Llerenense vs Don Álvaro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

22/01/2023 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Llerenense
82.1%
Draw
13.1%
Don Álvaro
4.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67% 20.2% 12.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.6% 19.2% 12.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Llerenense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Llerenense's performance.
  • Don Álvaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Don Álvaro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Llerenense than the current prediction. (-11.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Llerenense that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Don Álvaro than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Don Álvaro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Llerenense - Don Álvaro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.12
    (1.33)
    7
    (4.4)
    19.27
    (6.95)
    8.8%
    (12.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Llerenense - Don Álvaro were as follows:
    18.09.2022 Don Álvaro - Llerenense 1:2
    Latest results of Llerenense
    15.01.2023 Azuaga - Llerenense 3:0
    08.01.2023 Llerenense - Plasencia 3:1
    17.12.2022 La Estrella - Llerenense 1:2
    11.12.2022 Llerenense - Olivenza 1:0
    04.12.2022 Pueblonuevo - Llerenense 0:2
    Latest results of Don Álvaro
    15.01.2023 Don Álvaro - La Estrella 3:3
    08.01.2023 Don Álvaro - Olivenza 1:0
    18.12.2022 Pueblonuevo - Don Álvaro 2:0
    11.12.2022 Don Álvaro - Montehermoso 1:0
    04.12.2022 Villafranca - Don Álvaro 0:0
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Don Benito30197459:194064
    2CD Badajoz30195649:262359
    3Moralo30169549:282157
    4Azuaga30167746:271955
    5Jaraiz301410648:272152
    6Cabeza del Buey301312539:231651
    7Villafranca301361136:35145
    8Villanovense301281037:33444
    9Montijo301171236:34240
    10Jerez CF30717650:44638
    11Llerenense301061428:36-836
    12Santa Amalia30961529:46-1733
    13Puebla307111228:40-1232
    14Diocesano306101428:49-2128
    15Gevora30681628:48-2026
    16Pueblonuevo30751824:51-2726
    17CD Calamonte303131422:36-1422
    18Montehermoso30571820:54-3422

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