Irapuato vs Dorados – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:0
13/02/2026 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 6
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN 2, ESPN 3
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean, ESPN 3 North
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Ball possession
66%34%
Total shots
276
Shots on target
142
Corner kicks
93
Yellow cards
03
Total shots
276
Shots on target
142
Shots off target
134
Corner kicks
93

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 19', Sanchez E. 🟨,
  • 30', Egana A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (5 - 0)
  • 53', Suarez L. , Osuna D. ,
  • 56', 1 - 0, Castellanos R. , Rangel J. (A),
  • 58', Vazquez O. , Garcia L. ,
  • 58', Yanez S. , Alvarez J. ,
  • 60', Guajardo D. 🟨,
  • 63', 2 - 0, Vasquez Velasquez L. S. , Gonzalez R. (A),
  • 64', Egana A. , Ruiz L. ,
  • 64', Cervantes S. , Galicia C. ,
  • 65', Sandoval R. , Martinez R. ,
  • 71', 3 - 0, Osuna D. (Own goal),
  • 72', Salazar J. , Partida E. ,
  • 72', Gonzalez R. , Gutierrez L. ,
  • 83', Rangel J. , Doldan J. ,
  • 84', 4 - 0, Doldan J. , Partida E. (A),
  • 86', 5 - 0, Gamboa J. , Doldan J. (A),

Chances of winning


Irapuato
66.3%
Draw
20.4%
Dorados
13.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69% 18.5% 12.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.5% 16.8% 13.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Irapuato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • Dorados has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Irapuato than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dorados than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • Irapuato - Dorados Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.39
    (1.33)
    4.51
    (4.95)
    6.92
    (7.34)
    8.9%
    (9.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Irapuato won 2.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Dorados may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Irapuato is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Irapuato won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 0.4:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Irapuato won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0. (average 0:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Irapuato - Dorados were as follows:
    05.09.2025 Dorados - Irapuato 0:1
    Latest results of Irapuato
    07.02.2026 Jaiba Brava - Irapuato 0:1
    24.01.2026 Tlaxcala - Irapuato 2:1
    09.01.2026 Venados - Irapuato 4:1
    Latest results of Dorados
    07.02.2026 Dorados - Atlético La Paz 2:2
    24.01.2026 Venados - Dorados 4:4
    10.01.2026 Cancún - Dorados 3:1
    Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tepatitlan de Morelos1163216:7921
    2Atletico La Paz1054118:61219
    3Atl. Morelia1061316:9719
    4Tapatio1052322:17517
    5Atlante1044215:9616
    6Cancun1043315:12315
    7Tlaxcala1043312:12015
    8Zacatecas Mineros1042413:15-214
    9Irapuato1041522:20213
    10Jaiba Brava1041510:12-213
    11Correcaminos1033410:16-612
    12Alebrijes Oaxaca1033415:23-812
    13Venados1022616:20-48
    14Leones Negros1014510:20-107
    15Dorados de Sinaloa1114612:24-127

          Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)