Worthing vs Dorking Wanderers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
30/12/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • National League South - Round 24

Match Stats

Red Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Jenks T. ,
  • 25', 1 - 1, Casey P. ,
  • 33', 2 - 1, Dolaghan B. ,
  • 34', 2 - 2, Carter C. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 51', 3 - 2, Jenks T. ,
  • 90+10', Cook J. 🟥,

Chances of winning


Worthing
44.1%
Draw
24.1%
Dorking Wanderers
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.1% 22.7% 25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9% 21.9% 24.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Worthing has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Worthing's form might have worsened.
  • Dorking Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dorking Wanderers's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Worthing than the current prediction. (+9.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Worthing, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dorking Wanderers than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dorking Wanderers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Worthing - Dorking Wanderers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.08
    (1.78)
    3.8
    (4.08)
    2.89
    (3.69)
    9.1%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Worthing - Dorking Wanderers?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Dorking (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Worthing won 1.
    • Now, both teams are in good form.
    • Worthing may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Dorking has had a series of home games.
    • Worthing is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Worthing won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:16. (average 1.3:2.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Worthing won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1.3:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Worthing - Dorking Wanderers were as follows:
    21.04.2025 Worthing - Dorking Wanderers 1:1
    26.12.2024 Dorking Wanderers - Worthing 1:2
    Latest results of Worthing
    20.12.2025 Worthing - Farnborough 5:0
    13.12.2025 Gloucester City - Worthing 4:3
    29.11.2025 Worthing - Hornchurch 5:0
    Latest results of Dorking Wanderers
    English National League South Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dorking38228870:452574
    2Hornchurch37199963:511266
    3Worthing381981178:433565
    4Ebbsfleet3918111060:461465
    5Torquay381971268:541464
    6Hemel Hempstead371971144:40464
    7Maidenhead381881254:351962
    8Maidstone3917101255:381761
    9Weston-super-Mare361861249:381160
    10Chelmsford361861255:451060
    11Chesham371681347:39856
    12Dag & Red3915111350:45556
    13AFC Totton371651648:59-1153
    14Horsham FC3813131246:43352
    15Tonbridge3913111552:55-350
    16Slough391481759:65-650
    17Dover3812101653:57-446
    18Hampton & Richmond3911101847:61-1443
    19Salisbury3911101839:55-1643
    20Farnborough389101951:77-2637
    21Chippenham39982242:69-2735
    22Bath367121735:55-2033
    23Enfield Town377111943:67-2432
    24Eastbourne Boro39872447:73-2631

          Promotion ~ National League
          Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation