Result
2:0
04/10/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 10
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | AYM Sports |
 Usa | Aym Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 12', Sanchez E. 🟨,
- 20', 1 - 0, Camacho Lastra R. E. ⚽, Fierro C. (A),
- 27', Ramirez A. 🟨,
- 33', Ramirez A. ↓, Cortes J. ↑,
- 43', Valenzuela M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 51', Flores A. 🟨,
- 52', Vargas L. ↓, Vazquez D. ↑,
- 52', Yanez S. ↓, Rengifo J. ↑,
- 67', Flores A. ↓, Egana A. ↑,
- 67', Galicia C. ↓, Leyva C. ↑,
- 69', Rivera E. ↓, Brigido J. ↑,
- 69', Lopez R. ↓, Flores L. ↑,
- 75', Fierro C. ↓, Perez J. ↑,
- 79', Ruiz L. 🟨,
- 86', Camacho Lastra R. E. ↓, Gonzalez O. ↑,
- 86', De Jesus Bravo Santiago A. ↓, Madrigal K. ↑,
- 90+3', 2 - 0, Perez J. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Leones Negros UdeG
66.7% | Draw
18.7% | Dorados
14.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leones Negros UdeG has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)Dorados has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leones Negros UdeG than the current prediction. (-17.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leones Negros UdeG that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dorados than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
Leones Negros UdeG - Dorados Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.39 ↓
(1.41) |
4.93 ↑
(4.7) |
6.35 ↓
(6.37) |
8.2%
(7.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 12 and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leones Negros UdeG won 5.
- Recent form of Leones Negros UdeG has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Dorados is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Leones Negros UdeG may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Leones Negros UdeG is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Leones Negros UdeG won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 30:20. (average 1.5:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Leones Negros UdeG won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:9. (average 1.5:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Leones Negros UdeG won against Dorados?
Leones Negros UdeG has won 6 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dorados won against Leones Negros UdeG?
Dorados has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Leones Negros UdeG - Dorados were as follows:
19.01.2025
Leones Negros UdeG
-
Dorados
4:0
03.08.2024
Dorados
-
Leones Negros UdeG
0:1
20.03.2024
Dorados
-
Leones Negros UdeG
1:2
14.09.2023
Leones Negros UdeG
-
Dorados
4:0
20.04.2023
Leones Negros UdeG
-
Dorados
2:0
Latest results of Leones Negros UdeG
Latest results of Dorados
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Morelia | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 11:3 | 8 | 16 |
| 2 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 15 |
| 3 | Tapatio | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 16:10 | 6 | 14 |
| 4 | Tlaxcala | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 13 |
| 5 | Cancun | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10:8 | 2 | 10 |
| 6 | Atlante | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 9 |
| 7 | Atletico La Paz | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 9 |
| 8 | Irapuato | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13:14 | -1 | 9 |
| 9 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9:10 | -1 | 9 |
| 10 | Venados | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 16:17 | -1 | 8 |
| 11 | Zacatecas Mineros | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 | Leones Negros | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8:13 | -5 | 6 |
| 13 | Jaiba Brava | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 6 |
| 14 | Correcaminos | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:12 | -6 | 6 |
| 15 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11:19 | -8 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
