Result
3:0
04/02/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 58', 🟥,
- 60', 1 - 0, Luan Silva ⚽,
- 80', 2 - 0, Leilson ⚽,
- 84', 3 - 0, Jair ⚽,
Chances of winning
Itabaiana 66.8% | Draw 21.8% | Dorense 11.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Itabaiana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)Dorense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Itabaiana than the current prediction. (+7.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Itabaiana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dorense than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Itabaiana - Dorense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.36 ↑ (1.3) |
4.16 ↓ (4.43) |
7.98 ↓ (9.99) |
10.1% (9.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Sergipano (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Sergipano (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Itabaiana won 3.
- Itabaiana is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Dorense's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Itabaiana is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Itabaiana won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:4. (average 1.1:0.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Itabaiana won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:3. (average 1.7:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Itabaiana won against Dorense?
Itabaiana has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dorense won against Itabaiana?
Dorense has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Itabaiana - Dorense were as follows:
16.02.2025
Itabaiana
-
Dorense
4:1
30.03.2024
Itabaiana
-
Dorense
2:0
16.03.2024
Dorense
-
Itabaiana
1:1
13.03.2024
Dorense
-
Itabaiana
0:0
21.01.2023
Dorense
-
Itabaiana
0:1
Latest results of Itabaiana
Latest results of Dorense
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Sergipe (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Lagarto (3) | America SE (6) | 0 : 3 |
| 3 | Itabaiana (2) | Falcon (7) | 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Confianca (4) | Guarany SE (5) | 1 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Sergipe (1) | America SE (6) | 2 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 2 | Itabaiana (2) | Confianca (4) | 0 : 2, 2 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Sergipe (1) | Confianca (4) | |
3rd place| 2 | Itabaiana (2) | America SE (6) | |