Result
3:2
27/02/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 8
- Referee: Barba A. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 23', 1 - 0, Franco J. ⚽, Tamay A. (A),
- 27', 1 - 1, Yanez S. ⚽, Reyes J. (A),
- 38', Castro J. 🟥,
- 42', Galicia C. ↓, Barrera G. ↑,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Garcia L. 🟨,
- 51', 1 - 2, Coronel O. ⚽,
- 55', Bustos J. ↓, Mascorro H. ↑,
- 55', Tamay A. ↓, Barreda I. ↑,
- 55', 2 - 2, Franco J. ⚽, Morales F. (A),
- 61', Vazquez Hernandez A. ↓, Ochoa Sanchez J. A. ↑,
- 61', Garcia L. ↓, Suarez L. ↑,
- 65', Suarez L. 🟥,
- 67', Esqueda Romero J. A. 🟨,
- 70', Coronel O. ↓, Martinez D. ↑,
- 70', Egana A. ↓, Gonzalez Rodriguez W. ↑,
- 74', Esqueda Romero J. A. ↓, Fadika B. ↑,
- 78', Cortes J. 🟨,
- 88', Barrera G. 🟨,
- 90+2', 3 - 2, Morales F. ⚽, Ochoa Sanchez J. A. (A),
- 90+4', Vazquez Garza H. A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
53.9% | Draw
26% | Dorados
20.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alebrijes de Oaxaca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)Dorados has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alebrijes de Oaxaca than the current prediction. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dorados than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Dorados Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.72 ↑
(1.64) |
3.57 ↓
(4.01) |
4.6 ↓
(4.7) |
7.8%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Dorados?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Alebrijes de Oaxaca (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Alebrijes de Oaxaca will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alebrijes de Oaxaca won 3.
- In recent matches, Alebrijes de Oaxaca has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Dorados is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Alebrijes de Oaxaca is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Alebrijes de Oaxaca won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 34:25. (average 1.7:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Alebrijes de Oaxaca won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 22:7. (average 2.4:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Alebrijes de Oaxaca won against Dorados?
Alebrijes de Oaxaca has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dorados won against Alebrijes de Oaxaca?
Dorados has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Dorados were as follows:
20.09.2025
Dorados
-
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1:2
19.04.2025
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
-
Dorados
2:2
02.11.2024
Dorados
-
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
2:0
02.04.2024
Dorados
-
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1:3
27.09.2023
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
-
Dorados
4:0
Latest results of Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Latest results of Dorados
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Morelia | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 11:3 | 8 | 16 |
| 2 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 15 |
| 3 | Tapatio | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 16:10 | 6 | 14 |
| 4 | Tlaxcala | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 13 |
| 5 | Cancun | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10:8 | 2 | 10 |
| 6 | Atlante | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 9 |
| 7 | Atletico La Paz | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 9 |
| 8 | Irapuato | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13:14 | -1 | 9 |
| 9 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9:10 | -1 | 9 |
| 10 | Venados | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 16:17 | -1 | 8 |
| 11 | Zacatecas Mineros | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 | Leones Negros | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8:13 | -5 | 6 |
| 13 | Jaiba Brava | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 6 |
| 14 | Correcaminos | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:12 | -6 | 6 |
| 15 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11:19 | -8 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
