 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 25 | 134:143 | 61 |
| 21 | Dinamo St. Petersburg | 59 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 26 | 152:160 | 60 |
| 22 | AKM | 61 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 27 | 136:169 | 60 |
| 23 | SKA-VMF St. Petersburg | 60 | 21 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 118:151 | 58 |
| 24 | Tambov | 60 | 17 | 8 | 6 | 29 | 144:167 | 56 |
| 25 | Olympia | 59 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 27 | 103:150 | 55 |
| 26 | Orsk | 59 | 18 | 3 | 9 | 29 | 97:159 | 51 |
| 27 | Buran Voronezh | 61 | 16 | 6 | 7 | 32 | 128:177 | 51 |
| 28 | Kristall Saratov | 59 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 31 | 133:168 | 50 |
| 29 | Dyn. Altay | 61 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 31 | 128:190 | 49 |
| 30 | HK Norilsk | 60 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 34 | 117:163 | 47 |
| 31 | Chelny | 59 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 35 | 131:186 | 44 |
| 32 | HC Rostov | 60 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 34 | 117:176 | 43 |
Promotion ~ VHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Metallurg Novokuznetsk is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
HC Yugra is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Almetyevsk is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Khimik is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Ryazan is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Magnitka Magnitogorsk is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Izhevsk is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)