Result
1:1
14/03/2026 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 10
- Referee: Ramirez Gutierrez E. A. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 3, ESPN 4 |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 17', Villa O. 🟨,
- 36', De Jesus Bravo Santiago A. 🟨,
- 39', Manriquez S. 🟨,
- 40', Cervantes S. 🟨,
- 45+1', Cantu Rodriguez O. M. 🟨,
- 45+2', 1 - 0, Cervantes S. ⚽,
- 45+7', Osuna D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Coronel O. ↓, Vazquez O. ↑,
- 55', Munoz D. ↓, Perez J. ↑,
- 55', Lara M. ↓, Flores L. ↑,
- 67', Rengifo J. ↓, Galicia C. ↑,
- 71', Suarez L. ↓, Flores A. ↑,
- 71', Gonzalez O. ↓, Brigido J. ↑,
- 72', Gil O. ↓, Rivera E. ↑,
- 80', 1 - 1, Camacho Lastra R. E. ⚽,
- 83', De Jesus Bravo Santiago A. ↓, Torres D. ↑,
- 85', Yanez S. ↓, Alvarez J. ↑,
- 86', Garcia L. ↓, Martinez D. ↑,
- 86', Camacho Lastra R. E. 🟨,
- 90+2', Vazquez O. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Dorados
36.4% | Draw
27.2% | Leones Negros UdeG
36.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dorados has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dorados's performance.Leones Negros UdeG has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Leones Negros UdeG might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dorados than the current prediction. (-4.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leones Negros UdeG than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
Dorados - Leones Negros UdeG Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.54 ↓
(3.24) |
3.39 ↓
(3.44) |
2.53 ↑
(2.04) |
8.4%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Dorados - Leones Negros UdeG?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Dorados (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dorados won 0.
- Dorados has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Leones Negros UdeG's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Dorados may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dorados won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 19:30. (average 1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Dorados won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:15. (average 1.1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Dorados won against Leones Negros UdeG?
Dorados has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Leones Negros UdeG won against Dorados?
Leones Negros UdeG has won 7 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Dorados - Leones Negros UdeG were as follows:
04.10.2025
Leones Negros UdeG
-
Dorados
2:0
19.01.2025
Leones Negros UdeG
-
Dorados
4:0
03.08.2024
Dorados
-
Leones Negros UdeG
0:1
20.03.2024
Dorados
-
Leones Negros UdeG
1:2
14.09.2023
Leones Negros UdeG
-
Dorados
4:0
Latest results of Dorados
Latest results of Leones Negros UdeG
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tepatitlan de Morelos ✔ | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 21:10 | 11 | 26 |
| 2 | Atl. Morelia | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 18:11 | 7 | 23 |
| 3 | Cancun | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 22:16 | 6 | 22 |
| 4 | Atletico La Paz | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 21:11 | 10 | 21 |
| 5 | Tapatio | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 27:21 | 6 | 20 |
| 6 | Zacatecas Mineros | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 19:20 | -1 | 20 |
| 7 | Atlante | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20:16 | 4 | 19 |
| 8 | Irapuato | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 27:24 | 3 | 19 |
| 9 | Tlaxcala | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 14:15 | -1 | 19 |
| 10 | Jaiba Brava | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14:15 | -1 | 18 |
| 11 | Venados | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 23:23 | 0 | 15 |
| 12 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 17:28 | -11 | 13 |
| 13 | Correcaminos | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13:24 | -11 | 12 |
| 14 | Leones Negros | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 14:23 | -9 | 11 |
| 15 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 14:27 | -13 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Tepatitlan de Morelos is Qualified for Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
