Result
2:1
20/01/2026 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Campionato Sammarinese - Round 17
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 45', 1 - 0, Quarta A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 73', 2 - 0, Nicolini T. ⚽, Baiardi R. (A),
- 90+3', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
AC Libertas
16.2% | Draw
23.8% | Domagnano
60% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AC Libertas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)Domagnano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Domagnano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for AC Libertas than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with AC Libertas that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Domagnano than the current prediction. (+12.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Domagnano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
AC Libertas - Domagnano Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.64 ↓
(8) |
3.83 ↓
(4.8) |
1.52 ↑
(1.31) |
9.7%
(9.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AC Libertas won 1.
- Recent form of AC Libertas has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Domagnano is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, Domagnano has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Domagnano is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, AC Libertas won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 25:17. (average 1.9:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, AC Libertas won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:4. (average 2.7:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has AC Libertas won against Domagnano?
AC Libertas has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Domagnano won against AC Libertas?
Domagnano has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AC Libertas - Domagnano were as follows:
14.09.2025
Domagnano
-
AC Libertas
5:2
05.04.2025
AC Libertas
-
Domagnano
1:0
08.12.2024
Domagnano
-
AC Libertas
3:0
17.02.2024
AC Libertas
-
Domagnano
0:2
21.10.2023
Domagnano
-
AC Libertas
1:0
Latest results of AC Libertas
Latest results of Domagnano
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tre Fiori | 28 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 61:12 | 49 | 69 |
| 2 | Virtus | 28 | 20 | 6 | 2 | 61:19 | 42 | 66 |
| 3 | Tre Penne | 28 | 19 | 7 | 2 | 64:17 | 47 | 64 |
| 4 | La Fiorita ✔ | 28 | 15 | 11 | 2 | 59:23 | 36 | 51 |
| 5 | Folgore ✔ | 28 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 57:30 | 27 | 51 |
| 6 | Domagnano ✔ | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 54:29 | 25 | 46 |
| 7 | Fiorentino | 28 | 13 | 4 | 11 | 32:39 | -7 | 43 |
| 8 | Cosmos | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 27:20 | 7 | 39 |
| 9 | Libertas | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 31:51 | -20 | 35 |
| 10 | Juvenes/Dogana | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 31:36 | -5 | 33 |
| 11 | San Giovanni | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 24:37 | -13 | 31 |
| 12 | Pennarossa | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 28:52 | -24 | 30 |
| 13 | Faetano | 28 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 22:52 | -30 | 22 |
| 14 | San Marino Academy U22 | 28 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 22:56 | -34 | 15 |
| 15 | Cailungo | 28 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 21:64 | -43 | 10 |
| 16 | Murata | 28 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 17:74 | -57 | -2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
La Fiorita is Qualified for Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Folgore is Qualified for Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Domagnano is Qualified for Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
