Dorking Wanderers vs Aldershot Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3
11/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • FA Cup - Qualification - Final

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 43', 0 - 1, Barrett J. ,
  • 45+4', 0 - 2, Thomas K. ,
  • 45+10', 1 - 2, McShane J. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', 1 - 3, Barrett J. ,
  • 55', 2 - 3, Lewis D. ,

Chances of winning


Dorking Wanderers
41.3%
Draw
26.6%
Aldershot Town
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.6% 25.6% 49.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27% 23.3% 45.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Dorking Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dorking Wanderers's performance.
  • Aldershot Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aldershot Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dorking Wanderers than the current prediction. (-14.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dorking Wanderers that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aldershot Town than the current prediction. (+13.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aldershot Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Dorking Wanderers - Aldershot Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.28
    (3.66)
    3.49
    (3.53)
    2.84
    (1.81)
    7.7%
    (10.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Dorking Wanderers - Aldershot Town?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Dorking will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Aldershot will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Replayed if draw.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dorking won 1.
    • Dorking is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Aldershot is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Dorking won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:10. (average 0.5:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Dorking won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.7:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Dorking Wanderers - Aldershot Town were as follows:
    26.07.2025 Dorking Wanderers - Aldershot Town 0:2
    01.04.2024 Aldershot Town - Dorking Wanderers 1:1
    28.10.2023 Dorking Wanderers - Aldershot Town 2:1
    11.02.2023 Aldershot Town - Dorking Wanderers 1:0
    04.02.2023 Aldershot Town - Dorking Wanderers 2:0
    Latest results of Dorking Wanderers
    Latest results of Aldershot Town
    Draw
    Main

    1/128-finals
    1StokeBye
    4ByeCoventry
    5FulhamBye
    8ByeMiddlesbrough
    9StevenageChesterfield0 : 1
    10CreweDoncaster1 : 2
    12ByeSouthampton
    13CheltenhamBradford City1 : 0
    14BuxtonChatham2 : 1
    16ByeLeicester
    17TottenhamBye
    20ByeAston Villa
    21NewcastleBye
    24ByeBournemouth
    25Manchester CityBye
    27FC HalifaxExeter0 : 2
    28WycombePlymouth2 : 0
    29SalfordLincoln2 : 1
    30TamworthLeyton Orient0 : 1
    31RotherhamSwindon1 : 2
    32BoltonHuddersfield2 : 1
    33Boreham WoodCrawley3 : 0
    34NewportGillingham3 : 2
    35Brackley TownNotts Co3 : 2
    36BurtonSt. Albans6 : 0
    37West HamBye
    40ByeQPR
    41SloughAltrincham2 : 1
    42MacclesfieldAFC Totton6 : 3
    44ByeCrystal Palace
    45Sheffield WedBye
    48ByeBrentford
    49BurnleyBye
    52ByeMillwall
    53Sheffield UtdBye
    55GainsboroughAccrington1 : 2
    56MansfieldHarrogate3 : 2
    57PortsmouthBye
    60ByeArsenal
    61PrestonBye
    63WiganHemel Hempstead2 : 1
    64SpennymoorBarrow0 : 2
    65GrimsbyEbbsfleet3 : 1
    66WealdstoneSouthend1 : 0
    67ChelmsfordBraintree4 : 1
    68Weston-super-MareAldershot2 : 1
    69WolvesBye
    71SuttonAFC Telford2 : 1
    72South ShieldsShrewsbury1 : 3
    73LiverpoolBye
    75PeterboroughCardiff1 : 0
    76BarnsleyYork City3 : 2
    77Manchester UtdBye
    80ByeBrighton
    81Port ValeMaldon & Tiptree5 : 1
    82BromleyBristol Rovers1 : 2
    83FleetwoodBarnet2 : 1
    84LutonForest Green4 : 3
    85Bristol CityBye
    88ByeWatford
    89ColchesterMK Dons2 : 3
    90OldhamNorthampton3 : 1
    92ByeOxford Utd
    93EvertonBye
    96ByeSunderland
    97WrexhamBye
    100ByeNottingham
    101IpswichBye
    103BlackpoolScunthorpe1 : 0
    104ReadingCarlisle2 : 3
    105HullBye
    108ByeBlackburn
    109CharltonBye
    112ByeChelsea
    113TranmereStockport County1 : 3
    114Cambridge UtdChester3 : 0
    116ByeBirmingham
    117DerbyBye
    120ByeLeeds
    121NorwichBye
    123AFC WimbledonGateshead0 : 2
    124EastleighWalsall0 : 3
    125SwanseaBye
    128ByeWest Brom

