Dmitry Popko vs Quinn Vandecasteele – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Las Vegas Challenger Men Dmitry Popko - Quinn Vandecasteele
Result
2:0
23/09/2025 at 19:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Las Vegas, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
36
Double Faults
85
1st Serve Percentage
49%54%
1st Serve Points Won
77% (33/43)70% (26/37)
2nd Serve Points Won
52% (23/44)52% (16/31)
Break Points Saved
100% (3/3)67% (4/6)
1st Return Points Won
30% (11/37)23% (10/43)
2nd Return Points Won
48% (15/31)48% (21/44)
Break Points Converted
33% (2/6)0% (0/3)
Service Points Won
64% (56/87)62% (42/68)
Return Points Won
38% (26/68)36% (31/87)
Total Points Won
53% (82/155)47% (73/155)
Last 10 Balls
73
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
100% (11/11)82% (9/11)
Return Games Won
18% (2/11)0% (0/11)
Total Games Won
59% (13/22)41% (9/22)

Chances of winning


Dmitry Popko
60.8%
Quinn Vandecasteele
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.9% 41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.8% 42.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Dmitry Popko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • Quinn Vandecasteele has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dmitry Popko than the current prediction. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Quinn Vandecasteele than the current prediction. (+3%)
  • Dmitry Popko - Quinn Vandecasteele Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.54
    (1.57)

    2.43
    (2.25)
    6.3%
    (8.1%)
    Preview Facts
    • Popko is ranked ATP: 219. Vandecasteele is ranked ATP: 711.
    • Popko has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Vandecasteele is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Vandecasteele may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Popko might have a minor edge in this game.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Dmitry Popko
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Rodionov J. (1)Johns G. (WC)2 : 1
    2Rosenkranz M.Williams C. (WC)0 : 2
    3Shelbayh A.Perez A.2 : 0
    4Zink T.Mejia N. (5)1 : 2
    5Hassan B. (4)Winter E. (Q)2 : 1
    6Masur D. (Q)Martin A.0 : 2
    7Bicknell B. (PR)Maloney P.2 : 0
    8Fenty A. (Q)Monday J. (8)2 : 0
    9Krueger M. (7)Sekulic P. (PR)1 : 2
    10Fellin P. O. (Q)Bondioli F.2 : 1
    11Rybakov A.Cox T. (WC)2 : 0
    12Colson T.Trotter J. K. (3)0 : 2
    13Popko D. (6)Vandecasteele Q. (Q)2 : 0
    14King D. (Q)Ilagan A.0 : 2
    15Papamalamis T. (RET.) (JR)Bouzige M.1 : 0
    16Wallin O.Pinnington Jones J. (2)2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Rodionov J. (1)Williams C.2 : 0
    2Shelbayh A.Mejia N. (5)2 : 0
    3Hassan B. (4)Martin A.2 : 1
    4Bicknell B.Fenty A.1 : 2
    5Sekulic P.Fellin P. O.2 : 0
    6Rybakov A.Trotter J. K. (3)2 : 0
    7Popko D. (6)Ilagan A.0 : 2
    8Bouzige M.Wallin O.2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Rodionov J. (1)Shelbayh A.1 : 2
    2Hassan B. (4)Fenty A.2 : 1
    3Sekulic P.Rybakov A.0 : 2
    4Ilagan A.Bouzige M.2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Shelbayh A.Hassan B. (4)2 : 0
    2Rybakov A.Ilagan A.2 : 0

    Final
    1Shelbayh A.Rybakov A.2 : 0