Gvardiya Krasnodar vs Dizelist Penza – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:2
19/01/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NMHL

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (3 - 1)
  • 15:20, 1 - 0, Deryabin N. (G), Ryabinin D. (A), Mindubayev R. (A2)
  • 16:03, 2 - 0, Frukalov A. (G), Ryabinin D. (A),
  • 16:21, 2 - 1, Moskvin K. (G), Gafarov G. (A),
  • 18:42, 3 - 1, Mukhamedyarov A. (G), Maksudov A. (A), Ryabinin D. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (1 - 1)
  • 11:48, 3 - 2, Tsyganov D. (G),
  • 18:27, 4 - 2, Krdzhonyan Y. (G), Klimanov R. (A), Ryabitsev D. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (1 - 0)
  • 18:13, 5 - 2, Mindubayev R. (G),

Chances of winning


Gvardiya Krasnodar
33%
Draw
23.1%
Dizelist Penza
43.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33% 23% 44%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5% 24.7% 40.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • The chances for Gvardiya Krasnodar have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • Dizelist Penza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gvardiya Krasnodar than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dizelist Penza than the current prediction. (-3%)
  • Gvardiya Krasnodar - Dizelist Penza Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.76
    (2.76)
    3.94
    (3.95)
    2.08
    (2.07)
    9.8%
    (9.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gvardiya won 0.
    • In recent matches, Gvardiya has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Dizelist is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Gvardiya may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Gvardiya has had a series of home games.
    • Dizelist is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Gvardiya won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:23. (average 2:3.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Gvardiya won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 1.3:3.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gvardiya Krasnodar - Dizelist Penza were as follows:
    18.01.2026 Gvardiya Krasnodar - Dizelist Penza 1:2
    17.12.2025 Dizelist Penza - Gvardiya Krasnodar 2:1
    16.12.2025 Dizelist Penza - Gvardiya Krasnodar 4:3
    18.03.2025 Gvardiya Krasnodar - Dizelist Penza 0:4
    10.10.2024 Dizelist Penza - Gvardiya Krasnodar 1:4
    Latest results of Gvardiya Krasnodar
    Latest results of Dizelist Penza
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1MHK Ryazan (1)HC Krasnodar (8)3 : 0
    2Dizelist (3)Kristall BDK (6)0 : 3
    3Yermak Angarsk (2)Progress Glazov (7)3 : 1
    4Bobrov (4)Sokol Novocheboksarsk (5)3 : 0
    5Buran Moscow (1)Fakel (8)3 : 0
    6Dinamo 576 (4)Metallurg Cherepovets (5)0 : 3
    7Kaluga (2)Voevoda Podolsk (7)3 : 0
    8Granit (3)Polot (6)3 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1MHK Ryazan (1)Kristall BDK (6)1 : 0
    2Yermak Angarsk (2)Bobrov (4)1 : 1
    3Buran Moscow (1)Metallurg Cherepovets (5)0 : 1
    4Kaluga (2)Granit (3)1 : 1