Result
2:1
20/01/2026 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Campionato Sammarinese - Round 17
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 45', 1 - 0, Quarta A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 73', 2 - 0, Nicolini T. ⚽, Baiardi R. (A),
- 90+3', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
AC Libertas 16.2% | Draw 23.8% | Domagnano 60% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AC Libertas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)Domagnano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Domagnano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for AC Libertas than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with AC Libertas that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Domagnano than the current prediction. (+12.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Domagnano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
AC Libertas - Domagnano Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
5.64 ↓ (8) |
3.83 ↓ (4.8) |
1.52 ↑ (1.31) |
9.7% (9.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AC Libertas won 1.
- Recent form of AC Libertas has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Domagnano is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, Domagnano has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Domagnano is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, AC Libertas won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 25:17. (average 1.9:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, AC Libertas won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:4. (average 2.7:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has AC Libertas won against Domagnano?
AC Libertas has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Domagnano won against AC Libertas?
Domagnano has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AC Libertas - Domagnano were as follows:
14.09.2025
Domagnano
-
AC Libertas
5:2
05.04.2025
AC Libertas
-
Domagnano
1:0
08.12.2024
Domagnano
-
AC Libertas
3:0
17.02.2024
AC Libertas
-
Domagnano
0:2
21.10.2023
Domagnano
-
AC Libertas
1:0
Latest results of AC Libertas
Latest results of Domagnano
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Virtus (2) | Bye | |
| 2 | Juvenes/Dogana (9) | Libertas (10) | 1 : 1 |
| 3 | Folgore (5) | Bye | |
| 4 | Bye | Domagnano (6) | |
| 5 | Tre Penne (3) | Bye | |
| 6 | Cosmos (8) | Pennarossa (11) | 3 : 0 |
| 7 | La Fiorita (4) | Bye | |
| 8 | Bye | Fiorentino (7) | |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Virtus (2) | Juvenes/Dogana (9) | 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Folgore (5) | Domagnano (6) | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Tre Penne (3) | Cosmos (8) | 0 : 0 |
| 4 | La Fiorita (4) | Fiorentino (7) | 1 : 0 |
Semi-finalsFinal3rd place