Metallurg Novokuznetsk vs Dizel Penza – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:3
11/01/2026 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • VHL

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (2 - 2)
  • 04:55, 1 - 0, Khrapov F. (G), Sheshin D. (A), Ovchinnikov D. (A2)
  • 07:13, 2 - 0, Sheshin D. (G), Ovchinnikov D. (A), Khrapov F. (A2)
  • 16:56, 2 - 1, Sidlyarov D. (G), Bobylyov V. (A), Rudakov G. (A2)
  • 17:18, 2 - 2, Lukin V. (G), Popov D. (A),
  • 2nd Period (1 - 1)
  • 01:01, 2 - 3, Borisenkov A. (G), Karapetyan D. (A), Makhanovsky P. (A2)
  • 08:08, 3 - 3, Perevalov A. (G), Mineyev M. (A), Sokolov D. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (1 - 0)
  • 15:50, 4 - 3, Apalkov D. (G), Sokolov D. (A),

Chances of winning


Metallurg Novokuznetsk
59.4%
Draw
20.3%
Dizel Penza
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52% 22.2% 25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.1% 23% 26.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Metallurg Novokuznetsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Metallurg Novokuznetsk's performance.
  • Dizel Penza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dizel Penza might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metallurg Novokuznetsk than the current prediction. (-9.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Metallurg Novokuznetsk that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dizel Penza than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dizel Penza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Dizel Penza Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.55
    (1.76)
    4.52
    (4.13)
    4.52
    (3.55)
    9%
    (9.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 4.75
    What is the prediction for Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Dizel Penza?
  • Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Metallurg N will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Metallurg N won 3.
    • Metallurg N has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • In recent matches, Dizel has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Dizel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Metallurg N is seen as the favorite.
    • We predict that Metallurg N will win today's game, with odds of 1.57.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Metallurg N won 17 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 69:33. (average 3.5:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Metallurg N won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 30:15. (average 3.3:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Dizel Penza were as follows:
    11.11.2025 Dizel Penza - Metallurg Novokuznetsk 0:3
    01.03.2025 Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Dizel Penza 4:2
    23.09.2024 Dizel Penza - Metallurg Novokuznetsk 0:3
    17.12.2023 Dizel Penza - Metallurg Novokuznetsk 3:1
    30.10.2023 Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Dizel Penza 0:3
    Latest results of Metallurg Novokuznetsk
    Latest results of Dizel Penza
    09.01.2026 Dynamo-Altay - Dizel Penza 3:1
    22.12.2025 Dizel Penza - Rostov 1:0
    20.12.2025 Dizel Penza - Tambov 3:5
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Metallurg Novokuznetsk (1)CSK VVS (16)3 : 2
    2Gornyak (8)Perm (9)3 : 2
    3Khimik (4)Izhevsk (13)3 : 1
    4Magnitka Magnitogorsk (5)Torpedo Gorky (12)4 : 0
    5HC Yugra (2)Bars (15)4 : 1
    6Omskie Krylia (7)Chelmet Chelyabinsk (10)3 : 2
    7Almetyevsk (3)Dizel (14)3 : 2
    8Ryazan (6)Rubin Tyumen (11)2 : 2