Llerenense vs Don Álvaro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14 Llerenense - Don Álvaro
22/01/2023 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Llerenense
82.1%
Draw
13.1%
Don Álvaro
4.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67% 20.2% 12.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.6% 19.2% 12.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Llerenense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Llerenense's performance.
  • Don Álvaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Don Álvaro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Llerenense than the current prediction. (-11.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Llerenense that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Don Álvaro than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Don Álvaro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Llerenense - Don Álvaro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.12
    (1.33)
    7
    (4.4)
    19.27
    (6.95)
    8.8%
    (12.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Llerenense - Don Álvaro were as follows:
    18.09.2022 Don Álvaro - Llerenense 1:2
    Latest results of Llerenense
    15.01.2023 Azuaga - Llerenense 3:0
    08.01.2023 Llerenense - Plasencia 3:1
    17.12.2022 La Estrella - Llerenense 1:2
    11.12.2022 Llerenense - Olivenza 1:0
    04.12.2022 Pueblonuevo - Llerenense 0:2
    Latest results of Don Álvaro
    15.01.2023 Don Álvaro - La Estrella 3:3
    08.01.2023 Don Álvaro - Olivenza 1:0
    18.12.2022 Pueblonuevo - Don Álvaro 2:0
    11.12.2022 Don Álvaro - Montehermoso 1:0
    04.12.2022 Villafranca - Don Álvaro 0:0
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Final
    1SocuellamosCayon2 : 0, 1 : 1
    2CastellonenseBurgos CF B0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3CortesBeasain0 : 2, 1 : 2
    4Girona BSan Fernando2 : 0, 1 : 0
    5PulpilenoSarriana2 : 3, 0 : 0
    6LlerenenseLealtad1 : 3, 1 : 0
    7Atletico CentralJaen1 : 2, 0 : 1
    8PorreresAtletico Monzon2 : 0, 0 : 1
    9VareaRayo Vallecano B0 : 3, 1 : 2