    1/64-finals
    1StokeBye
    2ByeCoventry
    3FulhamBye
    4ByeMiddlesbrough
    5ChesterfieldDoncaster1 : 2
    6ByeSouthampton
    7CheltenhamBuxton6 : 2
    8ByeLeicester
    9TottenhamBye
    10ByeAston Villa
    11NewcastleBye
    12ByeBournemouth
    13Manchester CityBye
    14ExeterWycombe4 : 0
    15SalfordLeyton Orient4 : 0
    16SwindonBolton4 : 0
    17Boreham WoodNewport3 : 0
    18Brackley TownBurton1 : 3
    19West HamBye
    20ByeQPR
    21SloughMacclesfield1 : 3
    22ByeCrystal Palace
    23Sheffield WedBye
    24ByeBrentford
    25BurnleyBye
    26ByeMillwall
    27Sheffield UtdBye
    28AccringtonMansfield2 : 3
    29PortsmouthBye
    30ByeArsenal
    31PrestonBye
    32WiganBarrow3 : 2
    33GrimsbyWealdstone4 : 0
    34ChelmsfordWeston-super-Mare0 : 2
    35WolvesBye
    36SuttonShrewsbury1 : 2
    37LiverpoolBye
    38PeterboroughBarnsley0 : 1
    39Manchester UtdBye
    40ByeBrighton
    41Port ValeBristol Rovers1 : 0
    42FleetwoodLuton3 : 2
    43Bristol CityBye
    44ByeWatford
    45MK DonsOldham3 : 1
    46ByeOxford Utd
    47EvertonBye
    48ByeSunderland
    49WrexhamBye
    50ByeNottingham
    51IpswichBye
    52BlackpoolCarlisle4 : 1
    53HullBye
    54ByeBlackburn
    55CharltonBye
    56ByeChelsea
    57Stockport CountyCambridge Utd0 : 1
    58ByeBirmingham
    59DerbyBye
    60ByeLeeds
    61NorwichBye
    62GatesheadWalsall0 : 2
    63SwanseaBye
    64ByeWest Brom

    1/32-finals
    1StokeCoventry1 : 0
    2FulhamMiddlesbrough3 : 1
    3DoncasterSouthampton2 : 3
    4CheltenhamLeicester0 : 2
    5TottenhamAston Villa1 : 2
    6NewcastleBournemouth4 : 3
    7Manchester CityExeter10 : 1
    8SalfordSwindon3 : 2
    9Boreham WoodBurton0 : 5
    10West HamQPR2 : 1
    11MacclesfieldCrystal Palace2 : 1
    12Sheffield WedBrentford0 : 2
    13BurnleyMillwall5 : 1
    14Sheffield UtdMansfield3 : 4
    15PortsmouthArsenal1 : 4
    16PrestonWigan0 : 1
    17GrimsbyWeston-super-Mare3 : 2
    18WolvesShrewsbury6 : 1
    19LiverpoolBarnsley4 : 1
    20Manchester UtdBrighton1 : 2
    21Port ValeFleetwood1 : 0
    22Bristol CityWatford5 : 1
    23MK DonsOxford Utd1 : 2
    24EvertonSunderland1 : 2
    25WrexhamNottingham4 : 3
    26IpswichBlackpool2 : 1
    27HullBlackburn1 : 0
    28CharltonChelsea1 : 5
    29Cambridge UtdBirmingham2 : 3
    30DerbyLeeds1 : 3
    31NorwichWalsall5 : 1
    32SwanseaWest Brom2 : 3

    1/16-finals
    1StokeFulham1 : 2
    2SouthamptonLeicester2 : 1
    3Aston VillaNewcastle1 : 3
    4Manchester CitySalford2 : 0
    5BurtonWest Ham0 : 1
    6MacclesfieldBrentford0 : 1
    7BurnleyMansfield1 : 2
    8ArsenalWigan4 : 0
    9GrimsbyWolves0 : 1
    10LiverpoolBrighton3 : 0
    11Port ValeBristol City1 : 0
    12Oxford UtdSunderland0 : 1
    13WrexhamIpswich1 : 0
    14HullChelsea0 : 4
    15BirminghamLeeds1 : 2
    16NorwichWest Brom3 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1FulhamSouthampton
    2NewcastleManchester City
    3West HamBrentford
    4MansfieldArsenal
    5WolvesLiverpool
    6Port ValeSunderland
    7WrexhamChelsea
    8LeedsNorwich