Dmitry Popko vs Karl Poling – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
Popko D. retired
25/11/2025 at 15:10 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bogota 4, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
32
Double Faults
32
1st Serve Percentage
39%54%
1st Serve Points Won
65% (11/17)75% (15/20)
2nd Serve Points Won
52% (14/27)47% (8/17)
Break Points Saved
67% (4/6)50% (2/4)
1st Return Points Won
30% (6/20)35% (6/17)
2nd Return Points Won
53% (9/17)48% (13/27)
Break Points Converted
50% (2/4)33% (2/6)
Winners
1210
Unforced Errors
2222
Net Points Won
100% (1/1)36% (4/11)
Service Points Won
57% (25/44)62% (23/37)
Return Points Won
38% (14/37)43% (19/44)
Total Points Won
48% (39/81)52% (42/81)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
71% (5/7)71% (5/7)
Return Games Won
29% (2/7)29% (2/7)
Total Games Won
50% (7/14)50% (7/14)

Chances of winning


Dmitry Popko
64.7%
Karl Poling
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.7% 44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3% 44.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Dmitry Popko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dmitry Popko's performance.
  • Karl Poling has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Karl Poling might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dmitry Popko than the current prediction. (-9.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dmitry Popko that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karl Poling than the current prediction. (+9.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Karl Poling could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Dmitry Popko - Karl Poling Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.43
    (1.67)

    2.63
    (2.1)
    8%
    (7.8%)
    Preview Facts
    • Popko is ranked ATP: 227. Poling is ranked ATP: 613.
    • Popko has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Poling is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Popko may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Popko is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Dmitry Popko
    17.11.2025 Dmitry Popko - Mateus Alves Popko D. retired
    Latest results of Karl Poling
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Ficovich J. P. (1)Alves M.2 : 1
    2Price S. (WC)McCormick T.0 : 2
    3Saraiva Dos Santos P. A.Barrientos N. (Q)1 : 2
    4Hernandez A.Johns G. (7)2 : 0
    5Popko D. (RET.) (4)Poling K. (Q)1 : 0
    6Heredia S. (WC)Gomez J. S. (Q)0 : 2
    7Jorda Sanchis D.Campana Lee G. (LL)2 : 0
    8Torres J. B.Kozlov S. (8)1 : 2
    9Dellien Velasco M. A. (6)Martin D.2 : 0
    10Magadan A. (Q)Bertran P. (Q)0 : 2
    11McKennon M.Dickerson R. (Q)2 : 1
    12Mena F.Pacheco Mendez R. (3)2 : 0
    13Rodriguez Taverna S. (5)Linde Palacios S. A. (WC)2 : 1
    14Varillas J. P.Rodriguez L. J.2 : 0
    15Martinez A.Tobon M. (Alt)2 : 0
    16Gima S.Mejia N. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Ficovich J. P. (1)McCormick T.2 : 1
    2Barrientos N.Hernandez A.2 : 0
    3Poling K.Gomez J. S.1 : 2
    4Jorda Sanchis D.Kozlov S. (8)0 : 2
    5Dellien Velasco M. A. (6)Bertran P.2 : 0
    6McKennon M.Mena F.0 : 2
    7Rodriguez Taverna S. (5)Varillas J. P.0 : 2
    8Martinez A.Mejia N. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Ficovich J. P. (1)Barrientos N.2 : 0
    2Gomez J. S.Kozlov S. (8)2 : 1
    3Dellien Velasco M. A. (6)Mena F.0 : 2
    4Varillas J. P.Mejia N. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Ficovich J. P. (1)Gomez J. S.1 : 2
    2Mena F.Mejia N. (2)1 : 2

    Final
    1Gomez J. S.Mejia N. (2)0 : 2