Dorchester Town vs Basingstoke Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English Southern League South Division Dorchester Town - Basingstoke Town
Result
3:2
28/12/2024 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: Southern League Premier South - Round 23

Match Stats

Red Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 15', 🟥,
  • 30', 1 - 0, Pardoe L. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 55', 1 - 1, Le Paih L. ,
  • 60', 1 - 2, Dickson J. (Own goal),
  • 90', 2 - 2, Koszela O. (Pen),
  • 90+5', 3 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


Dorchester Town
48.5%
Draw
24.1%
Basingstoke Town
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.7% 22.5% 21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.5% 21.8% 21.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Dorchester Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dorchester Town's form might have worsened.
  • Basingstoke Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Basingstoke Town's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dorchester Town than the current prediction. (+9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dorchester Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basingstoke Town than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Basingstoke Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Dorchester Town - Basingstoke Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.88
    (1.64)
    3.78
    (4.05)
    3.32
    (4.17)
    9.7%
    (9.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier South (Play Offs: ) and 7).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Dorchester won 3.
    • Dorchester is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Recent matches Basingstoke is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Dorchester could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Dorchester is a favorite.
    • Last 16 head-to-head matches Dorchester won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 22:25 (average 1.4:1.6).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Dorchester won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15:13 (average 1.7:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Dorchester Town - Basingstoke Town were as follows:
    17.08.2024 Basingstoke Town - Dorchester Town 2:0
    20.04.2024 Basingstoke Town - Dorchester Town 3:1
    11.11.2023 Dorchester Town - Basingstoke Town 4:1
    Latest results of Dorchester Town
    Latest results of Basingstoke Town
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1AFC Totton (2)Dorchester (5)4 : 3
    2Walton & Hersham (3)Gloucester (4)2 : 3

    Final
    1AFC Totton (2)Gloucester (4)1 : 0