Result
20/09/2025 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Dorados
49.1% | Draw
24.6% | Alebrijes de Oaxaca
26.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dorados has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)Alebrijes de Oaxaca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dorados than the current prediction. (-8.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dorados that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alebrijes de Oaxaca than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alebrijes de Oaxaca could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Dorados - Alebrijes de Oaxaca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.87 ↓
(1.95) |
3.73 ↑
(3.64) |
3.48 ↑
(3.39) |
9%
(8.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dorados won 1.
- Dorados is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Alebrijes de Oaxaca is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Alebrijes de Oaxaca may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Dorados might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dorados won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 24:32. (average 1.2:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Dorados won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:10. (average 1.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Dorados won against Alebrijes de Oaxaca?
Dorados has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alebrijes de Oaxaca won against Dorados?
Alebrijes de Oaxaca has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Dorados - Alebrijes de Oaxaca were as follows:
19.04.2025
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
-
Dorados
2:2
02.11.2024
Dorados
-
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
2:0
02.04.2024
Dorados
-
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1:3
27.09.2023
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
-
Dorados
4:0
25.01.2023
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
-
Dorados
3:0
Latest results of Dorados
Latest results of Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cancun | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11:0 | 11 | 16 |
| 2 | Tampico Madero | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9:5 | 4 | 14 |
| 3 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 12:4 | 8 | 13 |
| 4 | Atl. Morelia | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:10 | 1 | 11 |
| 5 | Irapuato | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | 11 |
| 6 | Atlante | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 15:8 | 7 | 10 |
| 7 | Tapatio | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:8 | 3 | 10 |
| 8 | Leones Negros | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12:11 | 1 | 9 |
| 9 | Zacatecas Mineros | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:7 | 1 | 9 |
| 10 | Atletico La Paz | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11:11 | 0 | 8 |
| 11 | Tlaxcala | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:12 | -6 | 8 |
| 12 | Venados | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 12:18 | -6 | 5 |
| 13 | Correcaminos | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8:15 | -7 | 5 |
| 14 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3:13 | -10 | 3 |
| 15 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8:16 | -8 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
